Best Of
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
We need to get moving on this ASAP. The Dutch have 6x as much solar (per capita) as we do. Estonia 4x. Even Norway has more.Something of a problem, though there's nothing intrinsically difficult about making a solar panel- other countries have just decided not to bother.Meanwhile, in genuinely good news, the UK is currently running at 12 GW solar generation.Unfortunately...
OK, it's midday on a sunshine day, but it's only March, and the UK record (last July) is only 14 GW. Someone must be doing something right.
China produces a bit more than 6/7ths of the worlds solar panels. The solar revolution in energy supply comes to a crashing halt if China invades Taiwan and we decide we don't like it.
More importantly, panels are a one-off sale. Once you have them, they carry on generating for decades. Hydrocarbons are a repeat purchase, which is why producers have consumers over a barrel, so to speak.
Eabhal
1
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
Trump on troop deployments: I seem to have great support. CNN came out with a poll today that I'm at 100%. They said they have never seen a poll like that. The CNN poll said I'm at 100%.He's right.
https://x.com/Acyn/status/2035082293677809824
They never have seen a poll like that. Because it doesn't exist.
ydoethur
6
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
In no world at all are Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu "good guys".In Alien vs Predator I do not feel obliged to pick a side.100%.They’re been waiting and preparing for this month for the past 47 years. A little disruption is worth it to see Iran finally defeated once and for all.They only need that ammo because the US and Israel started bombing Iran!A peace deal with who exactly?I presume the GCC nations would rather the US and Israel just fucked off now and a peace deal was done?"…to contribute to appropriate efforts to ensure safe passage through the Strait."Statement from 20 countries including UK and UAE on the Straight of Hormuz.Yes, but what are they going to do about it?
https://x.com/mofauae/status/2035326341596446810
TL:DR F*** off Iran and allow free passage of vessels.
Now that the incoming drones and missiles have reduced significantly in recent days, expect the GCC nations to move towards a more offensive phase of their operation. They have navies specifically built towards this problem, and if the US can keep the Apaches and Warthogs flying over the Hormuz area it shouldn’t be massively difficult.
More important is the insurance issue for civil vessels, AIUI Scott Bessent is working on this at the moment, with presumably Lloyd’s of London also involved.
Because it definitely won’t be anyone to do with the Iranian regime that’s been bombing them for the past 22 days.
US and Israel are saving the GCC countries a lot of ammo at the moment.
I’m sure the GCC are happy to see Iran being taken down a notch, but the war isn’t exactly unfolding to their advantage. A quick end to the war, Iran damaged, the straits of Hormuz open again, that seems like a good result for them. Ongoing war with no clear war aims, is that what they want?
US and Israel are very much the good guys, and Iran is very much the bad guy.
It is quite depressing how many people here have an inverted sense of who is good and who is bad here.
kinabalu
2
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
The Iranian regime have killed thousands of civilians, the Israeli regime have killed thousands of civilians.100%.They’re been waiting and preparing for this month for the past 47 years. A little disruption is worth it to see Iran finally defeated once and for all.They only need that ammo because the US and Israel started bombing Iran!A peace deal with who exactly?I presume the GCC nations would rather the US and Israel just fucked off now and a peace deal was done?"…to contribute to appropriate efforts to ensure safe passage through the Strait."Statement from 20 countries including UK and UAE on the Straight of Hormuz.Yes, but what are they going to do about it?
https://x.com/mofauae/status/2035326341596446810
TL:DR F*** off Iran and allow free passage of vessels.
Now that the incoming drones and missiles have reduced significantly in recent days, expect the GCC nations to move towards a more offensive phase of their operation. They have navies specifically built towards this problem, and if the US can keep the Apaches and Warthogs flying over the Hormuz area it shouldn’t be massively difficult.
More important is the insurance issue for civil vessels, AIUI Scott Bessent is working on this at the moment, with presumably Lloyd’s of London also involved.
Because it definitely won’t be anyone to do with the Iranian regime that’s been bombing them for the past 22 days.
US and Israel are saving the GCC countries a lot of ammo at the moment.
I’m sure the GCC are happy to see Iran being taken down a notch, but the war isn’t exactly unfolding to their advantage. A quick end to the war, Iran damaged, the straits of Hormuz open again, that seems like a good result for them. Ongoing war with no clear war aims, is that what they want?
US and Israel are very much the good guys, and Iran is very much the bad guy.
It is quite depressing how many people here have an inverted sense of who is good and who is bad here.
As @Foxy said, it's Alien v. Predator...
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
https://x.com/johnrentoul/status/2035367108758978801Surely a nonsense.
Reshuffle speculation from @DavidPBMaddox: Streeting and Reeves out; Rayner, Haigh and Powell back in
kinabalu
1
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
I'm glad they're keeping it civil. Enough rudeness around with Trump.https://x.com/johnrentoul/status/2035367108758978801Civil war in labour !!!!!
Reshuffle speculation from @DavidPBMaddox: Streeting and Reeves out; Rayner, Haigh and Powell back in
ydoethur
4
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
"A little disruption" ?They’re been waiting and preparing for this month for the past 47 years. A little disruption is worth it to see Iran finally defeated once and for all.They only need that ammo because the US and Israel started bombing Iran!A peace deal with who exactly?I presume the GCC nations would rather the US and Israel just fucked off now and a peace deal was done?"…to contribute to appropriate efforts to ensure safe passage through the Strait."Statement from 20 countries including UK and UAE on the Straight of Hormuz.Yes, but what are they going to do about it?
https://x.com/mofauae/status/2035326341596446810
TL:DR F*** off Iran and allow free passage of vessels.
Now that the incoming drones and missiles have reduced significantly in recent days, expect the GCC nations to move towards a more offensive phase of their operation. They have navies specifically built towards this problem, and if the US can keep the Apaches and Warthogs flying over the Hormuz area it shouldn’t be massively difficult.
More important is the insurance issue for civil vessels, AIUI Scott Bessent is working on this at the moment, with presumably Lloyd’s of London also involved.
Because it definitely won’t be anyone to do with the Iranian regime that’s been bombing them for the past 22 days.
US and Israel are saving the GCC countries a lot of ammo at the moment.
I’m sure the GCC are happy to see Iran being taken down a notch, but the war isn’t exactly unfolding to their advantage. A quick end to the war, Iran damaged, the straits of Hormuz open again, that seems like a good result for them. Ongoing war with no clear war aims, is that what they want?
US and Israel are very much the good guys, and Iran is very much the bad guy.
What do you think the effect of the world's largest gas field being put out of action (and there is a serious risk of that - a single missile took out a fifth of Qatar's capacity) for the next few years would be ?
Right now neither the US nor Israel are "very much the good guys". The Iranian regime might be (is) worse still, but that does not render a reckless and very likely futile action a good thing.
Nigelb
3
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
Only defensive sackings in line with International law will occurhttps://x.com/johnrentoul/status/2035367108758978801Civil war in labour !!!!!
Reshuffle speculation from @DavidPBMaddox: Streeting and Reeves out; Rayner, Haigh and Powell back in
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
I've had a cracking day. I spent 4 hours at the beach with my family in Portsmouth.What got you out of bed on the wrong side today?Rhetorical nonsense.A treacherous friend is a greater evil than a visible enemy.I don't think the Chinese or Iranian leadership are comparable to the US leadership in the evil stakes.The nation with the strongest interest in reopening the strait, and with the military power to be able to try, is of course China.The Chinese leadership is evil, but rational. You can deal with them. The US leadership is evil, and insane.
If the US were to wash its hands of the disaster it has precipitated, then that leaves a vacuum which they might fill.
And the "nations don't have allies, just interests" crowd might just start thinking about making common cause with them.
Trump is breaching boundaries and taboos he never should have in a Western country, which shocks us to the core, but his regime isn't totalitarian.
It cops a lot of flak, but it's a fun place with loads to do for kids.
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
I'm in Camden. Should I be worried?Only if a drunken travel writer starts kicking off about virus lab leaks from the next table.



