Best Of
Re: Just like that, could Yvette Cooper become Labour's first female leader and PM -politicalbetting.com
Leon is nowhere near as bad.You are almost as bad as Trump.Your views are repulsive, snobbish and idioticI’ve never been called affluent before ! My point stands . Reform as the “ working class hero “ party is laughable!The Reform core vote is like the Magas .Behold the worldview of the affluent middle class British Labour supporter
Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .
And then Labour wonders why it is polling at historic lows
He's something of a galloping narcissist, certainly. He's regularly and gratuitously abusive. But he's not a megalomaniac, nor is he entirely devoid of empathy, on occasion.
And it's possible to have a completely rational conversation with him. Sometimes.
Nigelb
2
Re: Just like that, could Yvette Cooper become Labour's first female leader and PM -politicalbetting.com
If the blockade of Hormuz lasts more than maybe a year, the world will have learned to live without Gulf oil and gas. A combination of other sources stepping up and doing without oil and gas. Devastating for Gulf economies.The expense isn’t the problem - the problem is what do you do in the years it takes to build said pipelines and the docks at the end that will be required to receive the oil and gas.A deeply buried pipeline that cuts through the UAE to Oman, with another to Saudi.There’s clearly a need for someone to “do something” about the straits, and it’s a global economic challenge. And apparently the US don't have the capability.If NATO countries cave to Trump’s bullying now they’ll be doing themselves major damage. We have known this administration long enough to understand that it sees agreement and compromise as weakness. It’ll encourage Trump to bully more. He needs to be told to take a running jump, ideally with some threats thrown in - to US continued use of basis, and to defence procurement. Maybe a little bit of Epstein too.To be honest it’s this threat that makes me think - more than oil prices or sanctions - that Puton is behind this.
If he can reframe NATO as an aggressor rather than a purely defensive alliance (that it is) that is hugely valuable from a geopolitical perspective
It’s somewhat disappointing that the big spending Saudi, Qatari and UAE governments with all their FDI and oil money haven’t been able to muster something. They are after all on the doorstep and it’s their economies that are most dramatically affected.
The ultimate loading terminals protected with defensive means to shoot down all that is fired at them from some way out. That needs to be 100% guaranteed. The ultimate in layered defense.
And the destruction of any vessel that leaves Iranian harbours on the Gulf. 100% Reaper-type drone coverage of the coast along its entire length, 24/7.
Yes, it will be expensive. But cheaper than the weaponry the US has fired off in the past 15 days.
The road leads to Tehran and doing a deal. Everyone is in denial.
1
Re: Just like that, could Yvette Cooper become Labour's first female leader and PM -politicalbetting.com
Brittas.Drone mine hunting might be the choice for Mr Britas - the RN has been banging on about their capability in that regard for years,Any chance that the countries trying to export the oil and LNG will police the shipping lanes?HIghly doubtful, that's proper Navy stuff. I doubt the UAE Navy can find the Dubai Creek using Waze.
I think SKS will find it hard to resist DJT's order. Chance of getting back in the good books and reflected glory if, by some miracle, it goes well vs. HMS Dragon on the bottom of the Iranian Gulf. At least there wouldn't be endless C-17 rotations of coffins coming into BZZ. The sea keeps those whom she takes.
Britas gets pronounced as Bright Ass. Which doesn't seem very applicable...
Re: Just like that, could Yvette Cooper become Labour's first female leader and PM -politicalbetting.com
What they - or rather he (since it's a Farage vehicle) - are trying to do is assemble a similar voting coalition to the Brexit one. It's quite a large pond to fish in. Their challenge, essentially, is to get right wing ex tories, plus almost all of the people who think the country's main problem is too many immigrants, plus that portion of the generally pissed off demographic who are susceptible to 'we just need some commonsense' messaging. Plenty of category overlap there obviously. Is it enough to win a GE? Maybe but I don't think so. I'm short of them at evens and pretty happy with that.I’ve never been called affluent before ! My point stands . Reform as the “ working class hero “ party is laughable!The Reform core vote is like the Magas .Behold the worldview of the affluent middle class British Labour supporter
Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .
And then Labour wonders why it is polling at historic lows
kinabalu
1
Re: Just like that, could Yvette Cooper become Labour's first female leader and PM -politicalbetting.com
Thank you for saying so.Yours is a very good comment.Yvette Cooper may well be better than Starmer in the narrow sense of seeming more competent, more grounded and less eerily focus-grouped. But that is still a very low bar.OT - There are few Lab politicians markedly LESS able at communication than Ed - but Yvette Cooper is certainly one of them.Yes, Cooper is basically a UK Julia Gillard or Hillary Clinton or another Theresa May
I'd be worried for the Lab Party's sanity but the story is in the Mail so its probably been planted by No 10 (assuming its not just made up whole cloth). So that's one issue sorted of the thousands upon which to question the Lab Party's sanity
As an answer to Labour’s current malaise, she feels like thin gruel: more administrative than inspirational, more capable than compelling. A tidier manager of decline is still managing decline.
If Labour’s problem is lack of clarity, energy and purpose, replacing Starmer with Cooper feels less like renewal and more like changing accountants halfway through an audit.
Re: Just like that, could Yvette Cooper become Labour's first female leader and PM -politicalbetting.com
Good morning everyone.
Quite a pleasant one here, and we've found the present our younger son sent to his mother for Mothering Sunday. Left yesterday by the delivery driver outside the garage door. The lack of a bell and door knocker didn't seem to lead the chap (or chapess) to suspect it wasn't a front door.
On topic, if Starmer doesn't firmly point out to Trump that the problems in the Straits of Hormuz are all down to him and Bibi, I have little doubt that Macron or Meloni will.
So there will be a price to be paid by the USA.
Incidentally, on my Facebook page (yes, I know, sad) there's a post to the effect that significant sections of the US military are 'considering' whether Trump's orders are legal and should be obeyed.
I wonder how true that is.
Quite a pleasant one here, and we've found the present our younger son sent to his mother for Mothering Sunday. Left yesterday by the delivery driver outside the garage door. The lack of a bell and door knocker didn't seem to lead the chap (or chapess) to suspect it wasn't a front door.
On topic, if Starmer doesn't firmly point out to Trump that the problems in the Straits of Hormuz are all down to him and Bibi, I have little doubt that Macron or Meloni will.
So there will be a price to be paid by the USA.
Incidentally, on my Facebook page (yes, I know, sad) there's a post to the effect that significant sections of the US military are 'considering' whether Trump's orders are legal and should be obeyed.
I wonder how true that is.
Re: Just like that, could Yvette Cooper become Labour's first female leader and PM -politicalbetting.com
Morning all
Has Farage managed to force all polling companies to show Reform on a minimum of 35% yet?
Their whining at YouGov cinvinces me they arent looking anywhere near as good as theyd hoped for May
Has Farage managed to force all polling companies to show Reform on a minimum of 35% yet?
Their whining at YouGov cinvinces me they arent looking anywhere near as good as theyd hoped for May
Re: Just like that, could Yvette Cooper become Labour's first female leader and PM -politicalbetting.com
Reform are like MAGA: their rich donors want deregulation and tax cuts for the rich, and don't give 2 hoots about the poor.I don’t claim to be virtuous. But my view is shared by many . Reform couldn’t give two hoots about poorer people and are just using division to turn people against each other. And if you’re poor and think Reform are the answer then don’t come crying when they screw you.The outlook of the master remains the same, whether that master is right wing or left wing. Claim to be virtuous, while condemning the lower classes for being stupid.The Reform core vote is like the Magas .Behold the worldview of the affluent middle class British Labour supporter
Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .
And then Labour wonders why it is polling at historic lows
Re: Just like that, could Yvette Cooper become Labour's first female leader and PM -politicalbetting.com
When the Tax Gap clowns got going, one was to get banned from Murphy’s blog was to point out that about 90% of the Tax Gap isTax avoidance and tax evasion are plainly not the same thing. One is legal use of rules Parliament wrote, the other is breaking them. Pretending they are morally identical is just sloganeering for people who can’t be bothered with detail.Tice pitches that people should pay the minimum possible Tax, to cover up his own nefarious activities.Tax avoidance is legal.
Whether they break the Law or not, Tax avoidance is as bad as Tax evasion in my eyes and always has been.
Tice may need to explain to his core vote the C and D categories who will rely more on public services than most, that by choice he will be destroying any concept of public services
That in part defines a reason why well off and wealthy do lean left and vote left. It is because we believe in equality of opportunity irrespective of what we were born in to, the polar opposite of the silver spoon brigade, but that wealth earned should be distributed via tax to the less well off, and inherited wealth should certainly be more equally distributed.
That does not allow the NEET state Boris, Truss and Sunak created however.
I will take to my grave my time spent in Sweden when Olaf Palme was in power, a high tax, world class public service system that rewarded enterprise and deliver hope and prosperity. A generation who glady contributed to the wonderful services provided by the State for the benefit of everyone.
Tax evasion is a crime.
Legal behaviour is not as bad as criminal behaviour and never has been.
If you don't want tax avoidance to happen, then change the law.
If taxes are complicated with exemptions then people will minimise tax by engaging in lawful avoidance, which is the system the politicians have created.
Flatter, simpler taxes without exemptions paid equitably by all are the way to go, but that requires simplifying our tax code.
That said, “legal” is not the same as “defensible”, especially for politicians who like to wrap themselves in flag, family and ordinary taxpayer cosplay while using structures most ordinary taxpayers will never see in their lives.
So the right test is fairly simple:
if Tice acted lawfully, then it isn’t evasion;
if the structure was artificial and didn’t meet the rules, HMRC should flatten him;
and if he wants to preach about how everyone should minimise tax, he can also explain which services he’d cut for the voters he claims to represent.
- the personal tax allowance
- Saving for pensions
- ISAs
For even more fun, Gordon Brown introduced rules making it obligatory for Financial Advisor to advocate pensions and ISAs to their clients.
Re: Just like that, could Yvette Cooper become Labour's first female leader and PM -politicalbetting.com
They don't blame immigrants for everything. They blame at least 7% of things on net zero.But they don’t like them ! Reform are frauds . They have one policy , blame immigrants for everything .The Reform core vote is like the Magas .Everyone's going to make their lives worse. In these circumstances, they may as well vote for someone who appears to like them.
Poor, thick and voting for people who will make their lives even worse . If you’re poor and vote for Reform then you’re a moron who needs to stop breeding .



