Best Of
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
I'd argue today has been an excellent day for the Conservatives.If it wasn't for Aberdeen South this would have been a bad night for the Tories. But with it, it saves Kemi for another day.They also did well in tonight's locals taking 2 seats from Reform
They won a Parliamentary seat in Scotland; Reform was beaten in England (emphasising that it's really Con v Lab, again); and they won a couple of Council seats from Reform.
Now, does one swallow make a summer? No.
But it has -nevertheless- been a good day for Kemi.
rcs1000
8
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
Restore at 7% is surely a big problem for Reform.Just 2% in Makerfield?
Tories vs Labour seems back on the menu. I always thought the idea the Tories were dead was dumb.
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
So in the end a clear win for Burnham with a majority bigger than the combined Reform and Restore votes. He will now say he has proved he can give Labour a bounce and use that as a mandate to challenge Starmer
HYUFD
1
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
If it wasn't for Aberdeen South this would have been a bad night for the Tories. But with it, it saves Kemi for another day.
2
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
Lab 24,927 (54.81%)
Ref 15,696 (34.51%)
Rest 3,111 (6.84%)
Con 997 (2.19%)
Grn 308 (0.68%)
LD 163 (0.36%)
Binface 95 (0.21%)
Loony 45 (0.10%)
Ind Dyer 37 (0.08%)
Rejoin EU 35 (0.08%)
Climate 18 (0.04%)
Libertarian 18 (0.04%)
Ind Pownall 18 (0.04%)
Ind Gould 8 (0.02%)
Not even close.
Ref 15,696 (34.51%)
Rest 3,111 (6.84%)
Con 997 (2.19%)
Grn 308 (0.68%)
LD 163 (0.36%)
Binface 95 (0.21%)
Loony 45 (0.10%)
Ind Dyer 37 (0.08%)
Rejoin EU 35 (0.08%)
Climate 18 (0.04%)
Libertarian 18 (0.04%)
Ind Pownall 18 (0.04%)
Ind Gould 8 (0.02%)
Not even close.
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
My bet on 55%+ fell sadly short.
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
How long will Starmer hold out for? Maybe it'll take some more cabinet resignations.
1
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
Restore at 7% is surely a big problem for Reform.
Tories vs Labour seems back on the menu. I always thought the idea the Tories were dead was dumb.
Tories vs Labour seems back on the menu. I always thought the idea the Tories were dead was dumb.
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
Surely a coronation is also odds on. Burnham has shown he’s an electoral winner and it wasn’t even close in a seat Starmer and everyone else is guaranteed to lose.
Re: The polls close, now the spin and expectations management – politicalbetting.com
Large polling miss for Burnham

