Best Of
Re: MAGA is here to stay – politicalbetting.com
MAGA is here to stay as they are basically Trump's core vote. However, while the Yougov America poll shows they make up over half of Republican voters they are only 18% of US voters as a whole. So the Republican party, even under Trump, couldn't win without reaching well beyond MAGA voters and in the midterms even if MAGA voters still vote GOP if Independents vote Democrat that will see the GOP lose Congress
HYUFD
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Re: Shortly there will be an election, in which Labour will increase its majority? politicalbetting.com
The move to Universal Credit was mostly down to the tenacity of Ian Duncan Smith and one of the few Conservative policies of the Coalition that I agreed with. It removed the benefits cliff and made it easier to enter the world of work and stay there. On those grounds alone I would be reluctant to remove it.This is one I can agree with. Why are there in-work benefits? Pay people the value of their worth without resorting to a UC handout.I would add , get the working age not sick off benefits and make them work instead.No, but it's the one you have to do otherwise any other cuts are pointless.And ?The main reason for that projected increase is "an ageing population" pensions, health, social care... Trump turning to world upside down is anotherI’m talking about all non pension welfare.PiP is about 9% of welfare spending, state pension about 45%. You can, and should, clamp down on PiP fraud, but it's never going to save you much compared to pensions.The vocal ‘scrap the triple lock’ brigade are always very quiet about the other side of the benefits bill.It is only a phone call awayNew rules, which come into force this week, will allow benefits claimants aged 25 and over to receive PIP awards for four years after an initial assessment, and then a further six years after a review. Under the current system, claimants face reviews as often as every nine months.This news depresses me enough to claim PIP.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/05/30/starmer-makes-easier-stay-on-benefits/
Fine at the moment but the rate of increase is worrying and this chart worries me.
Now you cannot just cut what people get now, but slowing the rate of growth, as SKS and Reeves wanted to do, is the solution.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cewlwkg82ggo
The main reason is not the only reason.
If we’re not going to grow the economy substantially or grow revenues substantially then slowing the rapid growth of the benefits bill as a whole, as well as other spending, is going to be essential.
Scrapping the triple lock alone won’t cut it.
Health, probably have to put half over 50s on weight loss jabs, healthy living campaigns don't seem to be effective.
Then as Foxy says support and encourage the working age long-term sick into work.We had Dave from mummy got him a job, and George from straight into politicsI wonder why we get Rachel from accounts and Kemi from work experience. It never seems to be Michael's or Graham's.I'm obviously no fan of Badenoch's but that post is just offensive stupidity.FINALLY...Kemi brags about being an Engineer!Kemi is a software engineer and systems analyst not a lawyer or PPE or Humanities graduate so I suppose she wants some more practical people like herWill they have to provide certification for cleverness, whatever that is as she palpapbly can't according to US sourcesWhat is capital C Conservatism? People have very different ideas about that.Kemi is lowering standards, ferfuxake, what a terrible idea.'Future Tory candidate selection, she said, would focus on the five C’s – cleverness, charisma, communication skills, conviction and Conservatism.
Builders as Tory MPs? I mean no wonder she keeps on getting mullered in elections.
Badenoch: I want teachers and builders to become Tory MPs
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/05/30/badenoch-want-teachers-builders-future-tory-mps/
“I will not allow people who do not share our beliefs to use the Conservative Party as a vehicle to further their personal ambitions,” she added.'
Thesedays around half the people who might be interested in Conservatism are more excited by Reform - never mind if they are conservative or Conservative.
Will she have yo evidence she has any charisma, she has none.
Will they only communicate on Twitter like her?
Will they have the conviction to deny saying she wanted to go to war with US v Iran when she definitely did, or will you need a conviction for web hacking?
FFS
She makes Truss look like Theresa
The word has connertations of the Golden Industrai era, a Golden technology age, hands dirty in oil.
But NO
"Kemi is a software engineer and systems analyst "
That is plain English (at the very low level of work experience she had is)...
"I'm sorry your Computer is not working please turn it off at the plg, count to 30 and see if it works, if it doesn't ring the IT Call Centre back and me or one of my 200 colleagues sat in this old warehouse will tell you to do the same again"
Gemini summarises her pre-politics work experience thus:
Private Sector & Professional Experience (2003–2016)
Badenoch holds a degree in Computer Systems Engineering from the University of Sussex and a part-time Law degree from Birkbeck, University of London.
Software Engineer at Logica: Worked in the information technology sector from 2003 to 2006 for the tech firm Logica (which later became part of CGI Inc).
Systems Analyst at RBS: Moved into financial tech, working on systems analysis and technology change programmes for the Royal Bank of Scotland Group.
Associate Director at Coutts: Spent several years (2006–2013) at the private wealth manager and bank Coutts & Co., transitioning from tech infrastructure roles into financial compliance following the 2008 financial crisis.
Digital Director at The Spectator: Headed up the non-editorial digital department for The Spectator magazine from 2015 to 2016.
Impossible to tell the depth or quality of those roles from that but it's clearly more than 'very low level of work experience'.
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Re: MAGA is here to stay – politicalbetting.com
https://x.com/andyburnhamgm/status/2060806156986003807
Are you getting desperate, lad?
Maybe keep your crypto millions for something else. 😂
I like now Andy is prepared to take these people on directly
Are you getting desperate, lad?
Maybe keep your crypto millions for something else. 😂
I like now Andy is prepared to take these people on directly
Re: MAGA is here to stay – politicalbetting.com
The shameless lying is not unique – exhibit A, Boris – but Trump combines it with the business practices and ethics of a Mafia don. However, all that was true eight years ago. The new factor is the Project 2025 team controlling him.It's the utter shamelessness that makes him unique. Anyone else would betray at least a modicum of embarrassment in telling the most brazen-faced lies and engaging in the egregious self-contradiction that characterises his daily output. So, thankfully I can't quite see anyone else being able to replicate his modus operandi as successfully as he does.I hope it dies without him, but it's consequences will be felt for a long time. They might break up a little to compete to see who is the Trumpiest, for a start.MAGA was never about winning wars in the middle east. So no reason to think a calamity in Iran will change much.MAGA is me. Trump has said this and all indications are that he's correct. It's a personality cult in other words. And he does, tbf, have a strong personality. I find it utterly repellent, he has none of the traits I like or admire in a human being and just about all the ones I can't stand, but the cult members love him to bits. It's an unconditional and enduring love, a love that lasts forever, a love that has no past (preceding him). Can't say I understand it. Can't say I want to.
I do wonder if the Trump kids will try to 'lead' it after he eventually dies, but none of them have his level of horrible charisma.
Re: MAGA is here to stay – politicalbetting.com
This case could open the floodgates. Hopefully these Uber shits will be bankrupted.Predictions:
https://www.theguardian.com/law/2026/may/31/indian-citizen-post-brexit-visa-scheme-employment-tribunal-uk
The companies involved will turn out not to have the money to pay the fines, and will rapidly be wound up.
The people actually running the show will find some other sucker to be the name on the letterhead and start up under a new name.
Limited liability is a good thing overall, but so easy to abuse.
Re: MAGA is here to stay – politicalbetting.com
This case could open the floodgates. Hopefully these Uber shits will be bankrupted.
https://www.theguardian.com/law/2026/may/31/indian-citizen-post-brexit-visa-scheme-employment-tribunal-uk
https://www.theguardian.com/law/2026/may/31/indian-citizen-post-brexit-visa-scheme-employment-tribunal-uk
Re: MAGA is here to stay – politicalbetting.com
Surly if we get PR that changes everything, opening up the chance to survive and thrive in a niche.It'll be like the liberals and sdpIf the Tories were taken over by Reform then they wouldn't have survived they would effectively have been taken over by Reform whatever name the new party was calledLongish thread by Rentoul on Kemi and her party's fortunes:Rather a reasonable analysis.
https://x.com/JohnRentoul/status/2061001676421513448
The Conservatives will survive. They always do, but I see them subsumed by Reform with Reform taking the brand name.They won't be Butskellist Tories, but the name lives on. Badenoch is half way there as we speak.
That morphed on to Liberal Democrats.
Post 2029 whether Reform will or not it will morph
RCG
Reform and Conservative Group.
Very few current Tory MPs will survive, especially in Essex
Re: MAGA is here to stay – politicalbetting.com
Only in France would people riot after winning a championship.There was a riot in Denver when the Avalanche won the Stanley Cup in 2022.
Dura_Ace
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Re: MAGA is here to stay – politicalbetting.com
Strong Jezza, “present but not involved”
Re: MAGA is here to stay – politicalbetting.com
Screw the NCA. Most of the legwork has been done by the BBC and ITV on fly-tipping, money laundering, people smuggling and so on, not forgetting the Post Office scandal. Even kids stabbing each other only started to matter when Keir Starmer saw a Netflix drama series. Surely part of the reason for the rise of NOTA parties is the growing realisation that the Establishment lives in its own bubble.The NCA are finally getting involved in those rather than leaving it almost solely to Trading Standards, so yes probably start to see some enforcement and action next year.Curse of new thread.And this.
Guardian in Makerfield. Actually in Hindley, too.
The Bickershaw industrial scale fly tipping would have been a national scandal had it happened anywhere near a media person's home.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/may/31/labour-have-lost-their-way-voters-in-makerfield-say-its-time-for-a-change
Arrest following investigation into 18-thousand tonnes illegal waste dump in Wigan
https://www.itv.com/news/granada/2026-05-20/man-arrested-following-investigation-into-25-tonne-illegal-waste-dump-in-wigan
A man has been arrested as part of an ongoing investigation into large-scale, illegal dumping of waste at multiple sites across England.
Officers from West Midlands Police arrested a 58-year-old male from the Birmingham area on suspicion of environmental, fraud and money laundering offences.
The suspect has now been released on conditional bail pending further investigation..
Perhaps they'll get around to the money laundering barbers/vape shops/mini marts next year ?


