Best Of
Re: Why the Tory party is becoming more like the Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
Coal and gas prices are highly correlated, they have higher higher capital and maintenance costs than natural gas, and they deal very poorly with being turned on and off.We should also build far more coal fired power stations. It generated our electricity for decades, it's abundant globally, it's easy to store and it's relatively cheap. The Chinese are building dozens.There is little prospect that we won't need some form of gas backup for decades to come. No matter what the Greens try to claim, renewables are not reliable enough at present to provide security of supply. And since we are dragging our feet over those non-hydrocarbon fuel sources which are reliable - nuclear and wave power - gas is really the only viable alternative. If you believe, as I do, that the world is becoming less secure for the foreseeable future then we do need some form of storage that will help assure our supply.UK gas consumption has been falling for 20 years. 2024 saw the lowest consumption since 1992, I believe. Big investment in storage capacity does not seem like a priority.FPTSadly, creating storage caverns with large nuclear weapons doesn't work either.The problem is not how much we have drilled. Indeed drilling/producing a field is a pre-requisite to reduce the existing volumes/pressures in the formation so you can then use it to store gas. And the cement we use to abandon wells is, by necessity, stronger than the surrounding formations. This is my job these days, abandoning hundreds of wells across the North Sea and Denmark. As long as it is done properly then it has no impact on the storage capabilities..As a I understand it the North Sea would make an excellent gas storage facility, if we hadn't drilled it so extensively. That's why Rough is unusual for being a decent UK option, neglected until 2022 and the Ukraine invasion.The massive gas storage facility which Conservative governments decided wasn't worth the cost of subsidising would have probably been the most cost effective mitigation.Surely this latest war is just more evidence we need to stop importing energy which surely means more renewables? How can anyone disagree.There are some alternatives. We could have massive strategic reserves of gas and oil that the government can release in an emergency (see Japan). We could nationalise and massively subsidise O&G production to isolate the industry from global energy prices and boost domestic production. Coal in theory could work because it's easy to store, we'd just need to import lots of it and, again, nationalise it in preperation for a period like this.
These aren't cost-free options though.
Richard_Tyndall is online however so he can put me straight.
The problem with the gas storage is that continualy pumping gas into and out of the formation weakens it over time. Rough has no where near the capacity it had at the start of its storage life because of this. And suprisingly the number of fields suitable for such storage are vanishingly small. I am not aware currently of any other serious contenders for gas storage in the UK sector - although some of those being looked at for CCS might be suitable. Germany generally uses salt as the storage formation for its gas reserves which is much more stable but in the North Sea the Zechstein Salts are much deeper which causes a lot of additional problems as the pressures are higher and salt under pressure acts like a fluid and flows.
I am sure there are suitable targets but successive governments over the last 40 years have not really invested in looking for or apppraising them.
That, reopening the North Sea, axing the green crap and abandoning the insane marginal pricing rule would start to bring our energy prices down to competitive levels.
They give the appearance of increasing energy security, when mostly they just add to everyone's electricity cost.
rcs1000
3
Re: Why the Tory party is becoming more like the Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
I think the Tory problem is simple. If you want a Reform government you vote Reform. If you don't, you vote for the party that can beat Reform in your seat AND certainly won't help them govern. It doesn't matter what they say, people will believe the Tories might sustain a Reform government.A Cleverly led Tories ruling out a deal with Reform could though get Labour and LD tactical votes in Tory held seats in a way a Kemi led Tories could not
If (like me) you want an old fashioned One Nation Tory government, tough.
The Tory dilemma may be insoluble for now.
HYUFD
2
Re: Why the Tory party is becoming more like the Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
The real mystery about Epstein is why so many people voted for his best friend to be President.I think Leon is having a little joke.Why are people still pushing the ridiculous conspiracy theories about Epstein “being murdered”, or whatever. I’m sick and tired of it. This is just the latest vapid bilge from the TelegraphFunny. Of all the conspiracy theories you buy into and THIS is the one that is a step too far?
“The last prison guard to see Jeffrey Epstein alive made suspicious cash deposits in the 12 months before his death, US Department of Justice (DoJ) files reveal.
“Epstein was found unresponsive in his cell at the Metropolitan Correctional Center in New York on Aug 10, 2019. His death was ruled a suicide.
“Tova Noel, 37, one of two officers accused of falsifying prisoner record checks that night, made a final cash deposit of $5,000 (£3,729) into her bank account less than a fortnight earlier on July 30.
“A total of 12 ATM cash deposits, beginning in October 2018, were flagged by her bank to the FBI in a “suspicious activity report” in November 2019.
“Ms Noel and her colleague Michael Thomas were fired after being accused of falsifying records to claim they checked on Epstein during the night before his suicide on Aug 10 that year.
“CCTV footage revealed the pair did not check on Epstein for eight hours, despite his cell being just 15 feet from the guards’ desk.
Criminal charges against them were later dropped.”
Why can’t people just let it go? Jeffrey Epstein was a nasty criminal but in the end he was better and he realised he’d done bad things and stuff, and decided to off himself as a punishment to himself. Indeed he was so honourable at the end he killed himself when it wouldn’t be too upsetting because all the guards were asleep. Just accept it and stop talking about it.
Nigelb
1
Re: Why the Tory party is becoming more like the Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
FPT
In both cases they were aiui betrayed and abandoned to their fate, which might explain their hesitancy to take Trump at his word now.
(Pipes interests me, but I I'll make another comment.)
I think the Kurds in Iraq would meet that one in 1991. Though they were incited to rebellion by the USA in 1975.We kill their children, flatten their country, destroy their water supplies and now the ungrateful Iranians refuse to rise up in support....Are there any instances in history of people rising up to overthrow tyrannical rulers (indigenous, not invaders) as a result of foreign intervention?
https://x.com/DanielPipes/status/2030291411275276397
In both cases they were aiui betrayed and abandoned to their fate, which might explain their hesitancy to take Trump at his word now.
(Pipes interests me, but I I'll make another comment.)
MattW
1
Re: Why the Tory party is becoming more like the Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
And yet it seemed to mystify most of PB, who took it at face value. Unless they were double bluffing with meta-sarcasmYou oversell yourself, sir.A joke vastly improved by most of PB not getting itI think Leon is having a little joke.Why are people still pushing the ridiculous conspiracy theories about Epstein “being murdered”, or whatever. I’m sick and tired of it. This is just the latest vapid bilge from the TelegraphFunny. Of all the conspiracy theories you buy into and THIS is the one that is a step too far?
“The last prison guard to see Jeffrey Epstein alive made suspicious cash deposits in the 12 months before his death, US Department of Justice (DoJ) files reveal.
“Epstein was found unresponsive in his cell at the Metropolitan Correctional Center in New York on Aug 10, 2019. His death was ruled a suicide.
“Tova Noel, 37, one of two officers accused of falsifying prisoner record checks that night, made a final cash deposit of $5,000 (£3,729) into her bank account less than a fortnight earlier on July 30.
“A total of 12 ATM cash deposits, beginning in October 2018, were flagged by her bank to the FBI in a “suspicious activity report” in November 2019.
“Ms Noel and her colleague Michael Thomas were fired after being accused of falsifying records to claim they checked on Epstein during the night before his suicide on Aug 10 that year.
“CCTV footage revealed the pair did not check on Epstein for eight hours, despite his cell being just 15 feet from the guards’ desk.
Criminal charges against them were later dropped.”
Why can’t people just let it go? Jeffrey Epstein was a nasty criminal but in the end he was better and he realised he’d done bad things and stuff, and decided to off himself as a punishment to himself. Indeed he was so honourable at the end he killed himself when it wouldn’t be too upsetting because all the guards were asleep. Just accept it and stop talking about it.
It was about as subtle as one of @TSE's thread headers.
Either way, it’s given me a chuckle. Which is what counts on a slightly grey Monday morning
Leon
1
Re: Why the Tory party is becoming more like the Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
Britain’s aircraft carrier may need French escort
Lack of available warships in the Royal Navy could force UK to rely on close Nato allies
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/03/08/britains-aircraft-carrier-may-need-french-escort/ (£££)
Naval clickbait from the Telegraph. It doesn't have to be the French navy; it could be America, or anyone really. But not us because with the MoD's usual joined-up thinking we've sent our only available (nearly) destroyer to Cyprus.
Lack of available warships in the Royal Navy could force UK to rely on close Nato allies
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/03/08/britains-aircraft-carrier-may-need-french-escort/ (£££)
Naval clickbait from the Telegraph. It doesn't have to be the French navy; it could be America, or anyone really. But not us because with the MoD's usual joined-up thinking we've sent our only available (nearly) destroyer to Cyprus.
Re: Why the Tory party is becoming more like the Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
More than half of Reform voters want to deport my kids. I'm not sure what I'm meant to do with this information, other than doing everything I can to ensure they don't get to run the country.I think the Tory problem is simple. If you want a Reform government you vote Reform. If you don't, you vote for the party that can beat Reform in your seat AND certainly won't help them govern. It doesn't matter what they say, people will believe the Tories might sustain a Reform government.The problem is if the Tories rule out supporting Reform the follow up questions are likely to result in the Tories calling Reform out as the racists they are.
If (like me) you want an old fashioned One Nation Tory government, tough.
The Tory dilemma may be insoluble for now.
And you can’t call your potential voters racist.
Re: Why the Tory party is becoming more like the Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
About 500,000 voters die every year - perhaps 80% of them are Conservative and they tend to actually vote.
Icarus
1
Re: Why the Tory party is becoming more like the Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
You oversell yourself, sir.A joke vastly improved by most of PB not getting itI think Leon is having a little joke.Why are people still pushing the ridiculous conspiracy theories about Epstein “being murdered”, or whatever. I’m sick and tired of it. This is just the latest vapid bilge from the TelegraphFunny. Of all the conspiracy theories you buy into and THIS is the one that is a step too far?
“The last prison guard to see Jeffrey Epstein alive made suspicious cash deposits in the 12 months before his death, US Department of Justice (DoJ) files reveal.
“Epstein was found unresponsive in his cell at the Metropolitan Correctional Center in New York on Aug 10, 2019. His death was ruled a suicide.
“Tova Noel, 37, one of two officers accused of falsifying prisoner record checks that night, made a final cash deposit of $5,000 (£3,729) into her bank account less than a fortnight earlier on July 30.
“A total of 12 ATM cash deposits, beginning in October 2018, were flagged by her bank to the FBI in a “suspicious activity report” in November 2019.
“Ms Noel and her colleague Michael Thomas were fired after being accused of falsifying records to claim they checked on Epstein during the night before his suicide on Aug 10 that year.
“CCTV footage revealed the pair did not check on Epstein for eight hours, despite his cell being just 15 feet from the guards’ desk.
Criminal charges against them were later dropped.”
Why can’t people just let it go? Jeffrey Epstein was a nasty criminal but in the end he was better and he realised he’d done bad things and stuff, and decided to off himself as a punishment to himself. Indeed he was so honourable at the end he killed himself when it wouldn’t be too upsetting because all the guards were asleep. Just accept it and stop talking about it.
It was about as subtle as one of @TSE's thread headers.
2
Re: Why the Tory party is becoming more like the Lib Dems – politicalbetting.com
There is always going to be a cold, dark, still week in January which we never be able to cover with renewables. Storage + CCGT is the answer.There is little prospect that we won't need some form of gas backup for decades to come. No matter what the Greens try to claim, renewables are not reliable enough at present to provide security of supply. And since we are dragging our feet over those non-hydrocarbon fuel sources which are reliable - nuclear and wave power - gas is really the only viable alternative. If you believe, as I do, that the world is becoming less secure for the foreseeable future then we do need some form of storage that will help assure our supply.UK gas consumption has been falling for 20 years. 2024 saw the lowest consumption since 1992, I believe. Big investment in storage capacity does not seem like a priority.FPTSadly, creating storage caverns with large nuclear weapons doesn't work either.The problem is not how much we have drilled. Indeed drilling/producing a field is a pre-requisite to reduce the existing volumes/pressures in the formation so you can then use it to store gas. And the cement we use to abandon wells is, by necessity, stronger than the surrounding formations. This is my job these days, abandoning hundreds of wells across the North Sea and Denmark. As long as it is done properly then it has no impact on the storage capabilities..As a I understand it the North Sea would make an excellent gas storage facility, if we hadn't drilled it so extensively. That's why Rough is unusual for being a decent UK option, neglected until 2022 and the Ukraine invasion.The massive gas storage facility which Conservative governments decided wasn't worth the cost of subsidising would have probably been the most cost effective mitigation.Surely this latest war is just more evidence we need to stop importing energy which surely means more renewables? How can anyone disagree.There are some alternatives. We could have massive strategic reserves of gas and oil that the government can release in an emergency (see Japan). We could nationalise and massively subsidise O&G production to isolate the industry from global energy prices and boost domestic production. Coal in theory could work because it's easy to store, we'd just need to import lots of it and, again, nationalise it in preperation for a period like this.
These aren't cost-free options though.
Richard_Tyndall is online however so he can put me straight.
The problem with the gas storage is that continualy pumping gas into and out of the formation weakens it over time. Rough has no where near the capacity it had at the start of its storage life because of this. And suprisingly the number of fields suitable for such storage are vanishingly small. I am not aware currently of any other serious contenders for gas storage in the UK sector - although some of those being looked at for CCS might be suitable. Germany generally uses salt as the storage formation for its gas reserves which is much more stable but in the North Sea the Zechstein Salts are much deeper which causes a lot of additional problems as the pressures are higher and salt under pressure acts like a fluid and flows.
I am sure there are suitable targets but successive governments over the last 40 years have not really invested in looking for or apppraising them.
I do note however that Scotland is currently operating at 100% renewables + nuclear. That means my electricity bill will be unaffected, right?!
Eabhal
1