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Re: Alas poor Jenrick, I knew him – politicalbetting.com
He's probably forgotten all about it.Yes, funny how he's suddenly changed his mind on it.If Trump can take Greenland, he can take Chagos. In fact, once it's Mauritian, there would hardly be any consequences.I can't help but think Trump's criticism of Chagos is the doing of Nigel Farage whispering in his ear.
Farage knows he's in an awkward position on Greenland and this is how he tries to spin it back to his advantage.
He's an increasingly senile guy who has never had much grasp of detai.
And it's probably a mistake to attribute everything to Trump, rather than the influence if those surrounding him.
It was Rubio (with slightly more inclination to follow international law) who welcomed the deal at the time. Someone like "the only thing that counts is power" Miller will take a very different view.
Nigelb
2
Re: Alas poor Jenrick, I knew him – politicalbetting.com
If nothing else, Trump's posts this morning demonstrate the utter futility of trying to flatter him.
Starmer, Rutte and Macron have been humiliated for their efforts.
If you're not going to stand up to the bully you might as well start discussing the terms of your surrender now. And earn the contempt of all.
Starmer, Rutte and Macron have been humiliated for their efforts.
If you're not going to stand up to the bully you might as well start discussing the terms of your surrender now. And earn the contempt of all.
Nigelb
1
Re: Alas poor Jenrick, I knew him – politicalbetting.com
Yes, funny how he's suddenly changed his mind on it.If Trump can take Greenland, he can take Chagos. In fact, once it's Mauritian, there would hardly be any consequences.I can't help but think Trump's criticism of Chagos is the doing of Nigel Farage whispering in his ear.
Farage knows he's in an awkward position on Greenland and this is how he tries to spin it back to his advantage.
Eabhal
1
Re: PB Predictions Competition 2026 – politicalbetting.com
Farage is now praising Trump for "vetoing" the Chagos deal. He's essentially acting like a viceroy for a country he believes Trump already runs.
Re: Alas poor Jenrick, I knew him – politicalbetting.com
As long as he obeys the constitution, yes.If Vance wants the full ten years, he needs to wait until Trump's been in two. Otherwise he maxes out at seven, I think.It might not be three years to the next US President. There is obviously something very seriously wrong with Trump.Jan 20th. Only three years until there’s a new US President.It’s going to be a long three years.
But unfortunately Vance would probably be an even bigger disaster than he is and with rather less excuse.
Vance doesn’t have Trump’s personal popularity (what’s left of it) or his hold over the judiciary so he might have to, but it’s difficult to be sure after so much boundary pushing by the Republicans as a whole in the last ten years.
ydoethur
1
Re: Alas poor Jenrick, I knew him – politicalbetting.com
It might not be three years to the next US President. There is obviously something very seriously wrong with Trump.Jan 20th. Only three years until there’s a new US President.It’s going to be a long three years.
But unfortunately Vance would probably be an even bigger disaster than he is and with rather less excuse.
ydoethur
1
Re: PB Predictions Competition 2026 – politicalbetting.com
Number of net gains (or losses -ve) for the Dems in the House? 7
Number of net gains (or losses -ve) for the Dems in the Senate? 4
Number of MSPs won by the SNP at the Holyrood election? 58
Number of AMs (MSs !!!) won by Plaid Cymru at the Senedd election? 41
UK Party recording the largest poll lead during 2026 and by what percentage? (British Polling Council registered pollsters only). Reform 14%
Labour’s Projected National Share of the vote based on the 2026 local elections according to the BBC? 19%
Number of Reform MPs on the 31st December 2026? 9
The name of the UK Prime Minister on 31st December 2026? Keir Starmer.
Will Andy Burnham will be an MP on 31st December 2026? No.
UK borrowing in the financial year to November 2026 (£132.3bn to November 2025). £136bn
UK GDP growth in the 12 months to October 2026 (1.1% to October 2025). 1.3%
Winners of the 2026 FIFA Men’s World Cup. France (who will gift it to Donad Trump)
#competition
Number of net gains (or losses -ve) for the Dems in the Senate? 4
Number of MSPs won by the SNP at the Holyrood election? 58
Number of AMs (MSs !!!) won by Plaid Cymru at the Senedd election? 41
UK Party recording the largest poll lead during 2026 and by what percentage? (British Polling Council registered pollsters only). Reform 14%
Labour’s Projected National Share of the vote based on the 2026 local elections according to the BBC? 19%
Number of Reform MPs on the 31st December 2026? 9
The name of the UK Prime Minister on 31st December 2026? Keir Starmer.
Will Andy Burnham will be an MP on 31st December 2026? No.
UK borrowing in the financial year to November 2026 (£132.3bn to November 2025). £136bn
UK GDP growth in the 12 months to October 2026 (1.1% to October 2025). 1.3%
Winners of the 2026 FIFA Men’s World Cup. France (who will gift it to Donad Trump)
#competition
2
Re: PB Predictions Competition 2026 – politicalbetting.com
Rosindell blames Chagos deal for defection to reform
Farage sounds off about Chagos deal
Trump goes ballistic about Chagos deal
It is glaringly obvious Farage is a very real danger to our country
* I should say I do not agree with the Chagos deal but that is not the point
Farage sounds off about Chagos deal
Trump goes ballistic about Chagos deal
It is glaringly obvious Farage is a very real danger to our country
* I should say I do not agree with the Chagos deal but that is not the point
Re: PB Predictions Competition 2026 – politicalbetting.com
For question #4 - the only correct answer is zero. There will in fact be zero AMs of any party. The correct term is MS (Member of Senedd) or AS (Aelod Y Senedd).Oddly, not legally correct:
4Members to be known as Members of the Senedd
In section 1 of the 2006 Act, after subsection (2) insert—
“(2A)Members of the Senedd are to be known by that name or as Aelodau o’r Senedd.”
Why they should be known as 'the members from the Parliament' I have no idea, as it seems ludicrous, but I am guessing it's because whoever drafted it just typed it through Google translate and didn't understand Welsh grammar.
To be honest I would say 'Aelod Senedd' as I don't the the 'y' adds much in context. But there we are.
To be further honest, in English I still call it the Welsh Assembly anyway. Hard to break the habit. They should just have called it Y Senedd (which after all is not hard to learn or pronounce) with members called AS and everyone would then have been happy except those people desperate for us to replace the Lords with a 'Senate' and those people who hate Welsh.
ydoethur
3
Re: Alas poor Jenrick, I knew him – politicalbetting.com
I will continue to assert that the biggest danger of social media is to the over 60's (many of whom credulously believe it all) not the under 16's (who have grown up with it).I've seen quite a few younger parents posting online their support towards a ban on social media for under 16s. Without any mention of who it was who gave the kids phones in the first place
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