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Re: Burnham confirms he wants to stand in the by-eleciton – politicalbetting.com
Burnham is the Labour candidate. Comfortable hold.
AN Other. Massive defeat.
AN Other. Massive defeat.
Re: Burnham confirms he wants to stand in the by-eleciton – politicalbetting.com
Another reason there then why Burnham should have waited until later in this Parliament.Anyone who thinks Reform will ever win a GM mayoral contest has no idea about the area and is letting their bias affect them.Labour are going to change mayoralty elections back to the supplementary vote but that hasn’t gone through Parliament yet so this will be FPTP. If it was SV Labour would easily win but it could be closer but I’d still expect Labour to win .
Zero chance whatsoever.
Re: Burnham confirms he wants to stand in the by-eleciton – politicalbetting.com
Anyone who thinks Reform will ever win a GM mayoral contest has no idea about the area and is letting their bias affect them.Labour are going to change mayoralty elections back to the supplementary vote but that hasn’t gone through Parliament yet so this will be FPTP. If it was SV Labour would easily win but it could be closer but I’d still expect Labour to win .
Zero chance whatsoever.
1
Re: Burnham confirms he wants to stand in the by-eleciton – politicalbetting.com
No. I meant it as I wrote it. I maybe should have said Thorpe 'Misquoting' Wilfred Owen......I think he's got every chance of winning if he's allowed to stand and I wish him well. I find it difficult to forgive Starmer for his many 'nights of the long knives that as well as others would have taken out Diane Abbott if he hadn't faced a revolt.Err - lays down his life for his friends !
His judgement has often been suspect and his ruthlessness unrelenting.
As Jeremy Thorpe once said quoting Wilfred Owen.......
"Greater love hath no man than this; that he lay down his friends for his life"
But we know what you mean
3
Re: Burnham confirms he wants to stand in the by-eleciton – politicalbetting.com
Just looking at this from the outside and from a position of scorn for all party systems.That depends on how they display it. Zlatan Ibrahimović for example.Narcissistic prick.Would you say that about a sportsman who was ambitious for success?
Humility is not necessarily, er, necessary, but disguising ambition and narcissism can be important to be likeable.
I don't get a massive ego vibe from Burnham, though as a senior politician I'm sure he has one, that kind of self-belief is useful to get ahead.
Is it not possible that this is just a basic belief that Starmer is leading Labour and the Country in the wrong direction and that he believes he can do a better job? Is that ambition and narcissism or just normal behaviour? In any walk of life if you think someone is doing a bad job and will elad you to disaster the you do something about it. In Vietnam they fragged their officers.
Re: Burnham confirms he wants to stand in the by-eleciton – politicalbetting.com
Let's say you're right. What does he want to change? How is he going to fund it? What does he think the answers are to our multitude of problems? I genuinely have no idea. His platform, as far as I can work it out, is I am a much nicer bloke than that Starmer and people will therefore like me more. It's not enough. If I am wrong I would welcome the correction but right now this seems an ego trip.Just looking at this from the outside and from a position of scorn for all party systems.That depends on how they display it. Zlatan Ibrahimović for example.Narcissistic prick.Would you say that about a sportsman who was ambitious for success?
Humility is not necessarily, er, necessary, but disguising ambition and narcissism can be important to be likeable.
I don't get a massive ego vibe from Burnham, though as a senior politician I'm sure he has one, that kind of self-belief is useful to get ahead.
Is it not possible that this is just a basic belief that Starmer is leading Labour and the Country in the wrong direction and that he believes he can do a better job? Is that ambition and narcissism or just normal behaviour? In any walk of life if you think someone is doing a bad job and will elad you to disaster the you do something about it. In Vietnam they fragged their officers.
DavidL
4
Re: Burnham confirms he wants to stand in the by-eleciton – politicalbetting.com
If Burnham is the candidate I expect he will win. Refuk will do some tone deaf campaign (this is inner suburbia), Greens will stand a local Jonny (not Zach) and the power of Burnham compells you to vote Labour.Nope, the by-election is going to be done by the end of Feb, mayoral election will then be held the same day as the local elections in Manchester so the only cost for the mayoral election is 2 ballot papers being given out rather than one.
Same day as the locals someone suggested? Great - his first act having been sworn in will be to tell Starmer to fuck off.
Burnham is the change of direction Labour need.
eek
1
Re: Burnham confirms he wants to stand in the by-eleciton – politicalbetting.com
FPT.
Big_G_NorthWales said:
» show previous quotes
It is Angela Rayner and a host of labour mps pushing for him which you don't seem to like but never mind, blame the tories !!!
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Totally agree Big_G_North Wales. It is the Labour party and their grassroots and the political lobby that have become obsessed with the possibility of Andy Burnham returning to front line Westminster politics as a potential stalking horse to take on and replace Keir Starmer and there has been a real rewriting of history and bigging up of his political credentials to boot.
To be honest I think he missed his chance when he didn't take the opportunity to run in a safe Labour seat back in the 2024 GE if he was that single mindedly personally ambitious to become the next Labour leader. I suspect the voters would not take kindly to a Labour candidate so clearly using a by-election in their constituency seat as a vehicle for their personal ambitions in this way in the current febrile UK political scene. Plus, it would be a hell of risk trying to return to Westminster as a challenger to Keir Starmer's leadership while Labour's polling is so dire and you could not rely on either him or the whole Labour party turning out in any real effort to help your campaign even if you managed to get selected locally.
I found it really telling that just weeks ago Reform were calling for all defecting MPs to trigger a by-election so they could win a mandate as a local MP representing their new party, and yet neither Robert Jenrick or Andrew Rosindell with the backing of the Reform leadership are now prepared to take that gamble so have left the voters in their constituencies without a voice about their defections until the next GE. A huge political mistake that I think will backfire on both of them at the next GE what ever party polling of Reform, but then I think that Robert Jenrick blew up his own personal political career when he defected in the way he did and doing the media rounds while focussing on his petty attempts to try to rescue his reputation and reclaim the political agenda to try to justify his actions this week as far more important global and domestic issues took precedence while he did this just amplified he how diminished he had become as result.
Big_G_NorthWales said:
» show previous quotes
It is Angela Rayner and a host of labour mps pushing for him which you don't seem to like but never mind, blame the tories !!!
-----------
Totally agree Big_G_North Wales. It is the Labour party and their grassroots and the political lobby that have become obsessed with the possibility of Andy Burnham returning to front line Westminster politics as a potential stalking horse to take on and replace Keir Starmer and there has been a real rewriting of history and bigging up of his political credentials to boot.
To be honest I think he missed his chance when he didn't take the opportunity to run in a safe Labour seat back in the 2024 GE if he was that single mindedly personally ambitious to become the next Labour leader. I suspect the voters would not take kindly to a Labour candidate so clearly using a by-election in their constituency seat as a vehicle for their personal ambitions in this way in the current febrile UK political scene. Plus, it would be a hell of risk trying to return to Westminster as a challenger to Keir Starmer's leadership while Labour's polling is so dire and you could not rely on either him or the whole Labour party turning out in any real effort to help your campaign even if you managed to get selected locally.
I found it really telling that just weeks ago Reform were calling for all defecting MPs to trigger a by-election so they could win a mandate as a local MP representing their new party, and yet neither Robert Jenrick or Andrew Rosindell with the backing of the Reform leadership are now prepared to take that gamble so have left the voters in their constituencies without a voice about their defections until the next GE. A huge political mistake that I think will backfire on both of them at the next GE what ever party polling of Reform, but then I think that Robert Jenrick blew up his own personal political career when he defected in the way he did and doing the media rounds while focussing on his petty attempts to try to rescue his reputation and reclaim the political agenda to try to justify his actions this week as far more important global and domestic issues took precedence while he did this just amplified he how diminished he had become as result.
fitalass
2
Re: Burnham confirms he wants to stand in the by-eleciton – politicalbetting.com
Starmer and co should refer to Reform as the British Trump Party every single day for the next three years.Anyone who is a Trump sycophant like Farage needs a reckoning with the decent votersAnyone who thinks Reform will ever win a GM mayoral contest has no idea about the area and is letting their bias affect them.My brother lives in Altrincham, probably the most middle-class bit of GM. Reckons Reform will struggle there. People dissatisfied with Labour are returning to Tories. Farage not popular with urban middle class.
Zero chance whatsoever.
Re: Burnham confirms he wants to stand in the by-eleciton – politicalbetting.com
A Blarite, a Brownite, a EICIPMite , and a Corbynite walk into a pub.
The barman says what can I get you Mr Burnham
A shot (at being PM) please
Sure Mr Burnham take a seat.
The barman says what can I get you Mr Burnham
A shot (at being PM) please
Sure Mr Burnham take a seat.



