Best Of
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
Er...Hegseth?Certainly Vance will try to pin it on both Trump and Rubio.When facing Carlson, would you want to be in Rubio's shoes? Or even Vance's?I suspect little Marco is going to end up taking the blame for Iran.
It will be like Putin, not being told the true state of the armed forces because bad news get rewarded with falling out a window.
He would have got away with keeping the Straits of Hormuz open, if it weren't for those pesky Iranian kids...
I'm starting to think that whoever is the Democratic nominee in 2028, they are going to ride a landslide win based on bringing Biblical retribution upon everybody involved with this Adminisration. Ezekial 25:17 shit. Including the promise of show trials, very long jail terms and seizure of ALL the wealth garnered from the grift. America will demand it; the incoming President will need to offer it to the world by way of an apology.
Anything less will be deemed cowardice.
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
Trump wants to stop and declare victory. Iran wants him to stop so they can declare victory. So I see a Stop coming soon. Certainly hope so. After that, who knows, probably a lasting mess, but I'm keen to reach that stage. Having no plan didn't stop him starting the war and by the same token it shouldn't stop him stopping it. Going to war with no plan and then not stopping until you do have a plan is a recipe for ongoing mayhem. It's madness. Esp since it becomes harder to plan things once conflict has commenced. So c'mon Donald, turn a bug into a feature and just stop 'obliterating' Iran and move on to Cuba or more pretend Ukraine talks or fixing the midterms or whatever. Just be you.You are facing down an economic event of Biblical proportions thanks to Trump and Bibi's ghost. I can't see that doing nothing to defend access to the straits is an option. How to strategize that without loss of military personnel is quite the conundrum.Starmer ends up in the worst of all worlds .If you tether yourself to an incontinent donkey you're going to get showered. To the great British public Starmer has joinied Trumps madcap army.. The fact that he's been assigned the job of cleaning the toilets just makes us look worse.
Which seems to sum up his premiership !
Would Carney or Macron have volunteered?
kinabalu
2
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
Wes Streeting electioneering!


Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
Certainly Vance will try to pin it on both Trump and Rubio.When facing Carlson, would you want to be in Rubio's shoes? Or even Vance's?I suspect little Marco is going to end up taking the blame for Iran.
ydoethur
1
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
Mr. eek, just tell Starmer it's a legal requirement and he'd do anythingI can't imagine Starmer and Macron are stupid enough to try and police that Strait - there is zero upside and a lot of downside in doing so..Give credit to Iran here. Lobbing an IRBM at Diego Garcia is showing just how not demolished they are.He has way more latitude than that. He can declare victory, withdraw US forces and pressure others to take the incoming to reopen the strait. Starmer and others will fold and do it before too long.
Trump now his two choices. The forever war. Or the everyone laughing at Trump forever capitulation.
E2A: Trump only needs one of Starmer or Macron on board to get the other. Neither the UK nor France could bear the other getting the limelight and, who knows, it might all go brilliantly. I mean, it won't, but it might.
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
Agreed completely. To quote, well, myself from 3 January:Trump likes power; it's the ultimate expression of that.Hearing Trump's absolute refusal to accept that the Ukrainians have helped the US with drone defence in the Middle East makes clear *again* how deep-seated his personal animus against Zelensky and Ukraine is.One thing that has surprised me about Trump47, and something that I was totally wrong about, is how much he likes a military misadventure.
I think this bet is terrible, btw. Three weeks into the war, still fighting, yet 100% won, the US doesn't use Hormuz, yet gas prices are up, easy to keep it open, but the US can't do it alone. Even despite all of these massive contradictions Trump is able to keep the overwhelming support of his MAGA base.
I know I've been surprised that the war is still going, but it's clear that Trump is desperate for it to end (100% won is a tell) so I just can't see it dragging on for long enough for his base to finally recognise they've been had.
Trump45, quite correctly, realised that overseas military interventions were a waste of everything and largely counterproductive. Now, he fucking loves them even when executing them is contrary to his interests. All that the SPO gets him are the good graces and unreliable largesse of Miriam Adelson and others of the Zionist Pro Max ilk.
Venezuela made him think it's easy.
Anyone focussing on the positives and negatives of this for Venezuela itself is missing the point.
This is the first shot fired in a new era of US imperialism. There is a practically zero percent chance that Trump will stop here after things have (seemingly) gone so smoothly.
4
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
I joined the Geens this week. I don't agree with every policy, but they are a breath of fresh air compared to the legacy parties.Really? You encourage me to leave and join the Greens, after 13 years in Parliament (not a member of any pressure group or consistently left-wing) and 50 years in the party, though I'm waiting for the local elections and any aftermath before deciding. Defining a party by exclusion is ultimately self-defeating, not least as once you start you end up excluding moderate people who disagree with you on anything.John McDonnell is a stain on the Labour Party.As John McDonnell said it starts with an acorn and before you know it you're facing an oak tree.You are facing down an economic event of Biblical proportions thanks to Trump and Bibi's ghost. I can't see that doing nothing to defend access to the straits is an option. How to strategize that without loss of military personnel is quite the conundrum.Starmer ends up in the worst of all worlds .If you tether yourself to an incontinent donkey you're going to get showered. To the great British public Starmer has joinied Trumps madcap army.. The fact that he's been assigned the job of cleaning the toilets just makes us look worse.
Which seems to sum up his premiership !
Would Carney or Macron have volunteered?
Gutless coward like Corbyn, Abbott, Long Bailey, Burgeon.
They cannot be allowed to regain influence. Should have been binned off long ago.
Foxy
3
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
Carlson was interviewed by Piers Morgan last night and certainly has a following amongst the anti foreign wars, Israel sceptic wing of the GOP. He would be unlikely to win the nomination but could beat neocon pro Israel, pro Iran strikes Rubio for second. I would still expect VP Vance, who has been less openly gung ho about the Iran strikes than Trump and Rubio if still on the face of it loyal, to be GOP nominee.
Carlson has interviewed Putin and is also fiercely anti US involvement in Ukraine, so his isolationist anti Iran strikes position is at least consistent even if you disagree with it as I do
Carlson has interviewed Putin and is also fiercely anti US involvement in Ukraine, so his isolationist anti Iran strikes position is at least consistent even if you disagree with it as I do
HYUFD
1
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
@NickPalmerReally? You encourage me to leave and join the Greens, after 13 years in Parliament (not a member of any pressure group or consistently left-wing) and 50 years in the party, though I'm waiting for the local elections and any aftermath before deciding. Defining a party by exclusion is ultimately self-defeating, not least as once you start you end up excluding moderate people who disagree with you on anything.John McDonnell is a stain on the Labour Party.As John McDonnell said it starts with an acorn and before you know it you're facing an oak tree.You are facing down an economic event of Biblical proportions thanks to Trump and Bibi's ghost. I can't see that doing nothing to defend access to the straits is an option. How to strategize that without loss of military personnel is quite the conundrum.Starmer ends up in the worst of all worlds .If you tether yourself to an incontinent donkey you're going to get showered. To the great British public Starmer has joinied Trumps madcap army.. The fact that he's been assigned the job of cleaning the toilets just makes us look worse.
Which seems to sum up his premiership !
Would Carney or Macron have volunteered?
Gutless coward like Corbyn, Abbott, Long Bailey, Burgeon.
They cannot be allowed to regain influence. Should have been binned off long ago.
For many years on this forum you have been the most interesting and decent poster never turning to foul language or personal abuse and actually provided one of the most gobsmacking and amusing moments in your life and though we are politically a distance apart, your love of animal welfare is very much a cause for our family and the Welsh government's ban on greyhound racing has been well received
You were an excellent MP and a wise advisor and if anyone could persuade me to your views you can
Compare and contrast that with @Brixian59 who makes nastiness an artform and simply just does not understand how much damage he causes for is own political views
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
Overnight Iran launched 2 ballistic missiles at Diego Garcia 4,000 kilometres awayApart from anything else, I cannot see a way for us to keep the Strait open by military force. If 2 carrier groups of the US Navy cannot, then how can we?You are facing down an economic event of Biblical proportions thanks to Trump and Bibi's ghost. I can't see that doing nothing to defend access to the straits is an option. How to strategize that without loss of military personnel is quite the conundrum.Starmer ends up in the worst of all worlds .If you tether yourself to an incontinent donkey you're going to get showered. To the great British public Starmer has joinied Trumps madcap army.. The fact that he's been assigned the job of cleaning the toilets just makes us look worse.
Which seems to sum up his premiership !
Would Carney or Macron have volunteered?
The only realistic way to open the strait is through negotiation with Tehran. In which case bombing Iran is unlikely to help.
London is 4,400 kilometres way from Iran
Let that sink in
Starmer promises increased defence spending but no defence review yet and no agreement with the treasury
Trump has created the most extraordinary and dangerous crisis for he wes,t and in particular UK and European defence spending requiring billions of immediate invesrtment
Labour and the treasury are complaining about how unlucky they are, but welcome to the world of Johnson and the conservatives who saw covid and the war in Ukraine erupt on their watch and we all saw what happened in 2024
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/20/uk-ministers-begin-contingency-planning-amid-fears-for-economic-effects-of-iran-war?CMP=share_btn_url

