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Farage, not Starmer, is the anti-Midas – politicalbetting.com
Farage, not Starmer, is the anti-Midas – politicalbetting.com
Does Keir Starmer really have a "reverse Midas touch"? A YouGov experiment does not find such an effect on two policies tested – associating Keir Starmer's name with spending more on veterans and spending more on animal welfare made no difference to resultsyougov.co.uk/politics/art…
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Re: There is still time to enter the 2026 PB Predictions Competition – politicalbetting.com
I spent over an hour yesterday with my wife with a consultant in elderly care
She was wonderful, kind, patient, caring and simply amazing and Sri Lankan
Apparently her husband is also a consultant with the same caring attitude
And Farage,/ Jenrick/ Braverman and Goodwin would threaten their place in our community
Shame on all of you
She was wonderful, kind, patient, caring and simply amazing and Sri Lankan
Apparently her husband is also a consultant with the same caring attitude
And Farage,/ Jenrick/ Braverman and Goodwin would threaten their place in our community
Shame on all of you
Re: There is still time to enter the 2026 PB Predictions Competition – politicalbetting.com
Tales from the dark side... I've just got back from the RN Museum at Hartlegrad (did the trip at fucking ridiculous speeds in the i5 M60) and I have Fukker news. They used to have a giant office like a teal painted Mogamma on a roundabout opposite an undertakers. This was very handy for a key tranche of Fukker votes - the over 70s dressed in mismatched tracksuits stood at a rain swept bus stop asking each other if it's Tuesday. IT HAS GONE! The Fukkers have retreated leaving the premises to be occupied by a hypnotherapy centre and one of those places that give you a fake tan by blasting chemicals up your nose. That's it. I am calling "Peak Fukker". If they have abandoned Brexit Ground Zero, what is left?Are you sure the hypnotherapy centre is not a cover?
The undertaker has a Mustang Mach-E hearse, which I thought was interesting.
So dignified.
You go in with a fear of cats and come out determined to vote Reform and idolising Nigel Farage.
Selebian
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Re: There is still time to enter the 2026 PB Predictions Competition – politicalbetting.com
https://www.thetimes.com/article/d956456f-44fe-46f5-a8d4-4faf28e13402?shareToken=38fe61117741460b7f4244e748516054Thank you. Nonetheless it would appear to be a confected outrage by the Mail over an accidental omission rather than an anti-Semitic conspiracy.BBC is forced to apologise over its Holocaust Memorial Day coverage... because 'it failed to use the word Jews' | Daily Mail Online https://share.google/errTUhUteB9yHWbNIJust reading up.on the BBC's failure to.mention Jews in the Holocaust broadcast. Its a new low even for the BBC. In fact its a disgrace.Citation required.
BBC News are piss poor on a number of counts, but surely you are making this up.
The BBC, one of who's grandees owns the Jewish Chronicle are not normally shy when it comes to balance in favour of Israel, for example if an independent analysis of a Gazan atrocity is required, Elon Levy is their go-to "independent" commentator.
Technically the BBC by unsung "people" are right as other "minorities" like the Romany community were also victims of the holocaust.
I think faux outrage is unhelpful on Holocaust Memorial Day. Remember too whose side the current owner of the Mail's grandfather, Lord Rothermere, was on during the run up to the Second World War.
Its not faux outrage,is a fucking disgrace and typical.of the BBC's antisemitic stance.(i am not Jewish)
Conflating the Mail with this is disingenuous.. so I have added the Times.
Re: There is still time to enter the 2026 PB Predictions Competition – politicalbetting.com
I didn't listen to the broadcast, but their news section has this from yesterday.Just reading up.on the BBC's failure to.mention Jews in the Holocaust broadcast. Its a new low even for the BBC. In fact its a disgrace.Citation required.
BBC News are piss poor on a number of counts, but surely you are making this up.
The BBC, one of who's grandees owns the Jewish Chronicle are not normally shy when it comes to balance in favour of Israel, for example if an independent analysis of a Gazan atrocity is required, Elon Levy is their go-to "independent" commentator.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ce3epjw2x20o
..King Charles said survivors who had died were also present "in spirit" at the reception to mark Holocaust Memorial Day.
Earlier on Tuesday, Mala Tribich became the first holocaust survivor to address the cabinet - where she urged the government to "do what needs to be done" to tackle antisemitism today.
Holocaust Memorial Day takes place on 27 January each year and remembers the six million Jewish people murdered during World War Two...
Nigelb
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Re: There is still time to enter the 2026 PB Predictions Competition – politicalbetting.com
Good morning
Just read Mogg's demands the conservatives stand down in Gorton to give Reform a free run
My response to Mogg is you join them if you want to, but under no circumstances must the conservatives give any ground to Farage's Trump tribute act
Indeed Moggs comments has seen me join @prosper.uk and I would urge all conservatives to come aboad and restore our party to a one nation organization
And to @HYUFD there is no excuse whatsoever for Mogg
Just read Mogg's demands the conservatives stand down in Gorton to give Reform a free run
My response to Mogg is you join them if you want to, but under no circumstances must the conservatives give any ground to Farage's Trump tribute act
Indeed Moggs comments has seen me join @prosper.uk and I would urge all conservatives to come aboad and restore our party to a one nation organization
And to @HYUFD there is no excuse whatsoever for Mogg
Re: There is still time to enter the 2026 PB Predictions Competition – politicalbetting.com
Twitter Defence Analysts seem in agreement that Donnie is going into Iran in the next 24-48 hrs.TACO.
Re: There is still time to enter the 2026 PB Predictions Competition – politicalbetting.com
I think the data points in that FoN GM poll were interesting that had Ref 36, Labour 24. Compared with Lab 42, Ref 17 for the GE.20% Labour and 30% Greens, Reform win.One thing that struck me, reading Yougov’s combined data for December/January, is that right wing support is now a lot greater among lower earners than higher earners.And now the Workers Party are standing, they’ll siphon off some of the left wing vote from the Greens and Labour.
That probably means that Gorton will be more fertile ground for Reform than I had first thought.
I’m guessing that Reform will win about 35%; Workers Party 10%; Con and Lib Dem’s 5%.
That leaves about 50% for Labour and Greens.
15% Labour and 35% Greens, TCTC.
I suspect the latter more likely. It's probably a coin flip right now.
Applying an 18 point uniform swing to G&D, leaves Ref 32.1, Lab 32.8, so you can still get a Labour win out of a uniform treatment of current polling. Proportional swing keeps it tight, it would just put both Reform and Labour a bit lower.
This keeps Labour in the game, they are in the mix and they will campaign very loudly that they are the game. I guess the danger is that people don't believe that, Green drift occurs and they hit the tipping point where they seem out of it and it spiral towards a Caerphilly type result.
If Labour do drop here, the crossover point that enables a Reform win is very, very narrow - a tight election on the left could as easily pitch Reform into third as let them sneak through.
Pro_Rata
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Re: There is still time to enter the 2026 PB Predictions Competition – politicalbetting.com
I don't think I can agree with JRM that the Tories should stand aside in this byelection. It gives opponents of both the Tories and Reform too much ammunition. If the Tory vote is significant in letting in a Labour (or more likely Green) MP, that will be a salutory lesson and focus minds for the coming GE. I expect it actually won't - I believe the Tory vote will largely fold into the Reform vote - that is what happened in Caerphilly.I don't get this idea that the remaining Tory voters are going to vote for Reform. I would be voting for the none Reform party on principle.
eek
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Re: There is still time to enter the 2026 PB Predictions Competition – politicalbetting.com
The real problem is that a non-trivial number of Conservatives would quite like Reform to eat up the Conservative Party. They look at what happened in Canada and see that as a good thing.Jacob Rees_Mogg says the Tories should stand aside for ReformUK in Denton & Gorton.So the Tories still haven't realised that Reform are eating the Tories from the inside out.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lILQAd8XG7c
Isn't it about time Mogg did the right thing and defected?




