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Restore or Reform

One thing is clear there isn't room for 3 right wing Parties and the tired old one of the 3 is Kemis Tories

Not hard to see more Tory defections.

The Tories have a stark choice become the third choice Fringe right wing Party under Kemi or target the centre ground, sensible One Nation Tory Party under Cleverly or Hunt.

There is a lot of fertile ground there that would not touch the current Tory Leadership with a barge pole

You are correct

There is not room for 3 right wing parties, but then there are only 2 right wing parties, Reform and Restore, whilst Kemi is centre right and not only Kemi will lead the party of the centre right over the next 3 years but she will overtake the other 2 and in the process I fear you will combust

A couple of questions, if you don't mind me asking:

1 Thinking about the current shadow cabinet, they've shifted to the right compared with (say) Cameron's shadow cabinet before 2010, or Thatcher's cabinet in 1990, haven't they? I'm not aware of anyone whose politics map onto say Caroline Spelman, George Young or Ken Clarke... let alone John Gummer or Chris Patten. The "centre" in "centre-right" feels like it's in much fainter type than it used to be- isn't it?

2 Why does Kemi Badenoch get three years to turn things around (because her party is not doing well at the moment), when that allowance doesn't seem to be made to anyone else? What's the source of your confidence that she will?

The 1990 cabinet who eventually royally fucked up the ERM situation, and then chose the successor who ended up with a massive defeat in 1997 IN SPITE of economic feel good....

Perhaps those proto centrist Dads were the root cause of the Tory failure....

I'd have taken my chances with Portillo, Howard and Redwood persuing a 90s Thatcherism any day.....

Thatcherism was a one-off.
You can only sell off the council houses, on the cheap, once.
You can only sell off the public utility companies, on the cheap, once.
You can only steal Scotland's oil once.

Or, just perhaps, no one else has had the imagination and intellectual confidence to try and replicate it.

This 'stealing Scotland's oil' is particularly objectionable. The country INCLUDES Scotland; we bailed them out to achieve it, and have been bailing them out consistently since....

Restore or Reform

One thing is clear there isn't room for 3 right wing Parties and the tired old one of the 3 is Kemis Tories

Not hard to see more Tory defections.

The Tories have a stark choice become the third choice Fringe right wing Party under Kemi or target the centre ground, sensible One Nation Tory Party under Cleverly or Hunt.

There is a lot of fertile ground there that would not touch the current Tory Leadership with a barge pole

You are correct

There is not room for 3 right wing parties, but then there are only 2 right wing parties, Reform and Restore, whilst Kemi is centre right and not only Kemi will lead the party of the centre right over the next 3 years but she will overtake the other 2 and in the process I fear you will combust

A couple of questions, if you don't mind me asking:

1 Thinking about the current shadow cabinet, they've shifted to the right compared with (say) Cameron's shadow cabinet before 2010, or Thatcher's cabinet in 1990, haven't they? I'm not aware of anyone whose politics map onto say Caroline Spelman, George Young or Ken Clarke... let alone John Gummer or Chris Patten. The "centre" in "centre-right" feels like it's in much fainter type than it used to be- isn't it?

2 Why does Kemi Badenoch get three years to turn things around (because her party is not doing well at the moment), when that allowance doesn't seem to be made to anyone else? What's the source of your confidence that she will?

The 1990 cabinet who eventually royally fucked up the ERM situation, and then chose the successor who ended up with a massive defeat in 1997 IN SPITE of economic feel good....

Perhaps those proto centrist Dads were the root cause of the Tory failure....

I'd have taken my chances with Portillo, Howard and Redwood persuing a 90s Thatcherism any day.....

Thatcherism was a one-off.
You can only sell off the council houses, on the cheap, once.
You can only sell off the public utility companies, on the cheap, once.
You can only steal Scotland's oil once.

That's going to mess with the IPO, amongst other things.

The US government, citing national security authorities, has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States, including foreign national Anthropic employees.

The net effect of this order is that we must abruptly disable Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all our customers to ensure compliance.

Access to all other Claude models is not affected.

We apologize for this disruption to our customers. We believe this is a misunderstanding and are working to restore access as soon as possible.

https://x.com/AnthropicAI/status/2065597531644743999

Is the motive here just to mess with Anthropic, which does not have the best relations with this administration ?

Mythos 5 can identify cybersecurity holes and backdoors. Fable 5 can, it is feared, be used to design bioweapons. So it's probably that.

For instance, from a couple of days ago:-

Scientists angered as Anthropic AI shuts them out
US tech giant imposes guardrails to prevent criminals abusing new Fable chatbot for nefarious tasks
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2026/06/10/anthropic-ai-bioweapons-fable-mythos/ (£££)

Anthropic themselves have been insinuating that the new models are dangerously good, now they appear surprised that the Commerce department appears to be taking a close interest in them.

Was thinking through the likely implications of Lowe's party taking more than the difference between Lab and Ref this morning.

Preventing a Reform win, and allowing Burnham back into parliament, has a good chance of increasing Farage's chances of himself, or someone from his party, becoming a PM with a majority. All our experiences of Farage are that he continually gets close, before pressure builds and events dictate his cause - at least - triumphs.

It happened with UKIP forcing a referendum, and then Brexit winning. And then forcing through Johnson's Brexit in 2019 after stepping down his candidates in Tory seats.

I see Restore stopping Reform's win leading to a Burnham coronation. But the economics won't change positively. The chances of the bond markets taking fright increase, if anything. And then the chances of needing external influence - i.e. IMF - also increase. I can't see that doing anything BUT good for Reform, finally killing off the last vestiges of Labour support.....

Restore or Reform

One thing is clear there isn't room for 3 right wing Parties and the tired old one of the 3 is Kemis Tories

Not hard to see more Tory defections.

The Tories have a stark choice become the third choice Fringe right wing Party under Kemi or target the centre ground, sensible One Nation Tory Party under Cleverly or Hunt.

There is a lot of fertile ground there that would not touch the current Tory Leadership with a barge pole

You are correct

There is not room for 3 right wing parties, but then there are only 2 right wing parties, Reform and Restore, whilst Kemi is centre right and not only Kemi will lead the party of the centre right over the next 3 years but she will overtake the other 2 and in the process I fear you will combust

A couple of questions, if you don't mind me asking:

1 Thinking about the current shadow cabinet, they've shifted to the right compared with (say) Cameron's shadow cabinet before 2010, or Thatcher's cabinet in 1990, haven't they? I'm not aware of anyone whose politics map onto say Caroline Spelman, George Young or Ken Clarke... let alone John Gummer or Chris Patten. The "centre" in "centre-right" feels like it's in much fainter type than it used to be- isn't it?

2 Why does Kemi Badenoch get three years to turn things around (because her party is not doing well at the moment), when that allowance doesn't seem to be made to anyone else? What's the source of your confidence that she will?

In case you hadn't noticed, the entire debate has shifted right. Labour's most successful PM has come out against Net Zero and mainstream commentators are openly questioning why the PM is still determined to hose money at Milliband, not sack him and fund the army - how stupid would Kemi look now if she had given cover to Labour by sticking to the Tories endorsement of the accelerated Net Zero push?

Likewise on immigration, we have Burnham saying Labour need to get a grip on the boats and that councils should be able to refuse migrant centres. Kemi is ahead of this because she realised that we need to leave the ECHR, and she now looks prescient.

Both of these things were furiously clucked at by our centrist brigade. You don't want Kemi to go to the centre because you think there are votes there, you want it because you're worried that what was centrism is being abandoned. Well it is.

This is interesting, from a Change.org email. Why Sikh leaders are demanding a public enquiry:

Dabinderjit Singh, chief executive for political engagement at the Sikh Federation, has started a Change.org petition demanding a statutory public inquiry into the death of 18-year-old Henry Nowak, and the institutions that failed him.

The petition argues that multi-agency oversights contributed to Henry’s death; that police conduct at the scene was seriously deficient; and that a criminal trial at Southampton Crown Court not only failed to deliver justice for his family but brought the sacred Kirpan — a Sikh religious symbol — needlessly into disrepute.

do you agree? Sign Dabinderjit Singh’s petition today.

There was a lot of reporting that appeared to suggest the Sikh ceremonial knife was the murder weapon, but that wasn’t actually the case.

The Sikh community are worried that there will now be pressure to remove the religious exemption that exists for carrying these ceremonial knives in public.

Most Sikhs wear basically a badge in the shape of a dagger. It's tiny and could not seriously be called a weapon. The killer also had one. He did not need to carry an actual knife for religious purposes.