Best Of
Re: What the public expects from the budget – politicalbetting.com
Superb piece by AEP on Ukraine-Russia:
"If you step back and look at the full strategic picture, the balance of advantage is shifting in favour of Ukraine, and not Russia as some would have it. We should not lose sight of this as we grapple with the chaos of Donald Trump’s latest and most shameless intervention. To walk away now is to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory"
"The only safe peace deal is one that leaves Ukraine armed to the teeth as a steel porcupine, and Russia nursing its economic wounds for a generation."
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2025/11/26/snatching-defeat-from-the-jaws-of-victory-against-russia/
"If you step back and look at the full strategic picture, the balance of advantage is shifting in favour of Ukraine, and not Russia as some would have it. We should not lose sight of this as we grapple with the chaos of Donald Trump’s latest and most shameless intervention. To walk away now is to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory"
"The only safe peace deal is one that leaves Ukraine armed to the teeth as a steel porcupine, and Russia nursing its economic wounds for a generation."
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2025/11/26/snatching-defeat-from-the-jaws-of-victory-against-russia/
Re: The politics of envy – politicalbetting.com
This is very much about character, in a not dissimilar manner to Johnson's denials in the face of plain evidence.
Had Farage simply fessed up and apologised for youthful mistakes/foolishness/stupidity, then the story would have been over within a few days.
Three more ex-pupils at school with Nigel Farage reject ‘banter’ claims
Exclusive: Dulwich college contemporaries ‘rubbish’ Reform UK leader’s suggestion alleged racist taunts not intended to hurt
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/nov/25/three-more-ex-pupils-at-school-with-nigel-farage-reject-banter-claims
..“Being called a Paki isn’t hurtful?” Oshidar asked. A third, Rickard Berg, told the Guardian: “He’s now in a position where he shouldn’t be denying this. He’s straight up lying.”
The Guardian has spoken to more than 20 people who alleged racist or antisemitic behaviour by Farage at school, including seven people who say they recall the targeted abuse of Peter Ettedgui..
Had Farage simply fessed up and apologised for youthful mistakes/foolishness/stupidity, then the story would have been over within a few days.
Three more ex-pupils at school with Nigel Farage reject ‘banter’ claims
Exclusive: Dulwich college contemporaries ‘rubbish’ Reform UK leader’s suggestion alleged racist taunts not intended to hurt
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/nov/25/three-more-ex-pupils-at-school-with-nigel-farage-reject-banter-claims
..“Being called a Paki isn’t hurtful?” Oshidar asked. A third, Rickard Berg, told the Guardian: “He’s now in a position where he shouldn’t be denying this. He’s straight up lying.”
The Guardian has spoken to more than 20 people who alleged racist or antisemitic behaviour by Farage at school, including seven people who say they recall the targeted abuse of Peter Ettedgui..
Nigelb
6
Re: What the public expects from the budget – politicalbetting.com
While wearing a trilby and fresh from presenting a ground-breaking tv series.Will Rachel surprise us all by sipping on a gin & tonic?Apparently Ken Clarke was the last Chancellor to enjoy a ‘tipple’ during the Budget speech.
What a guy!
Re: What the public expects from the budget – politicalbetting.com
I wonder what the surprise will be in the budget . There’s normally one voter friendly policy that hasn’t been leaked yet .Finally, we get our free owls.
Re: The politics of envy – politicalbetting.com
I am starting a jury trial in Aberdeen today. It will finish by Friday, only a single charge and 3 witnesses. It is undeniably the case that if we did not have the jury the trial could be completed in 1 day, not 4. A part of yesterday was spent taking the names from a bowl and the clerk then calling those chosen to serve. This morning the Judge will spend a couple of hours ensuring that they are properly independent and have some idea of their role and fundamental principles. We will then hear from the witnesses and, very probably, the accused. Tomorrow both sides will give speeches and the judge will give his legal directions. We may get a verdict then but more likely it will be on Friday morning.
The outcome of this trial will potentially involve the accused being sentenced to 5 or 6 years and being on the sex offenders register for life. There is a complainer who is looking for justice as she sees it. It's a big deal in the lives of those involved and, in my opinion, needs time and consideration. A decision by an independent jury of the accused's peers is a very important part of that. I can't go into details but it is the sort of case where a professional judge deciding the case alone would be highly likely to convict. A jury gives the accused a chance and ensures that what is being complained about fits with current mores and attitudes. I personally think it is worth the money.
The outcome of this trial will potentially involve the accused being sentenced to 5 or 6 years and being on the sex offenders register for life. There is a complainer who is looking for justice as she sees it. It's a big deal in the lives of those involved and, in my opinion, needs time and consideration. A decision by an independent jury of the accused's peers is a very important part of that. I can't go into details but it is the sort of case where a professional judge deciding the case alone would be highly likely to convict. A jury gives the accused a chance and ensures that what is being complained about fits with current mores and attitudes. I personally think it is worth the money.
DavidL
11
Re: The politics of envy – politicalbetting.com
Indeed, well said.Starmer is at heart an authoritarian who thinks people should be managed, that the law is perfect and never makes mistakes, that more law and regulation is the way to cure things, and cannot understand why concepts like ID cards or jury removal repel people. He lied to become leader of the party, he lied to become PM, and now he has unlimited power we see what he's really like. It's not a pretty sight.I'll be interested to see if this divides tory/reform. I'd imagine this is a no-brainer Conservative position. Reform? Not so sure.Maybe some fools are willing to trust this government to not manipulate judicial selection. I'm not. Also, what about future governments?Getting rid of jury trials is a completely rogue decision and it should be resisted by MPs and the Lords at every turn. This wasn't in the Labour manifesto and they have no remit to remove such a vital protection of our freedom and liberty. What's to stop the government from manipulating judicial selection to fill the benches with judges who will target their opponents? We're literally seeing this happen in real time across the pond and Labour want to walk down an even worse path without jury trials?I'm genuinely curious to see the rationale for the decision. Obviously there are some issues with jury trials, examples have been given on here of really long and complex trials as one, but it's so easy to attack such plans in a way which will cut across party lines, and if the motivation is financial that looks bad too, so even if it is not as bad as the picture you paint, it is not an easy sell, so they surely have some really big hitting arguments to come?
This government proves itself to be utterly unfit for purpose at every opportunity. I curse the million Tory voters who sat on their hands by getting caught up in a media witch hunt against the party. Complete numpties and they've made us all regret it.
Both the Tories and Reform must pledge to bring back jury trials as manifesto commitments from day one. Anything less and they are complicit in a huge erosion of our rights.
Also, what the actual f**k are Labour doing?
isam
5
Re: The politics of envy – politicalbetting.com
18-20 year old minimum wage up 8%Brexit did that. Next.
Killing pubs and hospitality step by step...
If a business can't pay people fairly the business has been a business too long.
Re: The politics of envy – politicalbetting.com
This really feels like a turning point for this country. If Labour manage to somehow remove jury trials for all but two types of crime then I truly believe we will no longer be living in a free or just country.The right for an Englishman to be tried by a jury of his or her peers goes all the way back to Magna Carta. There's no way fools like Lammy and here today, gone tomorrow PMs like Starmer can be allowed to get away with axing a Centuries old right like this - Especially as it wasn't even a manifesto commitment.
From beginning to end agents of the state will be able to investigate, charge, prosecute, adjudicate and sentence on criminal cases in very serious matters. There won't be a single break point or sanity check in that process where someone who isn't paid by the state can actually check the state's reasoning.
This is fundamentally wrong.
GIN1138
6
Re: The politics of envy – politicalbetting.com
Starmer is at heart an authoritarian who thinks people should be managed, that the law is perfect and never makes mistakes, that more law and regulation is the way to cure things, and cannot understand why concepts like ID cards or jury removal repel people. He lied to become leader of the party, he lied to become PM, and now he has unlimited power we see what he's really like. It's not a pretty sight.I'll be interested to see if this divides tory/reform. I'd imagine this is a no-brainer Conservative position. Reform? Not so sure.Maybe some fools are willing to trust this government to not manipulate judicial selection. I'm not. Also, what about future governments?Getting rid of jury trials is a completely rogue decision and it should be resisted by MPs and the Lords at every turn. This wasn't in the Labour manifesto and they have no remit to remove such a vital protection of our freedom and liberty. What's to stop the government from manipulating judicial selection to fill the benches with judges who will target their opponents? We're literally seeing this happen in real time across the pond and Labour want to walk down an even worse path without jury trials?I'm genuinely curious to see the rationale for the decision. Obviously there are some issues with jury trials, examples have been given on here of really long and complex trials as one, but it's so easy to attack such plans in a way which will cut across party lines, and if the motivation is financial that looks bad too, so even if it is not as bad as the picture you paint, it is not an easy sell, so they surely have some really big hitting arguments to come?
This government proves itself to be utterly unfit for purpose at every opportunity. I curse the million Tory voters who sat on their hands by getting caught up in a media witch hunt against the party. Complete numpties and they've made us all regret it.
Both the Tories and Reform must pledge to bring back jury trials as manifesto commitments from day one. Anything less and they are complicit in a huge erosion of our rights.
Also, what the actual f**k are Labour doing?
8
Re: The politics of envy – politicalbetting.com
It's surprising that 20-30 years of underfunding, under-reforming, can lead to simplistic revoking of nearly a millennia of tradition.This really feels like a turning point for this country. If Labour manage to somehow remove jury trials for all but two types of crime then I truly believe we will no longer be living in a free or just country.The right for an Englishman to be tried by a jury of his or her peers goes all the way back to Magna Carta. There's no way fools like Lammy and here today, gone tomorrow PMs like Starmer can be allowed to get away with axing a Centuries old right like this - Especially as it wasn't even a manifesto commitment.
From beginning to end agents of the state will be able to investigate, charge, prosecute, adjudicate and sentence on criminal cases in very serious matters. There won't be a single break point or sanity check in that process where someone who isn't paid by the state can actually check the state's reasoning.
This is fundamentally wrong.
Maybe not that surprising. Now that I think about it.
ohnotnow
5

