Best Of
Re: Politicians usually never recover from these figures – politicalbetting.com
Another 50 stations in Home Counties to get contactless ticketing to/from LondonThat might be the most touchin' story on pb all day.
Re: Politicians usually never recover from these figures – politicalbetting.com
Or if interest rates go from 0.5% to 5%, adding an order of magnitude to the planned debt servicing cost.Deficits don’t matter if the economy is growing - they do when that growth stopsDeficits don't matter to current politicians because it is a problem for future politicians.One thing occurs. When Thatcher and Howe took over in 1979 there was a budget deficit and high inflation. They choose to try to squeeze inflation out of the system which eventually led to a strong upturn in the economy, although not without an awful lot of pain en route. The deficit was definitely a BAD thing and should be avoided.I have rewatched the end of Truss over the weekend when mulling over the state of Starmer.Truss cut tax without cutting spending which with the size of the deficit the markets wouldn't haveHe doesn't know how. Then again, neither do the Tories. We need to drive growth to generate tax revenues. But collectively seem to think that making people have less money in their pocket - cuts and tax rises - will make that happen.On topic - the budget is already sinking and there is a week and a half to go. They have managed to get to an extraordinary position where whatever they unveil, the response from political wonks will be "is that it?" and the response from market wonks will be "don't like that".It is time to shit or get off the toilet.
And so the recriminations. I'm on record saying McSweeney will the first up against the wall, gone by the 2nd week of December as the budget fallout gets brutal.
After that? Starmer is toast. The kind of toast where you're desperately scraping it with your knife to try and save it, but knowing in your heart that you will still be able to taste the burn.
There won't be a general election before 2029, so we have to put up with this shit. So let's hope someone with some nous and some vision comes forward or we truly will be sunk.
There is a model that the government could adopt - the miracle of Manchester. This has been a 30 year turnaround so its not all on Burnham, but as the metro mayor he knows what works and how to get significant changes done effectively. Shift Gwynne aside and get him into parliament. Whilst there is still time...
Do what you think needs to be done to balance the budget, or you don't deserve to be in office.
I blame the Treasury. Liz Truss was right as much as she was bonkers - she turned her guns on the Treasury. She just didn't go far enough.
Fascinating to watch the winding up of the fracking debate. The minister proudly boasts about how the Conservatives had massively developed renewable energy. Because its right for Britain and puts us in a good place for the future.
Whatever happened to the Conservative Party? Even at its zenith of loopyness it was still better grounded in reality than Badenoch's mob.
Now we have been living with deficits for decades and arguably it has become normalised. In some ways its the same a the availability of cheap credit to all of us. Want that new car? Credit makes it happen. Want that new phone? Stick it on your credit card. Etc etc.
Have our politicians just come to accept that deficits don't really matter? Is that why no-one is ever serious about getting rid of them?
Sandpit
5
Re: Politicians usually never recover from these figures – politicalbetting.com
If it’s a mild cheddar would anyone notice the difference ?Don't be silly, attaching the cheese to the bread with rubber bands is the obvious solution.I guess he could have put the toaster on its side 😉I recall a fellow student making cheese on toast in a toaster. I imagine this is how Sir Isaac Newton discovered gravity.I did see a hotel toaster set on fire, but as I recall it was because someone sent a croissant through it, so not you that time.On topic - the budget is already sinking and there is a week and a half to go. They have managed to get to an extraordinary position where whatever they unveil, the response from political wonks will be "is that it?" and the response from market wonks will be "don't like that".On the subject of toast, I am someone who likes it charcoal black. I once set fire to a Novotel toaster in an effort to get it to go beyond the 'dried bread' anaemia stage (it was the third pass that did for it, as I recall).
And so the recriminations. I'm on record saying McSweeney will the first up against the wall, gone by the 2nd week of December as the budget fallout gets brutal.
After that? Starmer is toast. The kind of toast where you're desperately scraping it with your knife to try and save it, but knowing in your heart that you will still be able to taste the burn.
There won't be a general election before 2029, so we have to put up with this shit. So let's hope someone with some nous and some vision comes forward or we truly will be sunk.
There is a model that the government could adopt - the miracle of Manchester. This has been a 30 year turnaround so its not all on Burnham, but as the metro mayor he knows what works and how to get significant changes done effectively. Shift Gwynne aside and get him into parliament. Whilst there is still time...
And yes, I know burnt toast is potentially carcinogenic - I limit myself to toast once a fortnight or so.
Taz
5
Re: Politicians usually never recover from these figures – politicalbetting.com
I recall a fellow student making cheese on toast in a toaster. I imagine this is how Sir Isaac Newton discovered gravity.I did see a hotel toaster set on fire, but as I recall it was because someone sent a croissant through it, so not you that time.On topic - the budget is already sinking and there is a week and a half to go. They have managed to get to an extraordinary position where whatever they unveil, the response from political wonks will be "is that it?" and the response from market wonks will be "don't like that".On the subject of toast, I am someone who likes it charcoal black. I once set fire to a Novotel toaster in an effort to get it to go beyond the 'dried bread' anaemia stage (it was the third pass that did for it, as I recall).
And so the recriminations. I'm on record saying McSweeney will the first up against the wall, gone by the 2nd week of December as the budget fallout gets brutal.
After that? Starmer is toast. The kind of toast where you're desperately scraping it with your knife to try and save it, but knowing in your heart that you will still be able to taste the burn.
There won't be a general election before 2029, so we have to put up with this shit. So let's hope someone with some nous and some vision comes forward or we truly will be sunk.
There is a model that the government could adopt - the miracle of Manchester. This has been a 30 year turnaround so its not all on Burnham, but as the metro mayor he knows what works and how to get significant changes done effectively. Shift Gwynne aside and get him into parliament. Whilst there is still time...
And yes, I know burnt toast is potentially carcinogenic - I limit myself to toast once a fortnight or so.
Re: Politicians usually never recover from these figures – politicalbetting.com
You will remember that one of the things a lot of people on here have repeated for years is that we need orchestrated long term plans for all infrastructure projectsWell that’s crap. It shouldn’t take a genius to work out that losing skills in niche industries is really expensive, so the next project will run over time and over budget because they’ll need to repeat the training exercise again.Already happening - I know someone who was in one of those HS2 centres, most people have left the industry because they couldn’t get permanent jobsHS2 had to set up several training centres at the start of the project, because they couldn’t find skills they needed.From what I’ve heard the lack of rail projects is decimating the industry to the extent that it will never be able to recoverI absolutely get it that the national finances are not the same as a household budget. but at some point people have to understand just how much money we spend each year paying off loans.The global economy doesn't expect sovereign debt to be repaid, only refinanced.One thing occurs. When Thatcher and Howe took over in 1979 there was a budget deficit and high inflation. They choose to try to squeeze inflation out of the system which eventually led to a strong upturn in the economy, although not without an awful lot of pain en route. The deficit was definitely a BAD thing and should be avoided.I have rewatched the end of Truss over the weekend when mulling over the state of Starmer.Truss cut tax without cutting spending which with the size of the deficit the markets wouldn't haveHe doesn't know how. Then again, neither do the Tories. We need to drive growth to generate tax revenues. But collectively seem to think that making people have less money in their pocket - cuts and tax rises - will make that happen.On topic - the budget is already sinking and there is a week and a half to go. They have managed to get to an extraordinary position where whatever they unveil, the response from political wonks will be "is that it?" and the response from market wonks will be "don't like that".It is time to shit or get off the toilet.
And so the recriminations. I'm on record saying McSweeney will the first up against the wall, gone by the 2nd week of December as the budget fallout gets brutal.
After that? Starmer is toast. The kind of toast where you're desperately scraping it with your knife to try and save it, but knowing in your heart that you will still be able to taste the burn.
There won't be a general election before 2029, so we have to put up with this shit. So let's hope someone with some nous and some vision comes forward or we truly will be sunk.
There is a model that the government could adopt - the miracle of Manchester. This has been a 30 year turnaround so its not all on Burnham, but as the metro mayor he knows what works and how to get significant changes done effectively. Shift Gwynne aside and get him into parliament. Whilst there is still time...
Do what you think needs to be done to balance the budget, or you don't deserve to be in office.
I blame the Treasury. Liz Truss was right as much as she was bonkers - she turned her guns on the Treasury. She just didn't go far enough.
Fascinating to watch the winding up of the fracking debate. The minister proudly boasts about how the Conservatives had massively developed renewable energy. Because its right for Britain and puts us in a good place for the future.
Whatever happened to the Conservative Party? Even at its zenith of loopyness it was still better grounded in reality than Badenoch's mob.
Now we have been living with deficits for decades and arguably it has become normalised. In some ways its the same a the availability of cheap credit to all of us. Want that new car? Credit makes it happen. Want that new phone? Stick it on your credit card. Etc etc.
Have our politicians just come to accept that deficits don't really matter? Is that why no-one is ever serious about getting rid of them?
We absolutely could borrow to invest in capex. Our problem is that we have stopped doing capex projects and we're borrowing to pay the in year costs of our declining economy.
Borrow to invest? Return on investment, economy grows. Borrow for a black hole? More debt, economy slows. So of course we're doing the latter. We need to invest our way out of the hole...
I do agree we need to spend on investment. But both recent flavours of government have been shit at this. The Tories destroyed HS2. And then in come the ming vase crowd and can loads of roads projects (e.g. Stonehenge, where millions has already been spent). Projects in the UK pump prime things. If you are spending money on construction all those workers are being paid etc.
The industry and government needs to ensure there’s a steady pipeline of rail projects when HS2 is completed, otherwise people will drift off into other jobs and the skills will again be lost.
Heck it’s one of my tests as to how clueful a poster on here actually is - we should have 20 year (at various levels of details) plans for power, rail, infrastructure, housing and a whole set of things - if something is planned and then cancelled it should generate annoyance not glee with someone clueful
And we really should be the leaving people to it, because we need hospitals, roads, schools, trains so just give them a budget and leave them to it
eek
6
Re: Politicians usually never recover from these figures – politicalbetting.com
That bit of crispy cheese on the edge of the lasagna dish is just wonderful.Secret confession as we are all friends on PB - I love the crunchy cheese that's been melted and then cooled down from a toasted sandwich.Yes because burnt rubber doesn't taste like cheese. At least, I doubt it.If it’s a mild cheddar would anyone notice the difference ?Don't be silly, attaching the cheese to the bread with rubber bands is the obvious solution.I guess he could have put the toaster on its side 😉I recall a fellow student making cheese on toast in a toaster. I imagine this is how Sir Isaac Newton discovered gravity.I did see a hotel toaster set on fire, but as I recall it was because someone sent a croissant through it, so not you that time.On topic - the budget is already sinking and there is a week and a half to go. They have managed to get to an extraordinary position where whatever they unveil, the response from political wonks will be "is that it?" and the response from market wonks will be "don't like that".On the subject of toast, I am someone who likes it charcoal black. I once set fire to a Novotel toaster in an effort to get it to go beyond the 'dried bread' anaemia stage (it was the third pass that did for it, as I recall).
And so the recriminations. I'm on record saying McSweeney will the first up against the wall, gone by the 2nd week of December as the budget fallout gets brutal.
After that? Starmer is toast. The kind of toast where you're desperately scraping it with your knife to try and save it, but knowing in your heart that you will still be able to taste the burn.
There won't be a general election before 2029, so we have to put up with this shit. So let's hope someone with some nous and some vision comes forward or we truly will be sunk.
There is a model that the government could adopt - the miracle of Manchester. This has been a 30 year turnaround so its not all on Burnham, but as the metro mayor he knows what works and how to get significant changes done effectively. Shift Gwynne aside and get him into parliament. Whilst there is still time...
And yes, I know burnt toast is potentially carcinogenic - I limit myself to toast once a fortnight or so.
Foss
5
Re: Politicians usually never recover from these figures – politicalbetting.com
Anyone who believes that Trump truly wishes to release the Epstein Files is a fool. Please explain why Trump was browbeating Lauren Boebert in the White House Situation Room a couple of days ago if Trump wanted the Files released?
If Trump's calling for the release now, it's because he expects to lose the House vote, and there are other ways of stalling, by the Senate, by the DOJ investigations, etc.
Trump wants the Epstein Files exposed to the light of day just as much as he wants people seeing his tax records, or his medical reports.
If Trump's calling for the release now, it's because he expects to lose the House vote, and there are other ways of stalling, by the Senate, by the DOJ investigations, etc.
Trump wants the Epstein Files exposed to the light of day just as much as he wants people seeing his tax records, or his medical reports.
glw
7
Re: Politicians usually never recover from these figures – politicalbetting.com
It makes a good case for getting rid of the Triple Lock.There's a way back, possibly...That article argues that if you're going to suffer unpopularity, you might as well do something significant and worthwhile, that either delivers or allows you to afford some big compensating wins elsewhere. That is the argument for the 2p tax rise that almost woz.....
https://www.edrith.co.uk/p/reeves-in-zugzwang?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=fa1ld&triedRedirect=true
We all know that it has to go at some point, and its not as if pensioners vote Labour.
Foxy
7
Re: Politicians usually never recover from these figures – politicalbetting.com
There's a way back, possibly...That article argues that if you're going to suffer unpopularity, you might as well do something significant and worthwhile, that either delivers or allows you to afford some big compensating wins elsewhere. That is the argument for the 2p tax rise that almost woz.....
https://www.edrith.co.uk/p/reeves-in-zugzwang?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=fa1ld&triedRedirect=true
IanB2
5
Re: Angela Rayner appears to have as much self awareness as Liz Truss – politicalbetting.com
"Small boat migrants to have jewellery & assets seized to pay for accommodation as part of Home Sec’s arrivals crackdown"The Overton window has certainly shifted !!!
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/37340079/migrants-jewellery-seized-accommodation/
Straight off the boat, right hand over your chains, your phones, what cash you got, come on hand it all over, all of it in the box, its going on Cash Convertors to pay for the Travelodge....under a Labour Home Secretary. The party who until a year ago would protest every single attempt to do anything.
Its not really going to happen though is it.
