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Re: Punters continue to think Labour will win the most seats at the next election – politicalbetting.com
Suella De VilCouncillors? Bit boring?29 new councillors. Be interesting to see from which parties (all/mostly Con or any from Lab etc)Farage making some kind of "big" announcement at noon.Looks like some councillor defections.
https://x.com/Nigel_Farage/status/1901606807539155116
Not sure it's a 'big' announcement!
I was hoping for a SUELLA
Suella De Vil
If she will not join you
Who the fuck will?


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Re: Punters continue to think Labour will win the most seats at the next election – politicalbetting.com
A few weeks ago, we were discussing the fact that we weren't quite at the point where the rule of law had broken down in the US, and there were still legal constraints on the Trump administration.
After the deportation flights - not just the fact that they ignored the order, but the fact that the AG issued a note suggesting that they did not believe the court had the jurisdiction to make the order, and carried on regardless - are we still hiding behind a fig leaf that the courts have any power over this Presidency?
After the deportation flights - not just the fact that they ignored the order, but the fact that the AG issued a note suggesting that they did not believe the court had the jurisdiction to make the order, and carried on regardless - are we still hiding behind a fig leaf that the courts have any power over this Presidency?

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Re: Punters continue to think Labour will win the most seats at the next election – politicalbetting.com
Who will be first to apologise to Andrew Bridgen, former MP ?‘I’m sorry I called you a vax denying twat’
Said no one.
Re: Punters continue to think Labour will win the most seats at the next election – politicalbetting.com
As Trump and MAGA become ever more demonstrably horrific, I’ve seen this trend for their supporters to shout ever louder about the (fictional) evils of the Democrats, the “Biden crime family”, the Clintons’ supposed evils, etc. It seems like a desperate attempt to avoid talking about the obvious problems today by repeating the greatest hits of disinformation past.

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Re: Punters continue to think Labour will win the most seats at the next election – politicalbetting.com
'Generation Z are giving up on work, a new study suggests, with almost four in 10 considering leaving their job and ending up on benefits.Perhaps it is time to look at the question in a different way?
PwC warned that a generation of workers were now in danger of permanently drifting out of the jobs market, and identified mental health conditions as a “major driver” of youth worklessness.
It said economic inactivity, where people are neither in work nor looking for a job, was on course to rise further, with 4.4m workers – one in 10 of the overall workforce – now “on the brink of leaving the labour market”.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2025/03/17/gen-z-risk-benefit-crisis-four-in-10-consider-give-up-work/
Why is paid employment in the UK so uniquely unpopular, unfulfilling and unattractive?
Re: Punters continue to think Labour will win the most seats at the next election – politicalbetting.com
The levels of cognitive dissonance are astonishing. Let’s assume that Hunter Biden is a bad’un. May be true. But his crimes are rather pale in comparison to Trump’s own ongoing criminality."Biden crime family"?Buttgieg was also mediocre in office and was one of the liars who said that Biden was good for another four years.I'm beginning to think Sanders is the only hope for America. If he can give tens of more speeches like this, he can mobilise millions. In fact, I see that duplicate version of this are already attracting millions on social media.Bernie is too mad to do that. The DNC needs to find a straight version of Pete Buttigieg. With a pretty wife and all American name. Pete is sensationally good. But he’s gat, and appalling as it is I think that’s enough to sink him as a post-Trump contender.
Assuming there are any post-Trump contenders…
The Dems need a clean break from those involved in the administration of the Biden crime family.
Can I help you out of that deep rabbit hole?
What kind of person do you have to be to ignore that gargantuan plank sticking out of your eye because you are performatively excited by the splinter in someone else’s eye?
Re: Punters continue to think Labour will win the most seats at the next election – politicalbetting.com
@nytimes.comThe impression it all gives me at the moment is that nobody at all is safe in the USA. Very sad to watch.
A kidney transplant specialist and professor at Brown University’s medical school has been deported from the U.S., even though she had a valid visa and a court order temporarily blocking her expulsion, according to her lawyer and court papers.
Good morning, everyone

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Re: Punters continue to think Labour will win the most seats at the next election – politicalbetting.com
@illdottore.bsky.social
I dunno man, if the WH can point to people from Latin America and say "gang member," and point to people from the Arab world and say "terrorist" or "antisemite," and those designations lead directly to detention or worse, I think we have to acknowledge we're in a pretty bad place.
I dunno man, if the WH can point to people from Latin America and say "gang member," and point to people from the Arab world and say "terrorist" or "antisemite," and those designations lead directly to detention or worse, I think we have to acknowledge we're in a pretty bad place.

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Re: Punters continue to think Labour will win the most seats at the next election – politicalbetting.com
The problem began with the legislature stopping legislating. So we got to the point that the Federal Government (under Obama) was suing to prevent states enforcing *Federal* laws that the Executive Branch didn't like.There is a difference. Back then the phrase was a headline by the Daily Heil. Now? Official US government policy.Where have I heard "judges enemy of the people" before?It seems pretty clear that the mission is to get rid of as many illegal aliens as possible. And as the definition of “illegal alien” now includes American citizens should we be surprised that things like this happen?CNN report on the Brown Univ deportation case, mentioned above. It seems to me that UK media, including BBC, are giving scant attention to the internal USA political crisis, as opposed to the international dimension, though there is (for the moment) lots of USA media/social media covering it. But in fact this USA takeover by crooks is potentially the biggest story for years.Their is attention from ex-BBC figures - such as Katty Kay, on the Rest is Politics US. Though personally I'm not a huge fan of that, I listen from time to time.
https://edition.cnn.com/2025/03/17/us/brown-university-doctor-deported-hnk/index.html
Has anyone listened to coverage on the BBC World Service? They have the relevant experience of reporting on authoritarian and third world regimes.
Valid visa? Check. Court order banning removal? Check. Has she been removed? Check.
The court? Likely run by traitors, best ignore.
There are still a few people making excuses for the Trump regime. Apparently woke / liberals are the threat to America. But it’s ok, they’re deporting the other people. Except as many have already discovered, Trump’s madness will have a direct negative impact on them.
Ignorance was one of William Beveridge’s five giants. He was referring to the lack of education many suffered. Now? People get the education that past generations aspired to. But are kept deliberately ignorant by an elite who wants them to know only what they are told, rather than an understanding of reality.
Don’t Look Up…
So the courts became the new legislature. Which sounds nice, if you are progressive lawyer. My New York relatives thought this was great.
Then the Tea Party (and later MAGA) types realised that what you need to do is take control of the process of appointing judges from the ground up. Fill all the junior appointments with like minded people - they will filter up. Then only vote for politicians who will "Deliver Our Judges".
Even if the Democrats win a landslide in 2026 and the Presidency in 2028, they will now be fighting a system that is designed against them.
The warning for the UK is that the Executive needs to execute, the Legislature needs to legislate and the Judicial, judge. One part trying to use the courts for political cover and triangulation is a disaster.
Re: Punters continue to think Labour will win the most seats at the next election – politicalbetting.com
The mistake here is thinking that Judges are trying to circumvent anything. The Judge is the person who applies the law, and here a case has been raised that Trump & Co are not following the law - so the Judge's role is to rule on the case in front of the Court.Yup, more than anything else, this will make the justice system look ridiculous that there are judges attempting to circumvent the deportation of 200 highly dangerous gang members.Yes: Stephen Miller and the White House staff are being smart. They are disobeying a court order on an issue where most people will side with the President.I’m not arguing the rights and wrongs, I’m just saying so much mad stuff is coming out of the White House the democrats need to pick and choose their fights, and this seems a really unwise choice. They might even boost Trump’s popularityPutting aside who was being deported are you comfortable with governments ignoring the courts ? This time you agree with the decision because of who’s being deported . It doesn’t matter if the decision is popular or not . Next time it might be a decision you disagree with , what if Labour just ignored the courts here . Would you be okay with that ?Trump has done some mad stupid shit these last weeks, but deporting violent Venezuelan gangsters to El Salvador is not one of them. It’s also bound to be popular. Are the Dems really gonna fight on THIS hill?
Bill Kristol
@BillKristol
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20m
🚨🚨🚨
So we're hitting a crisis point, with the apparent evasion of court orders on deportations and immigration, plus shutting down agencies, canceling grants, and firing civil servants contrary to law. And claims from DOJ that Article II of the Constitution enables autocracy.
https://x.com/BillKristol/status/1901388655408890179
When marvelling at the horrors coming out of the Trump admin (and there are many) it’s important to remember that the American Left is deeply stupid, mendacious, greedy, narcissistic and hypocritical
I agree that the principle of the executive ignoring or overriding the judiciary is dangerous, yet I can't get exercised about the why and I think if you ask average Americans they'll agree and question why there's a judge attempting to protect these gang members who aren't citizens and have been responsible for murders, rapes, assaults and many other violent crimes.
Trump's game is to try and undermine due process. "Gang members" is I think partly just what Trump is calling them (ie rhetoric) to distract from his abuse of the Presidency; that's rhetoric. If they *are* Gang members, then just like everyone else they have rights to due process according to the law.
There's a further issue that they have been sent to a third country - El Salvador.
The law Trump is trying to use is the same one by which 120k Japanese Americans, including citizens, were thrown into concentration camps in WW2. But it isn't wartime in the USA, and it isn't an emergency - other than that Trump has attempted to manufacture one.
Without testing in Court we cannot know that, which is why he's doing it this way. It's exactly the same process as Musk closing down organisations at a couple of days notice, which require in law to be closed down in Congress.
A blatant example was the removal of Inspectors General - internal regulators introduced in Departments after Nixon misused Government data to target opponents, to protect the public.
Musk just expelled them out without telling Congress, when the law requires Congress to be given 30 days notice, with identified causes for dismissal.
It is just the latest step in a process to destroy the rule of law. And that rule is indivisible; if we choose not to care about a particular case, then we have sold out the principle.

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