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Re: When the shit hits the tan – politicalbetting.com
KPMG chief economist: "Uncertainty is its own tax on the economy.”
Re: When the shit hits the tan – politicalbetting.com
Robert Peston did a funny.
The penguins of Heard Island and the McDonald Islands stared down the American president and won
https://x.com/Peston/status/1910024594599338319
The penguins of Heard Island and the McDonald Islands stared down the American president and won
https://x.com/Peston/status/1910024594599338319
Re: When the shit hits the tan – politicalbetting.com
So everyone is being tariffed at 10% now apart from China it seemsSo Brexit dividend over already?
I blinked and missed it.

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Re: When the shit hits the tan – politicalbetting.com
More like one of those jigsaws that he does labelled 4-6 years, but that he can do in a few days.So a magnificent game of 4D chess?@faisalislamThe text he quotes predicts that this will end up with the universal 10% tariff that he campaigned on.
Consensus view is this is Trump folding bigly after the bond market fright… eg smart guys at Capital Economics below ….
The Rose Garden chart and the equation is done:
https://x.com/faisalislam/status/1910040685174018490

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Re: When the shit hits the tan – politicalbetting.com
A rather unsettling article in the New Statesman.I suspect there is much in this, but really, people only have themselves to blame if they're bored. Read a book. Join a choir. Go for a walk. Take up birdwatching. Go to church. Do community theatre. Join a political party. Join a walking group. There are so many things to do, people just need to get off their arse.
"The West is bored to death
Our nihilistic politics are a product of the crushing ennui and spiritual vacancy of modern life.
By Stuart Whatley"
https://www.newstatesman.com/ideas/2025/04/the-west-is-bored-to-death
Quote
"American greatness has produced a society whose members know not what to do with the freedom and abundance that earlier generations secured. We are now witnessing the squandering of this inheritance, and it is even more idiotic and vulgar a spectacle than anyone would expect."
Re: When the shit hits the tan – politicalbetting.com
Bollocks.He hasn’t really backed down. Landing on a universal 10% tariff will entrench a Trumpist trade policy as the new normal.Trump blinks???Blinks? More like shat himself. I guess someone was finally brave enough to explain how catastrophic things might turn shortly if he didn't act. That said he's now in a huge fight with China and that alone could bring down the house of cards.
Sam Stein
@samstein
·
10m
Did Trump just announce a 90 day pause in tariffs?
If the GOP has any sense left, and they probably don't, they'd be finding a way to dump Trump ASAP.
Someone must have told Trump that the markets and Treasury could not sustain much more of this nonsense. This is not some clever move, this is Trump basically throwing in the towel because even his dumbest supporters can see that he's made some bloody stupid moves in the last few weeks.

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Re: When the shit hits the tan – politicalbetting.com
PB at its best tonight
Total capitulation by Trump to Trump has won
I would suggest neither and lots of uncertainty ahead
I wouldn't trust a word Trump says from even one minute to the next
I expect some are making a fortune on playing these markets
Total capitulation by Trump to Trump has won
I would suggest neither and lots of uncertainty ahead
I wouldn't trust a word Trump says from even one minute to the next
I expect some are making a fortune on playing these markets
Re: When the shit hits the tan – politicalbetting.com
Bessent now telling everyone the capitulation wasn’t about the market reaction ! Good grief !Have Bessent and MoonRabbit and WilliamGlen ever been seen in the same room?
Re: When the shit hits the tan – politicalbetting.com
Is anyone actually collecting these tariffs? I mean they change every 5 minutes. They can't have possibly printed the forms or told people what to charge for what. It's all just nonsense.

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