Best Of
Re: My 100/1 tip on Ed Miliband is looking good – politicalbetting.com
I was a firm believer in nurture over nature until I had kids.Yes, probably too much rigidity on what the 'right' approach is, and of course parents are bombarded with thoughts on what is right or not, which is a recipe for second guessing trouble.IMV it depends on the kid. Some kids are very self-reliant early, and other kids need more help. And it can vary not just from kid to kid, but also within a kid: one kid may be very able to sort out homework and schoolwork, but also be able to utterly lose track of time when out alone. Support them where (and when) they need support. It's a fine line.Yes, it reminds a bit of the somewhat romanticised view of past childhood where kids might be out for hours at 8 years old with parents no idea where they were, vs parents terrified of a teenager going alone to the local shop or something and helicopter parenting. Has to be a balance surely.There is a growing body of evidence that "over-parenting" is part of the youth mental health crisis.I think it might enable more over-parenting, if parents are so inclined. I doubt I'll be going onto the portals every morning and afternoon to see if he's in school, for instance, but some may. And for the first few weeks I may check each weekend to see what homework needs doing. But if he manages to do it without me, I'll probably stop doing that. He needs to learn more independence and self-dependence as he grows older.In other news, my son starting secondary school has been a little bit of an eye-opener on the way education has changed in the near-35 years since I left school.I appreciate that this is how the world is now, and Medical Students wander round with iPads much the same.
The school gives every child an iPad (*). But as parents, we get web access to his due homework, and the grades for completed homework. His attendance, twice a day. His full timetable and teachers for each class, his behaviour, and any detentions. Even what he chose for dinner.
This seems massively more information, and much more immediate, than my parents got from my schools.
Whether it improves grades or not is a different matter...
(*) Which we pay for, obvs.
Surely an essential part of parenting is letting go, and letting kids have some private life, make their own mistakes, learn the consequences of not doing homework on time etc. It all looks open to way too much over parenting to me.
Yes, there may be negatives. But only if you use it in such a way. Otherwise, it may be useful information.
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9811893/#:~:text=For example, an overparenting parent,on behalf of their child.
I am sure that parental neglect is an even bigger problem too. Getting the balance right of letting go, but being a safe loving haven is quite a challenge.
Independence was not much of a choice for many parents previously, of course. My poor mum certainly couldn't keep an eye on 4 kids by herself whilst working full time. Had some upsides and some downsides.
Re: My 100/1 tip on Ed Miliband is looking good – politicalbetting.com
Ed Miliband, just about the only minister with ideas, the problem being that every one of them makes the country worse off.
Sandpit
14
Re: My 100/1 tip on Ed Miliband is looking good – politicalbetting.com
Subsidise projects that need a natural gas supply for the next 30 years while simultaneously blocking the development of new supplies of natural gas.
That's EdM for you.
That's EdM for you.
Re: Why you shouldn’t sign up to Corbyn’s new party – politicalbetting.com
If it hadn’t been for Lord Alli, Sue Gray, Morgan McSweeney, Louise Haig, Rushunara Ali, Mike Amesbury, Angela Rayner, Peter Mandelson, and Paul Ovenden letting him down, I think Sir Keir would’ve been doing alright
isam
5
Re: Why you shouldn’t sign up to Corbyn’s new party – politicalbetting.com
As the sun set I stood briefly to salute the end of another day in england's great river journey, the ice cubes in my glass of victory gin jostling for a last look at the fading light before the Sardinian lemons floated to the surface.Perhaps he'll be employed by the regime, writing Farage eulogies for the masked men to recite at sunrise.No it is not.This is goodTrigger warning for @TSEAgain, they're just copying MAGA.
FFS.
I thought you got all misty eyed about the honest toil of writing, in freedom, some scratchings for the Knapper, or liked to wander around London and enjoy the young as they cavort and mingle in simple pleasures free from the watchful eye of some guy with a mask and a gun.
Reform will bring this to England. They are not your friend.
It was then, as the first tears rolled down my face yet again over the astonishing victory of our Nigel against all the odds that I realised I was an hour late for a flight to Obscuria Land and HR terminal 5 might not have kept a further gin on ice for me. Hurriedly I returned to my flat where it was difficult to find the required luggage and passport due to everything being painted black or midnight blue.
And yet, despite these travails, I think Nigel's first months in office have been truly outstanding.
It has been such a triumph that sometimes I can even forget I voted for Labour in 2024.
Re: Why you shouldn’t sign up to Corbyn’s new party – politicalbetting.com
Polanskis hypnotism certainly seems to have worked to make bigger tits in Your Party
Re: Why you shouldn’t sign up to Corbyn’s new party – politicalbetting.com
There's much to dislike about him still, I have no doubt, but at least at the end, when tested, he held firm to some of his principles. Very few others have.From his last few days in office on, Mike Pence has continued to gain stature."The other side" ?Well one side has spent the last week holding silent vigils and prayers, and the other side has spent the last week encouraging more violence. Those trying to “Both Sides” this are the problem.The moment you choose a side to blame, then you become part of the problem.Don’t disagree, but the left have bought this on themselves with their reaction to the assassination of Charlie Kirk, and their decade of supporting cancel culture they now think is abhorrent when it gets one of their own.It's not funny; it's an appalling fracturing of society which means that people will be ever more esconsced in their bubbles.@rivertam.bsky.socialThe Twitter left are now talking about boycotting Disney over Fallon’s canceling. All rather funny.
Heard from a friend at Disney+ that there are multiple levels of freakout internally, both from internal dissatisfaction, concerns about subscription cancelations, and of course the big one: concern about a boycott spilling over into parks and cruises.
https://bsky.app/profile/rivertam.bsky.social/post/3lz4jniof7s26
When one side is calling for freedom of speech, and the other side is shooting dead the guy wanting to have a debate…
That's pernicious bullshit.
Mike Pence: "We gotta be careful about putting America on trial whenever we see evil overtake the heart of any individual. In this case, absent additional facts, there's one person responsible for Charlie Kirk's assassination."
https://x.com/atrupar/status/1968668790738030830
kle4
8
Re: Sir Ed Davey is the most popular GB wide party leader – politicalbetting.com
Interesting.
As a neurosurgeon I care a lot about road safety.
By now you’ve probably seen @Waymo ’s stunning safety results (like 91% fewer serious crashes). But they didn’t just publish data headlines. They released the raw CSV files and data dictionaries.
I did a much deeper analysis. A fascinating story emerges when you analyze how they’re achieving this.
This isn’t incremental improvement - it’s categorical. We’re looking at the potential elimination of traffic deaths as a leading cause of mortality.
The intersection breakthrough: Waymo has essentially solved intersection crashes, with 95% fewer injury incidents than human drivers in the same locations. That’s transforming the deadliest driving scenario.
The national math: If every US vehicle performed like Waymo, we’d prevent 33,000-39,000 deaths annually and save $0.9-1.25 trillion in societal costs. Even partial adoption at 27% would save ~10,000 lives per year. In terms of magnitude, this would be the equivalent of eliminating every pedestrian death nationally in a year.
The physics signature: Here’s what fascinates me: 47% of Waymo’s contacts involve less than 1 mph delta-V. They’re not just avoiding crashes; they’re converting unavoidable incidents into gentle bumps. It’s like having physics itself on your side.
We’re not talking about marginal safety gains. The data represents a fundamental shift from harm reduction to harm prevention.
https://x.com/slotkinjr/status/1968381717934391309
As a neurosurgeon I care a lot about road safety.
By now you’ve probably seen @Waymo ’s stunning safety results (like 91% fewer serious crashes). But they didn’t just publish data headlines. They released the raw CSV files and data dictionaries.
I did a much deeper analysis. A fascinating story emerges when you analyze how they’re achieving this.
This isn’t incremental improvement - it’s categorical. We’re looking at the potential elimination of traffic deaths as a leading cause of mortality.
The intersection breakthrough: Waymo has essentially solved intersection crashes, with 95% fewer injury incidents than human drivers in the same locations. That’s transforming the deadliest driving scenario.
The national math: If every US vehicle performed like Waymo, we’d prevent 33,000-39,000 deaths annually and save $0.9-1.25 trillion in societal costs. Even partial adoption at 27% would save ~10,000 lives per year. In terms of magnitude, this would be the equivalent of eliminating every pedestrian death nationally in a year.
The physics signature: Here’s what fascinates me: 47% of Waymo’s contacts involve less than 1 mph delta-V. They’re not just avoiding crashes; they’re converting unavoidable incidents into gentle bumps. It’s like having physics itself on your side.
We’re not talking about marginal safety gains. The data represents a fundamental shift from harm reduction to harm prevention.
https://x.com/slotkinjr/status/1968381717934391309
Nigelb
5
Re: Why you shouldn’t sign up to Corbyn’s new party – politicalbetting.com
Big Ange was smashing it at her main job of building all them homes...Strange, she had such an interest in housing.
The number of planning approvals for new homes in England is unacceptable, the new housing secretary has said, after official data showed permission for building homes fell to a record low during Labour's first year in office.
Fewer than 29,000 projects were granted permission by councils in the year ending June 2025 - striking a blow to the government's promise to deliver 1.5 million homes by the next election. About 7,000 applications for housing were granted permission between April and June 2025 - the lowest three-month figure since records began in 1979
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cgmzwk4yd1eo
DavidL
7
Re: Why you shouldn’t sign up to Corbyn’s new party – politicalbetting.com
Many thanks to Your Party for making the Labour Party look competent and well-organised.


