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Re: A thing of the past – LAB leads of 20%+? – politicalbetting.com
But on this Lucky is right, and you are wrong. Let’s paint a true history here. By refusing Windfall tax Truss made an unpopular mistake, rightly unpopular, a budget deemed to benefit the most wealthy was unpopular too, rightly so. And the promise to buck the energy market all the way up to the general election, at huge… -
Re: Punters are far from convinced that LizT can turn the tide – politicalbetting.com
There's an adage about lucky generals and the same applies to lucky periods in office. And their opposite. Mood matters, and when people look back on this 5 year parliament they will remember the worst pandemic since the great plague, war returning to Europe, the worst economic and cost of living crisis in a generation,… -
Re: Johnson’s still edging it in the Midlands right to the end – politicalbetting.com
It was not just care home fees. It was an extraordinarily bad campaign, ill-suited to May, designed by Lynton Crosby, and he, or his team, will still be there. There were historic policies like police cuts coming home to roost, and heaven knows there are enough of those around. Liz Truss might be a lucky general, if… -
Re: What’s King Charles going to say about fracking – politicalbetting.com
I’m getting the feeling that Liz Truss is a very lucky general - which hopefully will be good for the country. She was up against Sunak who whilst bright wasn’t politically savvy. She might well have lucked out in penultimate round where Penny voters switched worried about that story. The country has taken its eye off the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Nighthawks is now open
I agree that Cameron was very lucky not to have suffered from Miliband's ambush and that he contributed to the fiasco by not being in control of his own party. Nevertheless he was a lucky loser. Obama's, Cameron's and Hague's strategic objectives were realised and the Syria Chemical Weapons crisis was resolved without the… -
Re: Betting on a Conservative poll lead before the first of March – politicalbetting.com
You have the interesting prospect of Truss, the great Thatchrite statesman attempting to outshine Johnson, the great Churchillian statesman. Personally, I think Liz is on a hiding to nothing I suspect TSE is correct in the header and the polls tighten in the event of a Ukrainian invasion. Lots of photo opportunities with… -
Re: Truss now favourite to be PM after next election – politicalbetting.com
On topic, it depends whether Truss is a lucky general or not. -
Re: LAB is grossly over-priced in the GE majority betting – politicalbetting.com
Indeed. If the war ends and the economy bounces as a result, Truss will be a very lucky general and I reckon will score a 1992-like victory. On the other hand, sustained inflation and business bankruptcies caused by elevated energy prices remaining a problem in 2023 and 2024, coupled with high interest rates and a… -
Re: Can Liz Truss turn this round? – politicalbetting.com
In short: yes but it’s looking less likely by the day. Truss has copied the Johnsonian playbook of promising all things to all people but is not as skilled a communicator. She would have been better served sticking to core principles and messages rather than the scattergun approach of the recent couple of weeks. She is… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The St John PB Christmas Day Crossword
tpfkar. Yes. 10 ac. Double definition. 27 ac. General = (General) Lee. Like = As. Lee stores as = Le(as)e. Keep =hold. 9d. Coil = roll. Up with coil = LLOR. Not lady luck = Lord Chance. LLOR not holding onto lady luck = LLOR holding onto LORD CHANCE = LORD CHANCELLOR. Truss is the Lord Chancellor. -
Re: YouGov CON members poll has Truss 24% ahead – politicalbetting.com
It is of course conceivable that Truss could be a lucky general with CoL and I suppose it is also conceivable that she might turn out to do a good job, win over hearts and minds, and win the Tories a small majority as a “doer” in 2024. We have to acknowledge that events intervene and just because we think Lizzie is crap… -
Re: Starmer takes a 15% best PM lead over Truss – politicalbetting.com
Especially if (big if) the Russian war effort is on the brink of a humiliating defeat. Truss may be a lucky general. -
Re: Memo to the Tories: Look stupid, it’s the economy – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Is there any way back for the Truss Tories? – politicalbetting.com
Is Liz Truss the new Hannibal Barca? Won a few lucky victories but ultimately loses the war and sees her side wiped within a generation. -
Re: Cakeism is alive and well – politicalbetting.com
Four years to the next general election. Who was the last Conservative leader to last that long? Theresa May, 3 years. Boris, 3 years. Liz Truss, two monarchs. Rishi, 18 months. Anyone replacing Kemi now would be lucky to make it to the election. They'd be turfed out themselves before then. Even waiting to replace Kemi is… -
Re: Should you be laying Robert Jenrick? – politicalbetting.com
But Starmer has made so many U-turns and betrayed so many of his once-inviolable principles that it's difficult to keep count. And he's leader of the Labour Party and Prime Minister. Blair likewise and he won three general elections. Liz Truss, former Remainer LD became a tax-cutting Brexiteer Conservative PM. These days… -
Re: Normal politics will resume after the funeral – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Putin found out the hard way that Trump is odious – politicalbetting.com
Given the number of people I've watched botch copy/pasting a column or row from one Excel sheet to another - I'm not sure it's an overall negative. Even if it does it wrong - doing it wrong quicker than the human who did it wrong is still a win. Excel is generally a hot mess roll-of-the-dice as it is. I say bring on our… -
Re: How will the Tory betting look after tonight’s TV debate? – politicalbetting.com
People don't recognize utterly hollow smarm when they see it. Sunak is Blair, and you know what was most contemptible about Blair? Not Iraq in general but specifically his bragging that he agreed to it with the words "I'm in." Because that would sound so fucking cool in the biopic. Someone change truss's Duracells. She's… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New YouGov polling in 50 key LAB marginals offers a glimmer of
How many people understand all the issues when voting in a general election? In a referendum there's only one issue to consider. In a general election you have to decide which candidate will make the best decisions (in aggregate) over a huge number of different issues, many of which you won't even know at the time. And if…
