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Re: Some of front pages after Raab’s exit – politicalbetting.com
Right.. I'm ready to go! My ferry doesn't leave for eight hours, but I'm stopping for a few beers at a mate's place on the way down to Portsmouth and heading off in about half an hour This is all my luggage for the next three weeks (weighs just over 8kg), and my walking hat. The beer is for scale, and has now been opened… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Copeland is still the better bet for the Lib Dems
Morning all :) Fascinating to see David, a Conservative activist, opining at length about the LDs and others asserting how (apparently) we are going to win both Stoke and Copeland. Curious because little or nothing has been said about the Party who on paper ought to be the big challengers in both seats - the Conservatives.… -
Re: Does this explain why there’s been no swingback this year? – politicalbetting.com
I dunno. I think the electorate are a bit more unpredictable than that. Ireland presents an interesting example. Fine Gael have been in government since 2011, so roughly the same period as the Tories. There are a whole bunch of crises that have developed over the course of their government - housing, healthcare,… -
Re: Trump back up to a 36% betting chance for the GOP 2024 nomination – politicalbetting.com
Blimey, there were at least a few occasions when the youngest serving Senator was in their mid 40s. That's House of Lords esque (though heriditaries will have meant some much younger no doubt) A couple of occasions with youngest Congressperson being 30+, with one occasion the youngest being 35. The Commons doesn't seem to… -
Re: The challenge for… Labour – politicalbetting.com
THE shirtless flamethrowing and firebomb "terrorist" Mohamed Sabry Soliman has been described as an "illegal alien" by a White House official. The Egyptian national, 45, illegally overstayed his visa before being issued a new work permit in the US, federal officials said. -
Re: Defection watch – politicalbetting.com
Watching a show for 2 hours a week for 4 weeks then getting on with the rest of your lives != loyalty. For decades this has been my biggest bugbear with people who defend the BBC by claiming one decent show, often years ago, shows how valuable it is. No, it does not. It takes more than just 1 show to inspire loyalty and… -
Re: The government sinks to a new low yet still leads the Tories who remain in third place
Comparing Trump and Starmer like this seems a little disingenuous when Starmer had mere hours between being elected and becoming Prime Minister, whereas the US system has a 2-month transitional period! Meanwhile, Trump’s hitting the ground running has produced complete chaos in federal services with unclear rules and badly… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The DUP are not as supportive of Brexit or as united as it mig
Help to buy pushes up house prices and benefits no one except house builders. How many people in their 20s can afford to buy now compared to previous decades? And there is no reason why state pensions should have been protected from cuts applied to other benefits - this has nothing to do with the crash, it was a political… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Leadsom, Williamson and Tugendhat move into the frame in the T
A concluding Season of House of Cards without Spacey will jar. Though the finale of Season 5 means it'll be much less difficult that in previous seasons. Overall I think House of Cards has been a masterpiece and equals The West Wing in almost every way save for the Sorkin era script quality. For artistic reasons alone it… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This is a good moment to recall the MP stage of the 2001 Tory
As has been stated many times on here, it is not sufficient to win over the ERG. So this is completely the wrong approach. To get the WA through the House of Commons it requires what Ted Heath sussed decades ago: the support of Labour / Lib Dem moderates. I think Rory might conceivably have achieved that. There is NO… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Going to war with Sir Richard Branson might not necessarily
There are even worse property taxes in other countries though. E.g. In some parts of California, property taxes are frozen at 1% of the price you paid for the house, regardless of how long ago. So property tax rates for two identical houses may differ by a couple of orders of magnitude if one has just been sold and the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On the day Cameron and Clegg rushed to key marginals to ann
Bicester has been a designated growth point for decades. Have you seen all the new housing developments around Bicester? This garden city sounds better than that stuff. What else to do with the surplus MoD land? Motorway access. New railway station. New rail line, quicker access to London and elswhere. Good place to live… -
Re: Breaking her word – politicalbetting.com
If you want to drive growth, have Parliament pass National Infrastructure Bills and the bulldozers move in next week. Sorry if you’re in the way, we’ll pay you 150% of what your property is worth if you agree to move out rather than end up in court. So many of the problems in the UK come from process and planning. Perhaps… -
Re: Now Grant Shapps is being talked up as BoJo’s successor – politicalbetting.com
Well folks, I’m sat here waiting for an emergency electrician to turn up. The lights circuit in my house has been tripping all day, so no big lights upstairs or downstairs. No biggie, the days are long, got a sparkie booked for tomorrow. Didn’t realise the house alarm runs on the same circuit… So that’s been running on a… -
Re: What’s this polling going to look like by the end of Trump’s second term? – politicalbetting.com
It’s quite amazing to see just how much personal power the President has over the workings and operation of the Federal government itself. So much has been done over the years by EO rather than legislation, perhaps in part due to the difficulty of passing legislation through two separately elected houses often run by… -
Re: Not the news Rishi wanted on double by-election day – politicalbetting.com
Councils have no money. But. https://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/other/this-is-a-disgrace-property-expert-lashes-out-as-home-office-builds-up-stock-of-16-000-houses-for-asylum-seekers/ar-BB1ihHiu?ocid=entnewsntp&pc=U531&cvid=5d3cdc4d09c443ff8045b73a0becb1ac&ei=25 “Winchester, Preston, North Norfolk, North Yorkshire, Waltham… -
Re: Starmer gets to within 2 percent in YouGov’s “Best PM” tracker – politicalbetting.com
Yes. Interesting to note that all the previous times Johnson has been as low as 30% then Starmer has been ahead - but not this time. Does look like a plague on both your houses - a particularly harsh judgement given recent experience. -
Re: The more educated voters are the less likely they’ll be satisfied with BoJo – politicalbetting.com
One of the biggest businesses in the London building trade is de-converting Georgian and Victorian houses from flats (usually crap) to houses. This has been going on for years. London is full of projects past, present and future to build high rise flats. In fact there is generally considered to be an oversupply of 1/2 bed… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why I think it will be Gove & Sajid in a CON members’ ballot n
Look, it doesn't matter whether the TOCs are let to private companies or run in-house. Most of them need subsidies to run and the policy of the government (both Labour and Tory) has been to shift the burden from the taxpayer to the passenger. The question is, is it worth having the bureaucracy of letting the franchises to… -
Re: Apologies if this polling triggers Brexiteers – politicalbetting.com
Evening all :) To be slightly controversial, I'm not entirely convinced the country is on the "wrong track". I think we are treading water to an extent but the sense of doom and disaster is somewhat overplayed (often for political points scoring). What has disappointed me has been our failure over my adult lifetime to make…