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Re: The polls – December 2023 compared with a year ago – politicalbetting.com
Distinctly unambitious. What's wrong with a small modular reactor ? -
Re: Just 38% of GE2019 CON voters are certain to do the same next time – politicalbetting.com
I was talking about Youngkin, Jim. https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/4631209#Comment_4631209 -
Re: Starmer maintains his solid approval ratings – politicalbetting.com
As I understand it, the Horizon system had next to no reconciliation and audit built in. This is grotesquely unprofessional The systems I am working on at the moment record every single change in state to database - so you can run through the transactions like a film. No records are ever deleted. Instead a new, updated… -
Re: Nikki Haley now clear second favourite for the GOP nomination – politicalbetting.com
The condundrum is that AI has progressed to the point where it is able to search and trawl unimaginably large amounts of information in an amazingly short instant of time, and manipulate language such that it appears to be thinking (hence passing Turing) when in reality it isn’t, not even comprehending (in any meaningful… -
Re: It’s hard to argue with punters about a LAB majority – politicalbetting.com
The point is that the Old Conservative party is already dead. The party was a coalition that has now dissolved into factions as the right has driven out a whole generation of the moderates. BUT, the moderates have support that the right cannot get. So, unless they can recreate the coalition with actual Conservatives, the… -
Re: Sunak’s ratings hit a new low – politicalbetting.com
Shorter link to same article https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ckr827z30p2o -
Re: How the papers are covering Sunak’s dangerous Monday – politicalbetting.com
Sorry but I'm not seeing this stroppiness at all. If anything he seems bizarrely tiggerish (in public) in spite of everything. Could he be deemed a little tone deaf? Yes but the reality is that day after day he is being asked to make decisions that affect thousands or indeed millions of people. Individual anecdotes are no… -
Re: So this explains the Rwanda obsession – politicalbetting.com
Spoken like an Irishman! Though do NOT be expecting An Taoiseach to be saying it anytime too soon. -
Re: That he should be so lucky – politicalbetting.com
To paraphrase JK Rowling - you take too much Felix Felicis and all goes your way for a while - until the elastic snaps back and hits you in the face. Boris Johnson was an avid user too...... -
Re: Should we be ready for an early election? – politicalbetting.com
It's a bit further if anything, but lots of real estate being developed south of the A406, which is the rationale for the new station. -
Re: Damning polling for Sunak – politicalbetting.com
About 40% of net income So let’s say 25% gross income in interest. Capitalising that at 20x (1/0.05) implies you can afford a 5x salary multiple and still be very comfortable -
Re: Things to put on the side of a bus? – politicalbetting.com
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Re: With 6 weeks to go till Iowa don’t write off a Trump upset – politicalbetting.com
Don't forget the opposite - dischuffed. AKA "I'm not very chuffed", or "I'm dischuffed". -
Re: Hubris took on the law. And the law won. – politicalbetting.com
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Re: What a waste of money – politicalbetting.com
'Others' can't win here. Only the Lib Dems can beat the EU at calling ourselves a continent with AI regulation. -
Re: The next Chancellor – politicalbetting.com
Would have gone to the Tanfield Railway back in October, had it not been for the Go-Ahead bus strike :angry: -
Re: Two years and counting – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Women Beware Women – politicalbetting.com
Something I had not known until recently: In the treaty that ended the Mexican-American War, the US paid Mexico for the land it was giving up. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mexican–American_War#End_of_war,_terms_of_peace In 1853, the US bought another slice of Mexican territory, the Gadsden purchase:… -
Re: The let’s get Rwanda done election? – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Big issues – politicalbetting.com
Republicans voted against as it did not include funds for control of the Mexican border. Bernie Sanders voted against as it included funds for Israel and their Gaza campaign