Search
-
Re: And From The Other Side of the Pond… – politicalbetting.com
No most of joe public wont be watching the football, will be probably 7 to 8 million, less than 20%....even fewer will watch the debates because frankly most of us couldn't care less about either -
Re: Parties – politicalbetting.com
Very doubtful given he would not have survived the enforced by election due to him being a law breaking lying scumbag. -
Re: Being a convicted felon has consequences – politicalbetting.com
And he missed for 25 mins scoring a massive own goal and leaving viewers over that time period believing Sunaks lie that SKS will raise everyone's tax by £2,000 and would be weaker on immigration. Not that there was a decisive win for Sunak though i hear (I didnt see any of it just going from reports) -
Re: I think the Tories would be happy with these MRPs all things considered – politicalbetting.com
Tory wheels turn very slowly. They had a piece on Newsnight last night with a youngish Tory MP and an SNP MP and the Tory said she was disgusted by Kemi Badenoch and her views on trans and her culture wars and one of her good friends had that very morning said she'd never vote Tory again. The Tories are now a Party for… -
Re: A tale of two seats: Maidstone and Macclesfield – politicalbetting.com
That YouGov MRP has the whole of Notts and Derbys turning Red. Except Newark. -
Re: Your reminder the betting markets are frequently wrong – politicalbetting.com
I am sure you are, MP. I would be the last one to dispute this because of a single poll, especially from a Pollster that hasn't done a GE survey for some considerable time. What I would do, as a punter of course, is have a look at the 23 survivors in that strictly hypothetical scenario and look for betting opportunities in… -
Re: Tonight’s polls – politicalbetting.com
. Why not? I stayed here while your lot vengefully pursued policies destructive to the country and me personally. -
Re: Liberal Democrat: Recovery or Resurgence? – politicalbetting.com
After two days of rain last week, I several times got into conversations with normally reasonable people who insisted it had been cold and wet all month. People honestly cannot remember more than two days of weather. -
Re: Incoming extinction level event for the Tories – politicalbetting.com
We were fed a reductive neoliberal perspective of Environment Agency vs Householder and our Rivers are dying. The Tories are toast. Even if the real origin of the underlying corruption is Russian oil and US chemical money funded lobbying undermining democratic control I’m okay with the Tories taking the shit in the face… -
Re: Only 17% of Americans expect Trump to serve time – politicalbetting.com
Those two age groups are those that volunteer most. This statistic presents the proportion of adults who had volunteered in the last year in England, between 2014 and 2020, by age. Over each of the survey periods, the 16 to 24 year old and 65 to 74 year old age groups had the highest share of participants volunteering. In… -
Re: Ayrshire hotelier and convicted felon remains the favourite for the White House race in November
Starmer opposes PR and is a supporter of FPP. That’s the the case for much of the PLP. The idea that Labour would remove a system that favours them is for the birds. -
Re: Home Alone 2 star found guilty on all 34 counts in criminal case – politicalbetting.com
Apols for being late back to this, but surely the Russian experience in Afghanistan in the 1980s counteracts that? They were hardly subject to democratic pressures, but they still caved in. In addition, IMV Putin's reluctance to openly go for full mobilisation, even after his 'election', indicates he is concerned about… -
Re: Next week things can only get better for Sunak or worse – politicalbetting.com
I thought we discussed this the other day. "Hard right" and "hard left" are meaningless terms often used as perjoratives. How would you characterise "hard right"? Strong on defence, strong sense of national identity, anti immigration and especially anti-Muslim immigration? In favour of "traditional values" (whatever they… -
Re: Your morning must read – politicalbetting.com
You think I don't know that? My point is not the election but what happened afterwards. Voting for extremists does not maintain democracy. See also Putin. -
Re: The Purge: Election Year – politicalbetting.com
I have that one as well , good one but more volatile and bit higher on risk scale. -
Re: One week on and betting markets remain utterly convinced about Starmer winning a majority
We await the day when you as a ‘lifelong Labour voter’ converts to… voting Labour. -
Re: The Swinney slump doesn’t look like stopping – politicalbetting.com
Thereby proving that there are some things worth more than money and this is a silly policy? -
Re: Sir Ed Davey certainly made a splash today – politicalbetting.com
Looking again, I see that part of the missing text was "previous vote"! So their random forest is based on demographics, previous vote and policy questions. And I think the random forest model is training with the party preferences of all the respondents except the don't knows (including "will not vote") in the same survey. -
Re: Bookmark this post and these tweets – politicalbetting.com
The Alien|Bladerunner TV show that's in the works is supposed to blend the two 'universes'. We'll see I guess. I do have a soft spot for Raised by Wolves, I admit. Quite bonkers. -
Re: Polling errors – politicalbetting.com
