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Re: As many union members support Reform as Labour – politicalbetting.com
Two comments on food stamps/SNAP benefits in the US. There was an earlier, and overlapping, effort to get food to the poor. The federal government gave food to the poor, particularly cheese, and still does to some extent. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_cheese In both programs, one of the political incentives was… -
Re: MAGA is here to stay – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Shortly there will be an election, in which Labour will increase its majority? politicalbetting.com
The move to Universal Credit was mostly down to the tenacity of Ian Duncan Smith and one of the few Conservative policies of the Coalition that I agreed with. It removed the benefits cliff and made it easier to enter the world of work and stay there. On those grounds alone I would be reluctant to remove it. -
Re: Rupert Lowe isn’t very good at expectations management – politicalbetting.com
In the US, "classical liberal" is often used to describe a person who believes in free speech, free press, free trade, and free men. (As I understand it, that is close to the way that liberal would have been used in the UK, during the 19th century.) The Republican Party, when it began. favored three of the four, all except… -
Re: The trend should worry Nigel Farage – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Being usurped, Nigel Farage as Henry Bolingbroke to Kemi Badenoch's Richard II –politicalbetting.com
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Re: The Abusive State – politicalbetting.com
The behaviour you affect is that of the people who lent the water companies money, and will have lost it when they go bust. Those people will, hopefully, have their behaviour modified to only lend for investment, and not to pay out dividends, as the new water company wouldn't be able to tell them, "don't worry, your money… -
Re: Deep in the heart of Texas – politicalbetting.com
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Re: One of the fundamental problems Kemi & The Tories face – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Labour become the favourites to win most seats at the next general election – politicalbetting.com
Off topic but important: Nate Silver's May 5th Silver Bulletin has some numbers that many of you need to know: 1. Of the 435 seats in the House of Representatives, as of the 2024 election, 60, or 14 percent, are held by blacks. (That's slightly more than the percentage of blacks in the US population.) 2. Only 7 of those 60… -
Re: Kemi Badenoch has made the Tory Party more the party of Remain than Leave – politicalbetting.com
OT - You mean the Con rump and their leader aren't the perfect match? Badenoch is going to learn that having Reform people approve of you but not wanting to vote for you is far from a winning strategy. If the Cons are not to be the new Liberal Party (1918-64) then they need to move on this and first priority is a new… -
Re: The long term favourite for the 2028 White House race may not even run – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Will Richard Burgon be our next Prime Minister? – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Did Peter Murrell’s embezzling cost Yes the 2014 independence referendum? – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Electoral reform could be key to winning the Makerfield by-election (and the next general election)
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Re: Why being against Brexit may well not be a problem for Andy Burnham – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Restore set to hand Andy Burnham victory in Makerfield new poll shows – politicalbetting.com
It’s interesting how the Process State has jumped on the cause of enforcing this judgement. I suppose it is a combination of a Supreme Court judgement = unquestionable rules, cost of enforcement born by the organisations, not the regulators and the fact that it is small issue. Compared to removing all the rapists from the… -
Re: Restoring my faith in the betting markets – politicalbetting.com
I'd agree with most of that. I think the point of the 0.1% is to evidence the massive political exaggeration applied to the "threat" posed by women wearing burkas / niqabs. It's just a symbol of something "other" that is required as an anchor for the political campaign. There are cases coming through over the last year or… -
Re: We could soon see crossover on the most seats markets – politicalbetting.com
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Re: PB Predictions Competition 2026 – update – politicalbetting.com




