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Re: As time runs out in the Brexit transition YouGov has “Brexit Wrong” once again with a double digit l
I agree. But I think the Christmas Bubble idea is probably a lot stricter than what many people would have been thinking. Every Christmas normally I would see all my relatives that we could, touring around houses and stopping at them each for an hour or so then moving on to the next one. What has been announced today is… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It’s time Michael Gove got the credit for stopping Boris from
A bit of a mess there to be honest. "Cut tax for middle earners" - what does that mean ? If you mean raise the threshold at which higher level tax kicks in, fine. It's a reversal of the Osborne policy from 2010-15 but it might help a little in London and some other areas. "Cut stamp duty". Hopeless. It's been tried before… -
Re: Great question to the PM from Sky’s Beth Rigby – politicalbetting.com
Didn't you say it was all scaremongering and this wouldn't happen? I don't see what is left-wing about granting the state the power to put people under house arrest if they are infected by a virus that widespread vaccination renders only about as deadly as seasonal influenza. As a left-winger I'm opposed to such… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As if things weren’t complicated enough
Who exactly will tomorrow's motion assert should be held in contempt of the Commons - the Government or the Attorney General? The opposition leaders requested a motion holding the Government to be in contempt. Reports of Bercow's response describe him as finding that there is an arguable case "that a contempt has been… -
Re: Time to parse and over analyse every comment – politicalbetting.com
Over the past couple of weeks,I have frequently felt that a lot of the 'analysis' from the Dem side - abortion rights will bring over lots of R women, Trump's turning people off with his weirdness, young people are feeling energised - has smacked a lot of the 'poll unskewing' that we saw from the Rep side in 2012: a bif of… -
Re: Could it be the Saville comment that finally brings down Boris? – politicalbetting.com
Arch-loyalists set to reap rewards in reshuffle to shore up Johnson Boris Johnson will carry out a minireshuffle as soon as today, with his chief whip potentially replacing Jacob Rees-Mogg as leader of the House of Commons. Mark Spencer, who has been Johnson’s chief whip since he became prime minister in 2019, is in line… -
Re: Is this the strategy Sunak should follow to win the election? – politicalbetting.com
What an utter wanker our unelected head of state is, profiting from the dead, it's not like he needs the money, Donald Trump would be embarrassed to grift like this. Revealed: King Charles secretly profiting from the assets of dead citizens Exclusive: Assets of thousands of people in north-west England used to upgrade… -
Re: Paranoia or should be worried about shy Trumpers? – politicalbetting.com
Well by the sounds of things, the laws on Islamophobia will be toughened, and also the cheap housing in these deprived areas will be used to house illegal asylum seekers, as the decision has been taken not to use hotels any more. The belief seems to be that this will achieve social cohesion, and see off completely the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Christine Lagarde is 4-1 to be next President of the Europe
Yes, the smoking ban has made it very difficult, although it has forced us to look outside the box to keep trade up. It's the supermarkets that are the big enemy, selling at a loss/bare minimum because they can. I'm lucky in being the only pub in the village, but I have to put a constant stream of activity on to hold up.… -
Re: Today’s Times main leader won’t go down well at Number 10 – politicalbetting.com
There's some truth in this but it's about 12 months out of date. That Labour became toxic is indisputable. Some of that was to do with Brexit especially in the Red Wall seats. The Remainer Parliament cost Labour dearly. However, a lot of it was also down to the vile left-wing nature of Corbyn's unelectable rabble. SKS has… -
Re: Is Diane Abbott right? – politicalbetting.com
I've been advised of a Zoom talk on Migration and Climate Change. Could be interesting. Anyone interested, PM me for log-in details. "Over the past million years human migration has been largely driven by climate change. Since the industrial revolution green house has emissions have resulted in human generated climate… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » ICM poll: UKIP the least liked and most disliked party
We are in an odd stage of the economic recovery. The big surprises are over: growth has been established and looks sustainable and attention has shifted to minor, or at least secondary, ailments such as productivity and real earnings growth, youth unemployment, regional imbalances and trade performance. This month's ONS… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Conservative party sweepstake
> @Casino_Royale said: > Someone’s going to have to talk me through why Andrea Leadsom is hero of the hour. > > She holed herself beneath the waterline three years ago in the last contest, IMHO, and I can’t see why she’d have a strong swansong just because she made it to the final two with May and it’d be poetic justice… -
Re: The is a bit of a mess for Find Out Now – politicalbetting.com
She’s a Representative, having a go at the Senators. The background is that the House has passed a number of Bills codifying Exec Orders and cutting spending to NGOs, but the Senate leadership (John Thune, Chuck Grassley) is refusing to bring then to the Senate floor because he says they don’t have the 60 votes. The Reps… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Looks like the knives are out for Clegg
Near term - some uncertainty, which would probably slow down inward investment temporarily. Medium term - not much impact Long term - negative if financial services migrates outside of London (which I don't think would happen), otherwise not much impact The real challenge long-term is that many of the houses that are being… -
Re: It’s looking better for the Dems ahead of the Nov 8 Midterms – politicalbetting.com
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Unless LAB make a disastrous candidate choice then it’s hard t
I think Trump is honestly making George W Bush's time as President look a whole lot better. I was a kid when he was President, but my parents anti-Bush views did influence me. I am a liberal leftie on top of that, so even when I got my own mind I never really liked Bush. But I never hated him (I did hate Cheney and… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The last LE2018 post: How the main academic election predictio
It is a complete myth that the current planning system prevents house building. The system has already been radically reformed and eased in favour of the developer (overly so as far as protection of the environment or archaeology is concerned). The main areas of planning that developers object to now are the requirement to… -
Re: Why this is still Trump’s election to lose – politicalbetting.com
I wonder what the sense is out there outside of the absolute madness of social media. Quashing a riot by locking up everyone, has an audience, and a very big one. Normally something like that would have a very positive impact on approval ratings. But is that the case this time? Is Nigel going to get the blame for the… -
Re: Punters remain confident that there will be a deal – politicalbetting.com
Eh? Did you read the article? Still building more houses - just the algorithm has been changed so building more houses where there's more demand (at least pre-Covid). It was a strange algorithm to be fair that was planning on decreasing housebuilding in Manchester and Newcastle. More houses is a good thing though and…