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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Nighthawks is now open
@tim One of the central reasons why there has not been a sufficiently large reduction in house prices from the mad levels they reached under the last government is that their is a political consensus that monetary policy should be used to keep house prices high. It will be very difficult to make housing more affordable… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Henry G Manson resurfaces after 4 years and says Lisa Nandy is
I guess this thing has been prepared for weeks. The protests in Iran and Baghdad and the increasing american troop deployments provide clues that this was planned long ago, possibly since Al-Baghdadi was killed. I don't think it's the impeachment since Trump polling wise looked good and the Senate was solid. Most likely it… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On the day of Johnson’s Brexit plan the latest polling on how
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-32816450 "A couple of hours after the speech has been given, MPs reassemble in the House of Commons to begin debating its contents. After introductory speeches by two MPs, the prime minister will "sell" the speech to the Commons, setting out their vision for the country. The leader of… -
Re: How Murdoch’s New York Post is covering the MidTerms – politicalbetting.com
You think Trump has been side-lined? In the end Republican primary voters will have to reject him and that seems far from a certainty. Meanwhile the tiny Rep majority in the House will consist of Q-Anon nutters. Who will be ever more vocal and ever more visbile. A Rep House majority massively contributed to Clinton's… -
Re: This bodes ill for Reform – politicalbetting.com
More on the Sir Robin Wales defection to Reform (along with his closest political ally, a former Canning Town Councillor)> https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/robin-wales-joins-reform-uk-nigel-farage-newham-labour-b1273398.html Wales was a Blairite (or a Brownite perhaps) but there's a lot of truth in the piece about… -
Re: What we need are Tory by-election defences – politicalbetting.com
Yes. Of various friends over the years, the filtration process has been - - The very well off have stayed in central London. Defined as an easy tube ride home. - A couple of them, who kind of crashed financially, got into council accommodation and live in areas like Bloomsbury. - A bunch who were middling in income moved… -
Re: Ed Miliband – the inspiration for Sunak’s big speech? – politicalbetting.com
The Hill - Five takeaways from Tuesday’s McCarthy drama at the Capitol 1. McCarthy didn’t come anywhere close to minimizing GOP opposition. Before the voting began, the focus was whether McCarthy had any chance of keeping GOP opposition to him to four votes or fewer — the level at which he would have a clear path to the… -
Re: This is how polls should be reported – politicalbetting.com
I love a good dump. Lloyds Bank accused of swamping car finance lawyers with truckloads of post Courmacs Legal claims lender sent ‘tens of thousands’ of letters daily to stop compensation claims Lloyds Bank has been accused of “swamping” lawyers with truckloads of post to stop them claiming compensation for drivers in the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Interesting betting on Scotland just opened
Yep, they''re all good ones. On your first point, we should remember Prescott's hideous Pathfinder program, which should be bashed around Labour's head time and time again. Perfectly good houses with tonnes of embodied energy that some simple renovations and out-of-the-box thinking could improve. Then the few new houses… -
Re: How to make politics better, more lawyers getting involved – politicalbetting.com
The problem isn’t the mega rich of Hollywood, as much as it’s the average upper-middle-class salaryman in the city, with one house and a large mortgage on it. If, as has been suggested, the State-backed fire insurance fund has only 1% of the expected cost of these fires in its reserve, there’s going to be quite the row… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The boundary review is so favourable to CON because Cam/Os
May has an historic opportunity to capture large swathes of centrist votes from an unelectable Labour Party. There are a number of policies, supported by centrists, which could be used to further divide Corbyn from the PLP. Grammar schools ain't it. It's been a week now, and it's no clearer what she means, what the… -
Re: FINALLY! – politicalbetting.com
What has changed is social media and politicians notionally of the right willing to fan the flames. As Cyclefree has alluded to, when did you last hear about Farage or Jenrick going on about the abuse scandals in the Catholic church, private schools, football clubs et al? Working in Manchester the one big scandal that has… -
Re: Another reason why Boris Johnson had to go – politicalbetting.com
I see there is a fix for Bozo's local Nimby issue https://t.co/UgGnHcWSsx From the FT Developers in west London face a potential ban on new housing projects until 2035 because the electricity grid has run out of capacity to support new homes, jeopardising house building targets in the capital. The Greater London Authority… -
Re: How votes have moved in Esher since GE1997 – politicalbetting.com
That question is clearly not related to the Raab case, who was found to be a bully not merely abrasive, according to the only person whose opinion on this actually mattered - Rishi Sunak. Who handed Raab one of the £55 TikTok blades, and asked him to disembowel his political career. Don’t miss the bottom line that it’s… -
Re: Winning here! Could the Lib Dems win more seats than the Tories? – politicalbetting.com
Our politics has been reduced to absurdist black-and-white binary absolutism. Either you want to close the border NOW and sink the boats, or you want 704m illegals to arrive tomorrow. Basic maths tells us that the post Boris numbers are absurdly unsustainable. So it has to come down and do so significantly which means a… -
Re: If you think Brexit is going very well then you’re in a small minority – politicalbetting.com
Ha. Housing construction has been 100Ks less than population growth for a very considerable number of years. During that time, house prices rose. Almost as if the scarcity of the vital commodity...... The restriction of the building of properties is official policy of the state. Phone the police in rural Britain to report… -
Re: Wise words from a pollster – politicalbetting.com
Doing the latter means implementing an annual % property tax. Would be far, far better economically, but the politics of it makes it really hard to do. You’re going to be putting up taxes on poor old people in their houses they’ve planned to retire in / die in, quite possibly forcing many of them out into smaller… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Brexiteers, Juncker’s fifth columnists?
Michael Gove really has a lot to answer for. That morning where he woke up and decided to nobble Boris was the morning that took the Tories off into a direction they didn't want: Had Boris not been ambushed he would have been a candidate in the final 2, he would have won the membership vote, he would have put in a populist… -
Re: A 2022 Johnson exit surges in the betting – politicalbetting.com
How they think or vote matters far more whether they themselves are a home owner, and whether they themselves can afford their own transport, than their neighbours. Forget your anecdata from talking with whinging NIMBY scumbags and look at the actual evidence. Look at the data I supplied. The Red Wall (and places like… -
Re: Why ambitious Republicans might back impeach Trump moves – politicalbetting.com
Some thoughts on what is happening and Mike's header (and, as usual, thanks for doing that). First, Trump is not getting to get impeached and Pence is not going to invoke the 25th. It's almost certain that Lindsey Graham's comments that there is no way Trump will be impeached were approved by McConnell who is well aware…