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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The polling says UKIP are the most extreme and the least fi
Really, Nick: only a Labour person would think that saving £10,000 is not worth bothering about. That's a lot of money for anyone - particularly if their income is nowhere near the sort of level where that can just be paid without noticing. As a result of ludicrous house price inflation, looked on benignly by both parties,… -
Re: France: How the next President market is moving – politicalbetting.com
To elaborate a bit more, in my life experience it has always been the case that the people who are militantly against private education went to excellent state schools, in middle class areas, with high house prices. The absolute classic example is the people that went to Peter Symonds College, which historically gets… -
Re: Why cutting inheritance tax may be popular – politicalbetting.com
Not unless you can call 3 children a farm. That's where my money went. But the really big difference is that in my part of Scotland housing is still comparatively cheap. This is where the "already taxed" point is wrong. Most people caught by IHT are in it because their house, which has not been taxed, has appreciated… -
Re: Macron set to win on Sunday – politicalbetting.com
39 is really quite old for buying one's first house. If you want a family, you probably wanted to start it ten years earlier. It also means that you'll have only just paid off that first 25 year mortgage at retirement. By comparison, I bought at 25 (ten years ago), and would own therefore own my house mortgage free at 50… -
Re: Trump 12% behind in New Hampshire – politicalbetting.com
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » ComRes and the Telegraph come under fierce fire from other pol
I see there is a variation on the old joke about the Bosnian footballer signing for Liverpool: https://tinyurl.com/y3yt432f Ozil and Kolasinac are said to be deeply concerned that last month's attempted mugging has rolled into something bigger and the German star installed 24-hour security - including guard dogs - outside… -
Re: Your afternoon watch – politicalbetting.com
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cgeqwv98d55o The government spent nearly a third less on hotels to house asylum seekers between April 2024 and March 2025, according to newly published figures. The Home Office's annual accounts, external show £2.1bn was spent on hotel accommodation - an average of about £5.77m per day,… -
Re: Sunak’s favourability drops a colossal 26% in a month – politicalbetting.com
Indeed. I don't know how often this bears repeating but it's a lot: you do not win elections by appealing to the hard Right or hard Left. It has been proven time and time again. And before anyone says 'what about 2019?', as Mike is fond of reminding you, that was against an unelectable awful anti-Semitic left wing leader… -
Re: Three Mistakes – politicalbetting.com
The real driver of change has to be that people so often choose where to live based on where they work. That needs to flip to being the other way round. Last year I had colleagues trying to WFH in a shared house with other people also trying to WFH - was very difficult and cramped. How many people have bought / rented… -
Re: Very briefly punters had more faith in Polanski than Badenoch – politicalbetting.com
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tories the main winner, UKIP the main loser in the March 20
Cost of Labour crisis? Some promising figures on Labour productivity from the ONS this morning. Short story is that productivity has been rising over 2013 and has now recovered ground lost since 2010, but is still back 3% on pre-recession. The trend though is the key and it is currently accelerating upward. As productivity… -
Re: Starmer’s best day as PM but there’s always a Tweet – politicalbetting.com
I think there are lots of things going on. Firstly so much TV has been made over the years. How do you create a new Detective story that isn't just a derivative of everything that's gone before? There is literally every type of detective drama out there in the TV archive. We keep going back to the old staples too. I see… -
Re: A big day for the LDs and the PM – politicalbetting.com
The ladder has been pulled away. The metaphor worked in the past. It wasn't a bubble when we had inflation in wages and prices to match inflation in houses. We need a return of inflation in wages being at least as high or higher than inflation in houses. And we need to reverse the damage of the past two decades of… -
Re: This is why I consider More In Common & YouGov the gold standard pollsters – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Why the flights to Rwanda will not help Sunak – politicalbetting.com
You are right. The restrictions put in place on urban sprawl by the post war planning system (green belt, T&CPA) were offset by government action to facilitate planned development in concentrated settlements in the form of new towns, making land available for private sector housebuilding supplemented by that by new town… -
Re: Whilst Betfair remains suspended we receive an ‘optimistic’ update from Trump’s doctors – politicalb
Plenty of journalists forgetting that White House press team, and medics have been very economical with the truth when a President is ill, indisposed or incapacitated. Reagan assassination attempt, JFK's over use of painkillers, Eisenhower's hospital operations, Wilson's stroke spring to mind. The press may be wondering… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Do those LAB branches backing Corbyn really think he would
Re the earlier comment about loyalty it is not true that Corbyn has been loyal to previous leaders. He voted against the whip all the time when Labour were in Goernment. Simon fletcher, previously of ken livingstone fame, is portraying him as some kind of tribunite soft leftist as opposed to the campaign group headbanger… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » My pick of the best GE2015 single constituency bets
It's not half as massive as it was, and housing has been encroaching from all sides - there are two massive estates that have been built in the last 20 years. Routes to the area are so-so - the tram will help a lot if you want to get to the city, but otherwise it's all congested at rush hour now. The station will turn it… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » What we are seeing in the British politics at the moment could
> @HYUFD said: > > @another_richard said: > > > @Sean_F said: > > > > @another_richard said: > > > > > > > > The strategic incompetence of the Conservatives means they are now losing the votes of those who want higher house prices as well as those who want lower house prices. > > > > > > It may be tactical incompetence,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Tory YouGov mini-surge seems to be over
"If you can build decent houses and turn a profit on an average £100,000 you have an incentive to build." Indeed. Sadly, you will not be able to build massed housing to a decent quality for £100,000 average. Remember, it needs to be decent housing, and therefore up to date with all the latest legislation. It would also be…
