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Re: Climate change: The huge opinion gap in the US – politicalbetting.com
I don't know what is more staggering, the police saying this was a civil matter until the BBC put pressure on them and it was upgraded to a criminal matter, or the solicitors who have well and truly screwed up. A man has described his shock at returning to his house and finding it stripped of all furnishings after it was… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » PB Video Analysis: Who Won The Midterms? Does It Matter?
Various thoughts: 1) I see the Democrat graveyard vote has been efficient this year :wink: there's many things wrong with the UK but at least our elections are pretty competently conducted 2) The most interesting economic stat for today was the big drop in French industrial output - things do not look good in the EZ 3) The… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The problem with the swing-back theory is that so few CON v
I think Patrick that you are missing the point. For the last 5 years demand has not been there. It has not been there because the Banks were not keen to lend under any circumstances and certainly not to anyone without a huge deposit. The point of Osborne's policy is to try to increase the supply of credit to something like… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The battle for Wandsworth from a LAB perspective
Wandsworth has a homelessness crisis but the scheme has just 9% affordable housing. The homeless are paying the price for decades of Tory failure. They sold thousands of affordable homes but built only a few hundred in their place. Yes, because the Tories have been in power for the last 40 years and nothing has happened… -
Re: Go West and meet Labour’s Sir Anthony Meyer? – politicalbetting.com
Not so. Once the challenge has been made then if West secures the 81 votes required it will almost certainly trigger other challengers to join in. They will also need 81 votes from the PLP but I don't see that being an issue for some of the front runners. West is a classic stalking horse. The issue might be meeting the… -
Re: Losing your deposit no longer the negative it was – politicalbetting.com
It's a vast problem everywhere. The place I live is essentially a new town; nothing aside from a couple of farms existed here before construction started in 1997. Now it has around 12000 people and 4250 homes. *Some* (not all) residents are vehemently against the expansion of the village to West Cambourne (underway), to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The PB 2014 Prediction Competition
Unsurprising news from Halifax. The tea leaves have been predicting a slow down in the rate of growth in house prices for a few months now. In Central London - albeit a very different market to the rest of the country - this trend has been in evidence from mid 2013. The trouble is there are too many indices, all based on… -
Re: It’s like rearranging deckchairs on the Titanic – politicalbetting.com
Pensioners screw over younger voters again. Michael Gove is fighting to salvage his flagship reforms of England’s leasehold system after a major proposal was quietly axed by the Treasury and Downing Street. In January last year, Gove told The Sunday Times he wanted to abolish leasehold, which he described as an “outdated… -
Re: Did Trump fundraise from his election lies? – politicalbetting.com
Re the header, we get a lot around Trump but what about the possibility Biden doesn't stand because of a scandal risk and the betting implications there? There has been a number of headlines building up over the few days such as Hunter's business associates visiting the White House 80+ times when JB was VP, even though… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB remains an odds-on favourite to win most votes at EURO
What is happening I spotted some time ago.It is a "parallel process" in reverse from the eighties when the left divided,Ukip's effect is operating "in parallel" in the toxic tens.It led,in part,to the Labour party becoming unelectable from 83 to 97,14 long,barren years.This is the fate of today's Conservative party. As for… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » YouGov poll finds Corbyn beating Burnham
Probably already been posted, but I like the Daily Mash's take on this: "LABOUR members are divided on how best to lock the party out of power for a generation, it has emerged. While many activists hope to accelerate irrelevance by supporting every part of the Conservative manifesto, others are urging the party to embrace… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » PB Video Analysis: Five Questions
it's possible, but that all seems rather complicated and a bit far-fetched. Of course they'd rather not see Kavanaugh confirmed, but I seriously doubt that is a realistic procedural route to preventing it. More likely is a certain degree of genuine outrage at the document issue, which is a real concern, as outlined by… -
Re: Rishi needs to define what Sunak-ism is to stand a chance – politicalbetting.com
Actor turned political activist Laurence Fox has been arrested on suspicion of conspiring to commit criminal damage to ULEZ cameras. Fox, who is the leader of the Reclaim Party, said in a social media video shared earlier today that his home was being searched by police officers. Just before 10.45am, the party posted on X,… -
Re: Support for Liz Truss fading in the next CON leader betting – politicalbetting.com
As I have said a couple of times the big threat to me this year is a major recession in China. I read recently that there are currently 137m housing units in China unsold. That is enough to house the entire population of America. It is the biggest housing boom the world has ever seen by several orders of magnitude. Even in… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Six Impossible Things Before Brexit
For those interested (and I appreciate we may well be talking a select few here) the Inner House decision of the Court of Session, together with the draft remit can be found here: http://www.scotcourts.gov.uk/docs/default-source/cos-general-docs/pdf-docs-for-opinions/2018csih62.pdf?sfvrsn=0 The petition was dismissed in… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Free speech, one each. The myth of the oppressed rightwinger a
Trouble is that demand for housing is - strangely - somehow faltering. The growth point at Newark has current planning for nearly 9,000 new houses. Around 500 have so far been built and the developers are currently trying to put the whole thing on hold because they can't sell the houses they have built. They are now asking… -
Re: Just 19% think the Chancellor’s changes will make them better off – politicalbetting.com
Which is fine, realistically we need 6 years of 2% over trend growth to just get back to the absolute tax take we have today. I don't see how this will give us 3.5-4% annual growth rates. We're betting the house on this but we've probably backed the wrong horse. I have no ideological issue with cutting taxes to stimulate… -
Re: Ed Miliband is now the second favourite to be the next Prime Minister – politicalbetting.com
Javier Blas @JavierBlas BREAKING: US gasoline retail prices are now higher than at any point since Donald Trump has been president (including both the 1st and 2nd term). AAA data puts US nationwide average at $3.32 per gallon. The White House will start to feel political pressure above $3.5 a gallon.… -
Re: Johnson going could lead to CON leading the polls again – politicalbetting.com
I think that he set up the pincer move to come. Peppa has confirmed that he believes a minister should resign if they knowingly mislead the house and that the rules apply to him. Starmer suggested a couple of occasions that may concern him and it was deflected away. As we get the Gray report. And the police investigation.… -
Re: Punters give Johnson a 5.4% chance of being PM at next election – politicalbetting.com
Australian racehorse trainer Chris Waller has to miss the Queen's funeral owing to Covid. Australian trainer Chris Waller has announced he will be unable to attend the Queen’s state funeral on Monday due to “Covid-19 related circumstances”. Waller was due to join Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and…