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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump gets marked bounce in first round of post-convention
I am one of those little people as are most of my friends, when I was looking for work in 2002 the going rate for what I do was 38 to 42k. Today having been laid off (not due to brexit :) ) the going rate scanning the agency jobs is still 38k to 42k. In 2002 I could afford to buy a house, I could afford to visit bars and… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Off to Westminster to give evidence before the House of Lords
Fascinating piece... quote in the Guardian from Kemi Badenoch’s pice in the Telegraph. She writes that she 'asked two of my staff members what they thought of the increased enthusiasm for Corbyn. Separated by 30 years, I listened to these two Conservatives, argue about the problem with young people. It was illuminating. My… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » PB Nighthawks is now open
"I cannot remember any time in the past 15 years when business groups and companies were so hostile to Labour. The attack on its latest policies from several large companies, including Centrica yesterday, were as unprecedented as they were spot on. Yet that is music to Ed Miliband’s ears: he doesn’t want and doesn’t think… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Meanwhile what’s been happening in the local elections
I agree with you that this doesn't look hopeful. But the object isn't to pressure the ERG. We don't need to have been in Cabinet to know what happened. We know their primary objective is to hold the Cabinet together and the secondary is to deliver Brexit. Any movement from the WA in either direction upsets one faction and… -
Re: Lessons from the worst episodes of our history – politicalbetting.com
You think the EU is fucked? You should come to the US. Florida and California have had referendum on abolishing time changes (which passed), and which have been denied by Washington (under Trump and Biden). Arizona doesn't have time changes. Except for some parts of the State, where they do have time changes. As you drive… -
Re: He that troubleth his own house shall inherit the wind – politicalbetting.com
Define mental health. He may well be depressed as so many of us have been. Brown was a heavy user of the happy pills yet functionally seemed OK. TBH the thing that really made me goggle is that its the early hours and he's off his tits wearing a suit. I'd love to wind the clock back to the previous day - at which point did… -
Re: The loneliness of the long-distance leader – politicalbetting.com
He's always great at the Book Festival, very knowledgable, great anecdotes, sharp as a tack even heading towards 90. Last time he said he'd seen Menzies Campbell on the way in, who'd bet him he couldn't last the whole hour standing up, and he was reluctant to take a seat and lose the bet. Also, my old boss had been a… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The year of three Prime Ministers
One feature of PB is how predictions are sprayed around and when they don't happen we get silence as if the prediction had never been made. Today is a classic example - over the last month there were numerous posts about how Con MPs might resign the whip after Boris's win such that TMay would not be able to recommend to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » How Port Talbot could give us a pointer to the EURef
All countries have their crooks, weirdos and people with false documents... A few years ago I was working at a large software company doing their recruitment, we got a CV from a developer in India, on paper he was excellent, we conducted a telephone interview, which he passed with flying colours, after he had been with us… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Boost for Farage in the Ipsos satisfaction ratings on the d
Jeez, disappear for two hours to find SIX PAGES of new posts. Is anyone with a job actually keeping up with PB for the last week? On the plane from earlier, it was definitely a twin engined plane, and will have been under ATC command flying directly above the river. They would have had to get lots of permissions for the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Newly published Survation poll sees LAB up 2 to a 6 point lead
I agree with that as it happens. Clarke's ultra leniency as justice secretary was not his finest hour, even for those such as myself who are fans. He was appointed as a sop to the Lib Dems (as, ironically, was May), and to give some counterweight of greybeard experience to the distinctly inexperienced Cameron and Osborne.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Meanwhile in that other party leadership contest…Stodge on
This post is bloody fantastic and sums up a lot of my thoughts on some Conservatives (not all I will stress). They really do seem to believe that all who voted for them, and indeed the public in general will be uncritical in their assessment of the Conservatives. That the political landscape will never change, and that… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The polling numbers that should really scare the Tories – the
Chatam House - the 'elite's' view of the EU, contrasted with regular folks: Members of the elite overwhelmingly (71%) said they have bene ted from European integration. In contrast, the public was divided almost perfectly into thirds: 34% said they have benefited, 32% that they have not, and 34% did not express a strong… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The rise and rise of Richi Sunak as seen on the Betfair exchan
We need a few different types of test. We have the gold-standard for confirmation that you are sick. This should be reserved for those on the front-line and should be close to 100% sensitive and specific. That's what we have been using so far but it only works in individuals with the virus currently. It takes up to 48… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Bunco makes the case for Liz Truss as next CON leader and P
Been a tough 48 hrs politically and professionally. Oddly, I'm more upset at Dave going than the result of the referendum. I had known since just before 8am that Cameron was going, and when Cameron's voice quivered on Friday morning I just lost it internally, I swore lots too, which really isn't me. What really cheered me… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Euro2014 betting moves see UKIP out to evens and CON in to
You Couldn't Make It Up Part 94 "An armed policeman who had sex on duty with another man’s wife kept his job because he was in full control of his firearm despite the fact that it was “around his ankles”. PC Shaun Jenkins’s loaded gun was in his holster attached to his belt when he lowered his trousers to have sex with the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » David Herdson says that the Battle of Skinner’s Seat is onl
Calum - can we leave the gratuitous insults out? I was genuinely asking for information and was curious to know who they were or what they had done (thank you for the said information). As for Oxbridge, my doctorate is from Aberystwyth, and having met several Oxbridge graduates I would back the quality of any other… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast: The 2016 White Hous
I just had a chat with that young lady – that lady – and she said ‘actually I understood the joke'” Liang herself told Today that she absolutely did not understand it, and that as a labour camp victim she did not find it funny at all:… -
Re: A LAB majority still longer than evens in the betting – politicalbetting.com
But it also says I get everything wrong, I’m none sure of saying “so true - give that a like” 😆 It’s also not true my friends Anabob & Horse are giving me a hard time - the truth is anyone posting the Tories are done for so at least 10yrs of Labour is coming I’m determined to give a hard time to. Have these people even… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » ICM marginals poll finds the Tories losing their majority
(continued) This, to my mind, leaves two problems. One, it will militate against children getting a pass grade (5-9 in new jargon, 5 being a C) in schools that are not always performing at very high levels. This will particularly impact on children from lower-income families who have much less choice over where they can go…