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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » An improving economy: The biggest threat to the future of t
Two weeks back I stayed a night in Berchtesgaden [ sadly, only 24 hours ], a truly beautiful part of the German Alps. I had to use Salzburg Airport. My taxi driver appeared to be very nostalgic [ without actually saying so ] about the Nazis . Pointing out where Hitlers residence was and Himmler and Goebbels. Thankfully,… -
Re: A tale of our two leading political parties – politicalbetting.com
This isn't true e.g. "shorts" pay money, but a fraction of the CPM for a full length video. There are a few people who make $100ks a month out of very short "react" videos, where it is very dubious how much they are really altering / adding to the original video. The ~10 minute became the supposed optimal for the algorithm… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Boris’s CON leadership betting spurt appears to have run out o
If you want to have a very good idea of how Corbyn will govern, the last 24 hours have been very instructive. Forget all the hoo-ha about putting down a motion, not putting it down etc. That is froth. What is important is this: - he and those around him are very good indeed at getting resolutions through which give them… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » England’s early exit has strengthened No
It must be depressing for people like NPXMP who got elected under Blair and see their prospects next year sinking down the toilet under Milibland. Anna Soubry's majority will be heading north comfortably into 4 figures. On thread, I have to confess that here in North Britain there is a great deal of delight at England… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New YouGov polling for the New Statesman shows the huge bet
Your argument is all over the place. On your first argument. Productivity is an established metric, whether defined per hour or per worker. Just because you doubt its relevance does not cease to make the concept exist or mean I can define it differently. I can say that GDP is not the be-all and end-all, but that does not… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why those wanting an EU referendum shouldn’t pin their hope
FPT : @Pulpstar said: "I'd suggest the odds of an UNMARRIED French president having an affair were 'slightly' higher than the Queen. And our head of state has no economic governing function. Obviously if God Rest their soul Will, Charles and Liz fell under a bus tomorrow then it wouldn't really come to anyone's surprise if… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Into the political void opened between Brexit Tories and Corby
I was present at the demonstration in Parliament Square two weeks ago called by Jewish groups to express their anxieties as to the perceived anti-Jewish feeling in elements of her Majesties loyal Opposition (and by definition potentially the next government). I m not a natural protester; I am a semi-retired 67 year old… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » London might be a Labour city but it has only won the mayor
O/T: Theodore Dalrymple: "The other day I found myself somewhere in which the nearest pub was the only place within easy reach in which to have dinner. It was in suburban Tudor style, and the first thing one noticed on entering were the flashing lights of fruit machines, closely followed by the numerous large flat screens… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why polling is so hard – the latest PB/Polling Matters podc
My daughter worked with someone just like that. She would only work certain hours but that's it not a minute more despite it being available. She did once and was desperate for her time sheet not to show it. The Benefits in Britain" series a few weeks ago had a young couple unmarried living together she in part time work… -
Re: Trump becomes betting favourite to win WH2024 – politicalbetting.com
So you are suggesting that were it not for all these other issues Brexit would have been a roaring success. You may well be correct, bur we shall now never know. I say Brexit exacerbated the problems for the UK, but if we focus on the one issue of Northern Ireland, it always was going to be incredibly delicate, which is… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Six of the top seven in the betting on Corbyn’s successor are
Prosecutors said at a Wednesday detention hearing that since August 2018, he had been sending letters and emails detailing his request to farms, stables and horse-boarding facilities throughout Sussex County, located in the northernmost point of the state. Unsurprisingly, many of the recipients were not thrilled to learn… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Almost all the online polls when tested against real result
I'm no expert on polling, but I understand the basics of statistics. Doesn't horses for courses come into this? I'm a leaver, so I voted for Ukip at the Euro elections and I carried it on at the GE just to send a message, but this time ... PCC, council? Hardly relevant. For the council, I'd have voted LD had one been… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Greek finance minister says he’d rather ‘cut his arm of
What I thought gave Tony *star quality* was that he usually sounded very measured, not in a dull way like so many - but level headed. He didn't frighten the horses even when he said Labourish things because he made them sound quite sensible/appealing. I never had the impression he was hiding another agenda or biting his… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Strange Rise of Jacob Rees-Mogg
Some closed themselves, some severed links with the Catholic Church and became basically state funded, while others fought on and were eventually shut down by the Charity Commission. https://www.theguardian.com/society/2011/apr/26/catholic-adoption-agency-gay-lesbian Personally I think the intolerance of people who were… -
Re: Batley & Spen – the most significant 2021 by-election? – politicalbetting.com
See also Henry Cavendish: "Cavendish inherited two fortunes that were so large that Jean Baptiste Biot called him "the richest of all the savants and the most knowledgeable of the rich". At his death, Cavendish was the largest depositor in the Bank of England. He was a shy man who was uncomfortable in society and avoided… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Time to put UK primaries to bed
Interesting piece which goes into some detail on Trump's view of trade agreements. http://www.cnbc.com/2016/07/29/we-need-a-tough-negotiator-like-trump-to-fix-us-trade-policy-commentary.html Here's the tragedy — and one that would never occur if an "art of the trade deal" Trump were in the Oval Office: All of our bad trade… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A tribute to Sir Antony Jay
No, tell a lie, this is my last Yes Minister quote - probably one of my favourites for how Hacker demonstrated how brilliant he could be at political skills. Journo: Questions about corruption at BES. Hacker: Complete Nonsense. Journo: But they quoted reports of payments to officials. Hacker: You see, this is absolutely… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New GE2015 projection from Oxford’s Dr Stephen Fisher point
So what? If all he wanted was to be close to the trappings of power then he and his lib dems MPs should have all became civil servants. If he just wanted to enjoy a nice ministerial car and feeling important there's always a job in the EU. But if he wanted to advance what his party stood for he's been a complete and utter… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The great Betfair TMay resignation date row
I've done a small amount of money in this one but others with more in this than me are heading straight to IBAS. Some that Betfair needs to get its house in order on: 1) If a CS bod doesn't know something or other, they need to state that and not just agree with someone over twitter. 2) Other leadership contests need… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A Labour split would have one chance to succeed – but succeed
Jewish woman asked police to intervene after she was called 'a piece of s***' at tense 'anti-Semitic' meeting hosted by Jeremy Corbyn in Parliament where speaker said 'Israel go to hell' This is the moment police intervened at a Parliamentary meeting hosted by Jeremy Corbyn where Israel was described as 'evil' and a Jewish…