Search
-
Re: An update on my 14/1 bet – politicalbetting.com
US Amazon has a policy that differs from long-established American law for stores: When I go into Best Buy, or a supermarket, I can usually see where a product was produced before I buy it. With Amazon, I usually can't. (American producers can include that in their descriptions, and sometimes do.) Some Americans are… -
Re: Trump makes a late intervention to ensure a Liberal landslide – politicalbetting.com
As we come to the local elections it is useful to look at a larger set of by-election results rather than just the few held this week. Here is my data for the last fifty local by-elections: Share of vote: Conservatives 23.93%, Liberal Democrats 21.08%, Labour 20.22%, Reform 18.50%, Greens 9.78%, Others 6.49% Gains and… -
Re: As we wait for the first result – politicalbetting.com
The CPC, maybe, but Farage is still out there- with the strong backing of certain right wing media outlets too. -
Re: Who will get the blame for this? Labour or Trump or both? – politicalbetting.com
Letby is just like post office, the establishment will do anything to avoid admitting they were at fault and the poor scapegoat gets stiffed. -
Re: The 14/1 bet I’ve just taken – politicalbetting.com
On the original topic, I followed TSEs tip and placed a £30 bet on Poilevre to lose his seat yesterday. Reading up some Canadian news today, there's a number of stories suggesting it's going to be a tight race, so there's great value in the 15/1 that was available at Ladbrokes (15/1 as they kindly gave me a one point… -
Re: Hyperliberalism – politicalbetting.com
This is the latest in a series of articles by me. They fall into three broad camps: the Measurement Series, about how we measure political concepts, the Ideas series, about current political concepts, and the Chronicle of a Bet Foretold series, about the logistics of betting wrt specific election. Some were lost after the… -
Re: Shy Conservatives? – politicalbetting.com
Book Recommendation Antony Beevor’s “Russia: Revolution and Civil War, 1917-1921” Extraordinary, lurid, vivid and brutal. I thought I basically knew the story. Turns out I knew 5% The cruelty is mind-boggling, on both sides -
Re: A Cambridge madness – politicalbetting.com
-
Re: Dame Andrea Jenkyns your time has come – politicalbetting.com
-
Re: If these numbers persist then Vance is unlikely to win in 2028 – politicalbetting.com
Can I ask for one clarification please, @TSE ? The last time I can recall posting two images in a day (which was probably 7-10 days ago), one was a quote from a thread the previous day. Is this a problem for the system? (Aside: comment noted and I'll take care.) -
Re: Will Reform have at least 10 MPs when the next election is called? – politicalbetting.com
Possibly my favourite city anywhere. All bikes, canals and beer. -
Re: Not the polling Labour need with next week’s elections coming up – politicalbetting.com
Real men make models of the Eiffel Tower out of matchsticks. That's @Leon 's future, and @RochdalePioneers ' market - building Spitfires out of Lego Plan B :wink: https://youtu.be/P44Bik9lFos?t=384 -
Re: 5 months ago the Conservatives were the 1/10 favourites to win the Canadian election
-
Re: Maggie Out? – politicalbetting.com
-
Re: Papa don’t preach – Looking at the contenders to be next Pope – politicalbetting.com
On 20mph - a few things. "Making 20mph universal" is a myth about the proposals, that never existed. The proposal was a change of default. The creation of such a myth was part of a fomented culture war - the clue is the widespread use of the term "blanket speed limit" - misrepresenting the proposals. The proposal was… -
Re: It’s a bold strategy. Let’s see if it pays off for Farage. – politicalbetting.com
I think everyone knows about the benefits of perpetual motion machines. -
Re: Betting on the next Pope? That would be an ecumenical matter – politicalbetting.com
The ECHR do not out rank the supreme court....their judgement is pish and wind -
Re: The greatest resurrection of all time. There’s more Liz Truss leadership talk – politicalbetting.com
Good morning My wife and I have spent Easter in bed with the most dreadful respiratory infection which tested negative for covid but as my wife said it seemed worse than the two covid infections we have had We are slowly recovering but we would not wish it on our worst enemy As a result I have not posted for a few days but… -
Re: I visited IllicitEncounters.com so you don’t have to – politicalbetting.com
-
Re: Phallic Drift – politicalbetting.com
Coca Cola .... one of Hitler's favourite drinks. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qED2_XDD4aI