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Re: Is this a deliberate LAB move to help the LDs? – politicalbetting.com
That's actually a question it's possible to answer using the very helpful ourworldindate website. As of 2022 solar made up 2.52% of Chinese electricity generation and 1.79% of UK generation. That's before this year's massive installation (though note they refer to capacity which is not the same as generation - capacity is… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » From Marf a special cartoon for Gold Cup day
Good point, and there’s an interesting conversation to be had about where to draw the line. Some of the online abuse directed at politicians is pretty horrible, and direct threats are rightly passed to authorities. I’m also sure that a lot of the abuse directed at Ms Abbott is as much innumerate-ist as racist or sexist,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » In the absence of divine intervention defeated Alabama Republi
OK. Boundaries from first principles. Imagine direct democracy, where each of the 46m+ voters was an MP. Perfect proportionality. At the other extreme 1 MP by FPTP. That MP would be Mrs. May. 100 % Conservative in 2017. (Of course that could change). Between those points there will be a curve. But, broadly, the fewer MP's… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The limits of populism. Will the hard right disappoint its fan
Yes, good spot - I've been following it closely and also noticed the marked discrepancy between YouGov and Sentio on the one hand and everyone else on the other: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_Swedish_general_election,_2018 I think that there may be an element of people betting with their hearts, as… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The main driver of the GE2015 outcome will be what 2010 LDs
A very fair point Charles, and one which is not always (see my post) appreciated. However, there is a very widespread perception that those at the very top are and have been overly protected from the effects of the austerity programme. And, taking your point, few if any of my ex-colleagues in the middle of the NHS, who… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Big hope for the Tories: Labour’s cack-handed campaigning w
I actually have "The Complete Pratt" on the table here. Reggie Perrin was of it's time - the mid 70s - and was about a mid-life crisis and the pointlessness of many jobs in the corporate world. It also requires a particular sense of humor. My wife - a Scot - was not fond of it either. Leonard Rossiter was perfect in the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Quickie survey: Make your Wythenshawe second place predicti
From a Labour pressure group website... Wasn't me that wrote it, honest... Labour cannot duck the issue of immigration "The ‘Mrs Duffy’ moment was so damaging to Labour in 2010 because it encapsulated a fear that had been building for years: that New Labour looked down its nose at people who were worried about immigration.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB moves to 19% deficit with YouGov, drops vote share in all
Over the years I had 2 solicitors who actively encouraged me to pay in cash, no invoice. Almost everyone's on the make. Instinctively I want to criticise Hammond, but he was probably right with this. I think the Inland Revenue are well aware of this. Tax inspectors have been known to sit in a car outside a Chinese takeway… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The impact of the 1st debate on WH2016 & the prospects now
True, I was defeated through lack of planning. I just bought generic black from Amazon since I never want to print colour anyway, then right when I needed to print something that day the printer went on strike demanding cyan, and since I didn't have time to get it from Amazon I had to buy it from a shop, which only had the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Now Farage quits and this time he says it’s for real
Hardman: Nigel Farage’s departure comes at the best possible time for Ukip. The party could be hoovering up votes from Labour’s heartlands which voted for Out in surprisingly large numbers in the referendum. But since that result, figures in Ukip had been feeling dismayed that their party seemed angry and disorganised,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Biden’s answer to those raising questions about his age – get
Openreach refused to accept that my house (and the other thousand or so on this development) existed despite being happy to come and install a second phone line. As we didn't exist there was no demand to upgrade our local cabinet to fibre and therefore no prospects of fast broadband. Until Virgin came and did the install,… -
Re: This is why Friday was National Fish and Chips Day – politicalbetting.com
I've been particularly annoyed by it in this match because I've had the chance to watch the County Championship matches on livestreams this season, and I've seen Broad and all the rest of them manage to keep up with 16 overs an hour in those matches. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Bet on the coalition of your choice with your money back if
Well, quite, Mr. glw. Only going to be above freezing for about five hours tomorrow. Still, at least winter, so far, hasn't been like one of those arctic ones we had a few years ago. -
Re: This explains so much – politicalbetting.com
Also from Shipman. Liz Truss psychologically unfit to be PM, say aides Pleas to slow down went unheeded. Aides leaked stories to The Times in an effort to avoid disaster in the mini-budget. It didn’t work alfway through the Tory leadership contest in 2022, Liz Truss knew she was going to win. She gathered her team at… -
Re: The LDs select a retired Major to fight Tiverton & Honiton – politicalbetting.com
Fair enough, Russia has to get super-lucky to reach that place, however. I’d say the chances are less than 5% Putin was surely gambling on winning a terrifically swift victory, slaying Zelensky, marching into Kyiv in about 48 hours before we’d even really noticed A fait accompli. In that case, we might have shrugged and… -
Re: Cash will be obsolete within a generation – politicalbetting.com
Hah. True that. But it's all very well and good if you're getting it in advance via telegram or the dark web, but what about that ill-advised second 8 ball at 4am? Where a handful of twenties collectively hastily gathered from the people in the room who are "up for it" is far more convenient than one person beaning his… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why punters have got it right making a 2019 general election a
They always try making out they are middle of the road Tories when they are not. Mike Penning tried the same rouse saying he was middle of the road on Europe when he had been the whipless Tories spokesperson in the 1990s. Middle of the road my arse! -
Re: Trump could be in political trouble if found guilty – politicalbetting.com
Sorry to veer off topic so soon, but interested in the PB brains trust on a potential scam. My wife is selling a collectable item for an elderly relative. We advised said relative to visit a dealer, but she preferred us to sort it via Facebook/Ebay. It's up on Facebook marketplace for a few £100s, probably about £50-£75… -
Re: The Johnson exit betting now has 2022 as a 61% chance – politicalbetting.com
The Woke have been totally winning the Culture Wars since about 1990, and no Tory or rightwing UK government has bothered - or dared - to take them on. Tories might have won elections but they lost these battles, time and again. Partly because the economic case was always seen as more important, and everything else was… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The great REMAIN LEAVE divide reflected in the areas that have
"Whim"? You're just wrong. People took the opportunity to express feelings they'd had for decades but until then had not been able to express in what they considered to be an acceptable political channel. If you think it was all a whim, then you don't understand what happened. (I'm a Remainer, by the way.) It's the idea…