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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Warren moves above Sanders in the fight for the WH2020 Democra
I’ve posted before that I have been closely involved in no-deal planning for an NHS Trust for the past 12 months. The national and local contingencies in place are detailed and extensive and cover every aspect of service delivery. There is no change in either supply or demand for medicines, devices and other consumables.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » YouGov’s IndyRef NO lead grows even though the firm’s tweak
Your assumption that any government in Syria formed after toppling Assad would be better able to deal with ISIL is laughable. Look at the shambles that is Libya and look at the time it took Egypt to form any semblance of a government post Mubarak. Even then Egypt went back to a military strongman associated with Mubarak to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Is it Darkest before the Dawn? A look at the battle for the Ho
From the stats in the table, it does look like a big ask. However, there are good reasons to think it'll happen and that a GOP monopoly of power in Washington (to the extent that Trump and Congressional Republicans make up a united team) will only last two years. Yes, there have been only three swings as big as the one… -
Re: Latest from YouGov not good for Sunak – politicalbetting.com
Early evening all :) To be fair to OGH, worth noting the latest YouGov has only 11% of the 2019 Conservative vote switching to Labour while 24% is in the Don't Know category. That continues to be for me the concern behind the impressive Labour leads. Taking out the DKs, the split becomes 61% Conservative, 16% Labour and… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why Ukip will stay odds-on to win most votes at EP2014 even
Are PBers taking UKIPpers on here less seriously of late? I know I'm taking any figures that ISAM comes up with a large amount of salt after his several orders of magnitude errors yesterday. Some of the best quotes, in case you missed them: They spent the night singing the gypsy chorus from La Traviata to the accompaniment… -
Re: Johnson drops to net minus 48% with YouGov – politicalbetting.com
Which reflects latest research demonstrating how the brain re-wires itself to get better at whatever it spends time doing, more quickly and more dramatically than has previously been thought. If you are blindfolded, it is now believed that your brain will start reallocating connections to improve your hearing and other… -
Re: The support of Tory MPs – Truss’s biggest challenge – politicalbetting.com
“ and most Tory MPs have now endorsed Truss after she gained support from some Mordaunt MPs for example.” PBs St Bart used the same laughable spin - truth is it was only after the greasy polers saw how the wind was blowing 🙂 You are wrong, Mike Smithson is right - Truss struggles in all MP Ballots reflect how her crap… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Nighthawks is now open
@TSE I tipped SF to come 4th when they were 16/1. 8/1 is less value but still doable in my eyes as it's basically a two horse race with Labour and the Irish economy is recovering and SF are transfer repellent. But the polling gap (except for one recent poll) is huge right now. 16/1 was still madness though. In referendums… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Reality check for Osborne’s ambitions
Thanks :) The government's defence of this policy has been terrible - George and IDS need to do it themselves, and get people talking about absolute numbers. Say that we are sorry that we need to stop borrowing and cutting the income subsidy to a family of five where one person works part time from 20k to £19k is not… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Our thoughts tonight are simply with the people of Paris
If they are they've gone for the least worst option, if there is line up killing going on, which is a quick strike. I just fear that the most opportune timing moment of 2-3 hours has passed. If so the complications multiply. Active measures units will often have a database of key buildings that not includes floor plans but… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A big question today is how many voters can’t cast their ballo
I've been asked for ID regularly from the Post Office. I also have needed to show a delivery driver ID for a parcel delivered to my own home before they'd hand it over (a new phone). Go to the supermarket if you look young and you can need ID to buy alcohol, tobacco, knives and even eggs in late October. I don't know… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast – Episode 136 Deal or no deal
In the short term, the main change would be an increase in the amount of trade handled by other posts in addition to Dover, and a bit more inventory and warehouse management. The UK imports about 30% of its food from the EU. If the rules of that game change a bit then so will the supply chains for perishables (I’d expect… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Unless independence campaigners can convince the oldies in
After having been inactive for the past 11 days, UKPR has at last updated its polling average. Despite the inclusion of two better results for the Tories over the past 24 hours,each showing them just 2% behind, the average nonetheless shows Labour having extended its lead from 3% to 4% and unless updated again before next… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Tory leadership – an alternative view
O/T McVey is in too much trouble. Telling porkies in the House is decidedly naughty. Doing it once, twice, possibly could be accepted as the usual cut and thrust of politics, to do it a third time, be rebuked by a public letter from the NAO and then after being dragged back to the chamber, gives a half hearted apology. I… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Burnham’s nomination surge could block out other LAB leader
Its sad. The day after the Glasgow airport terrorist strike I was supposed to be flying out on holiday in the morning with my family. The airport was shut initially but the story was it was going to open so we all got shuttled up there from our various hotels. They had to drop us off a good distance away because on the… -
Re: BoJo’s resignation – “Right or Wrong”: GE2019 Tories think the latter – politicalbetting.com
You are just guessing now. but to be fair, you wanted Boris to stay and fight the election. His hideous crimes don’t seem so bad now time has passed, except when told by his Labour opponents who of course wanted him out the way. Boris yet to be found to have deliberately misled parliament. Will he? there is no clear… -
Re: Have we seen peak SNP? – politicalbetting.com
Like most, I am getting it as a benefit via work. Usually extend it to the family, though. The bit about “going to consultants when you don't really need to” is interesting. Take on The problem tends to be speed and a linear attitude to testing. As in you see a doctor, he orders a test, sometime later you get tested, then… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Suggesting that the foxhunting ban could be lifted – TMay’s bi
Corbyn's view on Kosovo: That this House welcomes John Pilger's column for the New Statesman issue of 13th December, reminding readers of the devastating human cost of the so-termed 'humanitarian' invasion of Kosovo, led by NATO and the United States in the Spring of 1999, without any sanction of the United Nations… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » What the voters recall about the general election campaign
Of course we will but much of what you say is inaccurate hyperbole. The events of 2008-10 were beneficial to anyone with a secure job and a mortgage. Falling interest rates allowed anyone and everyone to pay off their debts - Mrs Stodge and I paid ours off and then re-borrowed £50k at 0.49% to renovate the house. and paid… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Weighing up the Biden VP pick betting
The ADL describe Antifa thus - These violent counter-protesters are often part of “antifa” (short for “antifascist”), a loose collection of groups, networks and individuals who believe in active, aggressive opposition to far right-wing movements. Their ideology is rooted in the assumption that the Nazi party would never…