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Re: You can get evens that Biden’s approval will still be in the 50-54.9 range after 100 days – politica
If you're driving four hours a day to work anywhere you should move house, or change job. That is inhuman. Relatedly, right now I am suffering from insomnia (not sure if it is plague-related). So I spent nearly all of last night awake and reading Why We Sleep, a brilliant explanation of the latest sleep science… -
Re: The US Midterms are looking more challenging for the GOP – politicalbetting.com
FPT: rcs1000 and GardenWalker asked where the Obamas should live, if not, for part of the year, on Martha's Vineyard. I'll repeat the answer I gave there: They should live in Chicago, which has given them much, which has terrible problems, and which they abandoned. Martha's Vineyard is especially inappropriate for them… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Democrats take small lead in Special Pennsylvania Congressiona
Morning all :) Strange not to see a bit more coverage for the Prime Minister's speech on housing yesterday. This is a huge and complex issue with many facets as I've argued here before. The problem manifests itself in many ways - it's not just a question of availability and affordability, it's about the provision of a… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » All the weekend polls: Round up
That is an interesting post but I do not agree with all of it. What we had until 2007 was an economy where we expected ever rising standards of living. These expectations ran ahead of what increases in real wages, which ultimately have to be paid for by increased productivity, could deliver. So we had spouses working… -
Re: Women Beware Women – politicalbetting.com
My wife and daughter went to see it yet again last night in Edinburgh with a live orchestra dealing with the musical parts. They have been doing this for several years. I went once and it was fine with the orchestra definitely adding to it. The Usher Hall in Edinburgh was packed. Tickets go each year within hours of them… -
Re: Sir Keir Starmer: Malleus Scotnatorum? – politicalbetting.com
An interesting point about Santos, however likely his eventual felony conviction might seem. Congressman Jamie Raskin defended his vote against expelling George Santos: "I’m a Constitution guy. The House has expelled five people in our history, three for joining the Confederacy as traitors to the Union and two after they… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The winner of the PB Indyref competition is….
If they want to make any changes, it has been done properly and this won't happen until sometime after May 2015. Tory backbenchers can huff all they like and make the Tories look unelectable. It won't help them or their cause. The public hate a divided party and all these Tories appearing in the media having a moan, will… -
Re: “Sorry” seems to be the hardest word – politicalbetting.com
The pro-Europeans never had to deliver on the promises made in 1975 so not clear that's true. Besides, the main thrust of taking back control from unelected Eurocrats has been delivered already. The left is on for constant hidings if it tries to take us back in. Especially if it means cutting off trade deals signed with… -
Re: The fundamentals and history still favour Trump and punters agree – politicalbetting.com
IF you think that Kamala Harris making a reasoned & reasonable appeal to Black men re: convictions using marijuana, is ipso facto wacky, then check out THIS news story: New York Times (via Seattle Times) - How a man imprisoned in New York could sway a key House race in Alaska In the race for Alaska’s sole seat in the House… -
Re: Ex-Tory minister Heseltine says back the LDs – politicalbetting.com
... I'm not aware that anyone bar a few idiots on Twitter were against this change in policy, certainly not anyone who understood it. The issue here is a narrow legal one that has been identified above. The solution is to have a nee hosuing bill and include this within the bill. Add a part to empower councils to levy taxes… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Five more sleeps to go and Mr Corbyn’s chances of winning a
All these pointless polls tell us is that people watch and read news that has been consistently telling us that Corbyn is unelectable and some of it sinks in. Also I don't think many people think anyone could lead labour to a majority next time, for a myriad of reasons. Interesting that Corbyn pretty much ties for top… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Mrs May’s extraordinary ratings honeymoon ended with the manif
Are the Conservatives going to get stuffed? Labour on 38% must mean almost 10% up in England and Wales, yes. Conservatives up 4% but a good bit of that comes from Scotland. It could mean a Labour minority government. Trouble for the Conservatives is that Mrs May is unelected, is poor in communication when put under… -
Re: I think this bet on this Florida Man is worth a punt – politicalbetting.com
I've managed to survive my first two days back at work, even with the sudden onset of Winter I was exhausted when I got home yesterday after an eleven hour and eleven minute shift; I just ate and went to bed. Today was a bit easier (only ten hours and ten minutes - I enjoyed the neatness of the times!), and I don't feel… -
Re: It was a very good night for the Dems – politicalbetting.com
Valid cautionary note here: "Democrats will savour it as the night they got back in business. It has been a thoroughly miserable year for a leaderless party struggling to outmanoeuvre a man who constantly throws the chessboard in the air. Morale has been at rock bottom. The party has been missing in action. "But while… -
Re: Can Polanski direct the Greens to a brighter future? – politicalbetting.com
One of the problems you hint at is that the concept of "shared house" (see "Friends") has been rolled up into "HMO". Younger singles (22-30s), and increasing numbers of older singles, often choose that, but it gets tied up in everything from over-heavy regulation to NIMBY propaganda. A small shared house (3-4) is the same… -
Re: This bet makes me disgusted in myself – politicalbetting.com
Speaking of Vance, this opening could almost have been written by the great @AlastairMeeks : Because Vice president JD Vance is a spineless MAGA understudy who would rather climb the GOP ladder by perpetually humping the president’s leg rather than have a mind of his own, he has publicly defended President Donald Trump’s… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The pollsters need to wake up to the fact that Cameron has
Peak McGuardian ? http://www.theguardian.com/housing-network/2015/may/08/snp-rise-power-good-news-housing-renters "While I dread the prospect of five years of Tory rule, the election of so many Scottish National party representatives to Westminster could be a good thing for housing. Since the creation of the Scottish… -
Re: A 10% return in two days and a 120% return in two days? – politicalbetting.com
Thanks for that - the problem isn't just this woman and her baby though that is an extreme example. The "farming out" of homeless families from London has gone on for years - other "popular" venues have been the south coast and Birmingham. It's not a national scandal such as the Post Office but it's something which has… -
Re: LET’S TALK LANDSLIDES – politicalbetting.com
White House Reception for Bereaved Military Families May Also Have Been COVID Spreader Event https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/10/white-house-covid-outbreak-may-have-spread-at-gold-star-family-event.html ... Photos from the event show Donald and Melania Trump, who have both since tested positive for COVID-19,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Nick Sparrow, the pollster who did most to change post-1992
That's a really insightful point. Up until now the main opposition to the EU (in this country at least) has been from those on the right of the political spectrum. If Greece is hung out to dry by the unelected bureaucrats in the coming weeks and months, will there be a left wing resurgence calling for the UK to leave the…