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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Happy Christmas to everybody
Merry Christmas to OGH and all on here. Department stores at the mall have been open for 100 hours straight and will close at 6pm. I bet the folks working there will be glad of the break. True to form the bah humbug brigade are trying to spoil the fun. Greenpeace has an ad with Santa saying that due to ice melting at the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A CON majority drops out of the GE2019 betting favourite slot
I have to say that I’ve started to think about life post 12/12 if there is a clear Tory majority, what the hell will I do with my time if political intrigue becomes a trickle? If there are only 10 responses/hour on PB. It has provided me with something to do in the evening, that’s sad but that’s how life is, the Telly is… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonight the fight for the WH2020 Democratic nomination moves t
May's deal IS the backstop ! The rest is transition to some unknown end state but we can't transist without supplanting the backstop. The backstop is a de facto customs union (And SM for NI), in practice it's a very soft Brexit but has been turned into either a "Tory hard Brexit" or "remaining" by opponents depending on… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A second Jewish LAB MP who has dared to criticise Team Corbyn
Perez is basically a stalking horse for Mercedes, who didn’t want to be seen as the ones making the decision. The two Indians who owned the team are in a whole load of personal trouble and haven’t been paying the bills, while refusing to sell up for anything less than their wild over-estimate of the value of the team. The… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Macron moves to a 90%+ chance as another day goes by and his 2
Yes, and having the mental strength to keep doing it until it succeeds. Who else, apart from Derren Brown, could avoid going completely nuts spending a whole day doing nothing except tossing a coin enthusiastically into a pot, in front of a camera - until it came up tails - then starting again with the same outward… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New ICM poll finds LAB 17% behind overall with the 75+ group s
Refugees *are* a big issue in Norway - they offered to take lots (as they have in the past) and did: http://www.newsinenglish.no/2015/09/23/norway-will-share-eus-refugee-load/ They are big on total-immersion integration - IIRC in order to settle you have to agree to 180 hours of instruction on language and life in Norway.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Article 50 can’t be invoked, surely, without the country knowi
The IRA murdered her husband's uncle. She has been Queen for over sixty years. Most ministers weren't born when she became Queen. I'm sure she was closely consulted on this matter and not simply told what to do. She decided to shake hands with McGuinness. Time to move on. I must say that several contributors to this board… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » There’s been definite damage to Boris Johnson in the polls fol
Nope. contacts will only be tested if they too become syptomatic as testing before then might not give an accurate result. Contact tracing in Scotland: If their test comes back positive, they will be asked for details of people they they share a house with, anyone they have had face to face contact with, and people they… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Bernie heading for New Hampshire victory with Biden in single
Convincing. The lesson from 2017 and 2019 UK is that voters do *not* say "a plague on both your houses," they vote for the perceived lesser of two evils. If it's Theresa May vs an anti semite they pretend not to notice the anti semitism, and vote Corbyn; Boris vs an anti-semite and they hated anti-semitism all along. (And… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Betting round up
When I was a Liberal Party election agent in the 70's we advertised as follows: if you want Liberal Party election material, sponsor it. So much buys a poster, so much buys an election address to every house in your street. We got quite a lot of money in, and, from a standing start, beat Labour into 3rd, in what until then… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The referendum polling is getting much tighter. Gone are th
Mostly off topic but if anyone ever needed an example of how immigration can help our country then the interview on Sky News just now is a perfect case in point. Sanjeev Gupta of Liberty House. Buying up Steel works around the country and using them to turn recycled steel into new steel products. Actually increasing… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Farage and UKIP the big gainers in the October Ipsos phone
FPT (re soon to be HoL defeat) History is certainly repeating itself. First the clergy come out against Tory cruelty then the House of Lords have had enough...next we'll hear whispers that the Queen is unhappy.... The outcome last time was a legacy that still survives...... It survived Iraq and even the worst recession of… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Lord Ashcroft’s poll of the CON-LD marginals – the headline
Mr. Socrates, I'm not arguing Alexander was other than fantastic. I'm saying that he was also fortunate. In his earliest days as king, when reasserting himself over those his father had subjugated and wished to break free from Macedon, he found himself in a very tricky situation and a combination of quick-wittedness and… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Biden drops to FOURTH in Iowa in by far his worst poll of his
On the subject of the Democratic nomination... Let's look back to the end of October 2003, with just three months or so until the Iowa caucuses. Howard Dean, a populist left winger from New England, with a consumer protection bent, was leading the polls with 29%. Eight points behind him was the elderly face of the… -
Re: The Davey-Starmer “pact” is bad news for the Tories – politicalbetting.com
I got a notification that I was tagged in this by @TOPPING . Sorry, I'm not online as much as I used to be anymore as I'm quite busy IRL so not spending as much time here. Wages going up is a good thing, so long as the wages are going up because of demand for the labour. Inflation for inflation's sake is a bad thing of… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Food, Glorious Food!
The upper part of the road is commonly known as Blackboy Hill, named after the Black Boy Inn which stood on the hill until 1874.[1] "Black Boy" was a common name for pubs after the Restoration. Charles II was commonly known as "the black boy" due to his black hair[2] and the pub sign on Blackboy Hill had, until very… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The prospects for The Independent Group
@rcs1000 I have been a government lawyer, though not in the Home Office. Ministers are legally entitled to make all sorts of decisions using their discretion. But three points:- 1. That discretion is usually very heavily qualified by the relevant statute, case law, the ECHR etc. A Minister cannot simply do whatever they… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » David Herdson on what what might happen to upset the consen
I have just skim read the "Historic Cases Review of Roy Cotton and Colin Pritchard" report and addendum by Elizabeth Butler-Sloss carried out on behalf of the Bishop of Chichester in 2011. It is clear from the report and its terms of reference that EB-S's task was to review the previous handling of a specific case and make… -
Re: Al Fresco at this time of year in this weather. Eh? – politicalbetting.com
Excuse me - my daughter has been and is working hard, harder probably than a lot of people who sat around getting fat contracts because they were friends of a Minister. Unlike some of them - based in offshore tax havens and paying no tax - she is about to pay corporation tax on last year's profits. She is not asking for a… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Are radical policies the answer to Labour’s slump?
Burnley (13) also broke about 2:1 for Leave, but the Lib Dems are the main opposition to Labour rather than the Tories there, so that one is very hard to read. They'll certainly give it a good go, but Ukip + Con = 31% of the 2015 vote. I think the outcome there depends firstly on how badly Ukip folds, and secondly on…