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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ipsos Mori phone poll sees a 10% swing to Leave as Leave ta
A utilitarian view on ethics for the EU debate is this. Remainers are for total utilitarianism whereas Leavers are for average utilitarianism. The two have been used to think about optimum population sizes, in economics. The difference? A bit like the difference between GDP and GDP per capita. If we increase our population… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Timing is everything. A review of Theresa May’s speech
My grandmother hand Alzheimers. Woking Borough Council told us to sell her house and give them the money so that they could look after her. My parents said no and instead we moved in with her and my mum (a former nurse) looked after her. Anyway, the Alzheimer's Society offered to look after her one day a week (or something… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Two of the last four phone polls have REMAIN leading amongs
As for the reality of a post-remain UK and Con party. I will accept the result. However, I won't leave the party, in fact I hope to get some people I have made contact with through VL to join the party and we can continue to take it over from within. John Major faced down 20-30 "bastards" Cameron is facing down 160 of us… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The coming battle of the appointment of next Supreme Court
If the principle of subsidiarity is to mean anything - and it is very much a Continental legal concept - rather than a common law one, one would have thought that the last thing the EU should be bothering with is how local authorities organise their bin collections. Is this what the EU should be about? You talk about a… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On a uniform swing Nicky Morgan’s Loughborough goes LAB eve
In my experience in dealing with people with criminal records, especially those with spent ones, with a lot of them who have no desire to re-offend again, the following reasons 1) They don't want to go through prison again (they are no like holiday camps, despite what you believe) 2) In relation to 1), a lot of prisons… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Prof John Curtice suggests that LAB is not going to have an ea
Well, there are shibboleths I'd de-fund but which I won't mention here because the resulting bunfight would drown out any sensible argument! But on a more general level, I'd pay more tax for better services. I can afford to pay more, and since the service I currently get is substandard, I want to pay for it to be better.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why EdM thinks he’s on to a winner with energy prices
Yup it is almost a test of can you join the dots voter and see beyond the end of your nose. There are no free lunches. Trouble is I suspect lasting damage has already been done ( where shall we invest in a power station .. Hmm.. Germany? Canada ? Poland ? UK ? Hmm not the UK they might be dicking about with prices .. Too… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The PM’s attack on Khan, EURef polling & betting, and the l
Sullen acquiescence and/or burning deep deep resentment for a major segment of the electorate will be the consequence of REMAIN. This will lead to even greater disengagement from politics and politicians and greater contempt for the country's and the EUs political institutions. This willbe deeply unhealthy for the social… -
Re: Sunak slipping down in the “Next PM” betting – politicalbetting.com
Now I'm panicking. We have the same type of tree in our front garden and we aren't there at the moment. I have been told it is an Austrian pine. It's girth is 3 metres. If it comes down it will make a hell of mess of our or our neighbours house. The wood is also extremely heavy surprisingly for a pine. It is loaded with… -
Re: Undefined discussion subject.
Also for the inquiry, have we too often let the perfect be the enemy of the good, and done nothing because we could not do everything? In buying PPE because we needed to equip the whole NHS from one supplier; in contact tracing we need an app because pencil and paper could only do three quarters of the job; in testing… -
Re: Support for Britain becoming a republic reaches new high – politicalbetting.com
To be honest and balanced in assessment, you are right the Anfield game looks like a turning point for Arsenal, not just two nil up, but played very well and totally dominated that stage of the game. To not go on and win from there must have hit momentum and self belief. It was a similar story a week later at West Ham.… -
Re: After sacking her Chancellor the money goes on a 2022 Truss exit – politicalbetting.com
No, they really were being failed. For example the young who had to deal with a tripling of student tuition fees, unaffordable housing and inheriting the repayments for the money the government was borrowing to subsidise oldies. Or those working class who were losing out on job security and pay rises because of… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB down 2 seats, UKIP -0.5 as CON moves up on the GE15 spr
On the subject of spending cuts and waste I have been having a look at where my council tax goes and I must admit I had a shock: I pay £1192.18 per year council tax £36 goes to my parish council. Not sure what benefit I get but not too bad. £91 goes to the Vale of White Horse DC. Most of this then goes on housing benefit,… -
Re: Cameron’s 2011 “Triple Lock” for pensions creates a massive headache for Sunak – politicalbetting.co
Osborne was arguably (it's a crowded field!) the worst Chancellor of our lifetimes. Not only was he an austerity hawk which meant he flatlined the recovery inherited from Labour, but he was also a prime mover in gerrymandering the electoral register. These measures combined to deliver Brexit (the leave vote concentrated… -
Re: Opinium has the Midlands and the North recording the biggest falls in Boris’s approval ratings – pol
Actually, it's not quite fair to say Johnson is too stupid to realise. I think he and those around him DO realise the precarious position we're in which is why they are now issuing after-the-horse-has-bolted threats such as 'Jabs required for nightclubs' and 'you can only attend the Premier League if you've been jabbed.'… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As expected Biden storming to big victory in South Carolina
One poll finding that was interesting was how influential the endorsement of James Clyburn was - he's not even a senator, just one of many members of the House, but something like 60% said his endorsement of Biden had been very or fairly important in deciding how to vote. I tend to think of endorsements as nice to have but… -
Re: A fascinating insight into the psyche of Britons – politicalbetting.com
Aluminium smelting has always been the best way to export energy surpluses. (See also Norway.) *However*, even with Australia's ample sunshine, it can't produce power as consistently and as cheaply as massive open pit coal mine. There you can have the furnaces running 24 hours a day, which makes it a lot more economical… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » What sort of fool would have predicted the politics of 2020 in
But, for example, in my town North Wales, they are shutting schools and small local hospitals. They have shut the magistrates court. The nearest fire station is 21 miles way, the nearest police station is 43 miles away (though over an hour by road). There are hollowed-out areas of the country where there are few jobs like… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » September 2019 Local By-Election Review
Far from it. The LibDem position is almost like they have, over the past year, won the political lottery. The Tories and Labour, through their spectacular incompetence, have breathed life into the LibDem corpse. The LibDem target audience are principally the REMAIN voters, anti-Corbyn Labour voters and soft Tories. The… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » What the parties should be looking for in Oldham
I would be curious to see a decades long graph for manufacturing. As far as I'm aware manufacturing has been decreasing rapidly for decades so to see just a 0.8% decline over 4.25 years implies less than 0.2% contraction per annum. That would mean a continuing export of some manufacturing and a march forward of others to…