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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Elections Preview: December 5th 2013
FPT. Mike Smithson - 'Osborne's "triumph" has been knocked out of top news story on the BBC and Sky by the weather. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/ http://news.sky.com/ Bit of a bugger that.' Mike, up here in Aberdeenshire we even missed the Autumn statement due to power cuts. Mine is thankfully back on, but others were not so… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » CON hold Witney with a much reduced majority & the LDs coming
This is perhaps the best historic comparison: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ribble_Valley_by-election,_1991 ' The Ribble Valley by-election, in Lancashire, England, took place on 7 March 1991 following the elevation of United Kingdom MP David Waddington to the House of Lords. Michael Carr of the Liberal Democrats won… -
Re: New polling finds 44% prepared to pay more tax to cover costs of COVID19 – politicalbetting.com
It sure isn’t. As you point out, many teachers are effectively millionaires. Now good luck to them, part of their career choice may well have been influenced by a stable pension. Fine. However, events such as super low interest rates have conspired to make their pensions super valuable compared to others. An index linked… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » After another lacklustre Johnson PMQs performance a reminder h
Well, it's not all gone pear-shaped yet, but what happens next is anybody's guess. That's arguably dependent on a chaotic system governed by the interaction between: *remaining cases in circulation at any given time, and whether or not they continue to decrease at the current steady rate; *the willingness or otherwise of… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Welcome to another Thursday night PB Nighthawks after another
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-52312560 It seems to me that this document misses the point completely, in failing to understand the reasons for the “lockdown”. Which, put simply, are to maximise social distancing, backed by the law where necessary. Anyone who practices social distancing whilst not within the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The piece in the GE2015 jigsaw that even Lynton Crosby is u
Nah the problem is the Tory Party believed Nick Clegg as a man of his word. Nick Clegg Aug 2012 "The Conservative Party is not honouring the commitment to Lords reform and, as a result, part of our contract has now been broken… I have told the prime minister that when, in due course, parliament votes on boundary changes… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If Mrs May does back military strikes against Syria it will be
Indeed. It's hypothetical. Mrs May isn't stupid. If she's still around she will abandon her remaining Lancaster House red lines and sign us up permanently to the Single Market, the Customs Union and most of CAP. There will be a haggle, some face saving. "Brexit by Thesaurus" as they try to find euphemisms for measures they… -
Re: A tribute to Sir David Butler – politicalbetting.com
FPT We had a copy of Our Island Story batting around our house when growing up. Even at 8 years old it didn't really work for me. Just checked and surprised to discover H.E. Marshall was a woman and a Scot. Which is maybe why I much preferred Scotland's Story with its very impressionable illustrations. This is Brave… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Oh Jeremy Corbyn
One of the crazy things about MIRAS was that you got the tax rebate whether or not you paid tax. I bought a flat in Wimbledon with my brother, and got tax relief despite being a student at the time. My share mortgage was less than I had been paying in rent. I owned for 4 years, during which my share doubled in value. It… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If LAB was really concerned about Corbyn’s 2014 Tunisia covera
Just been on a work jolly conference with most of my NYC colleagues to Old Windsor. To be fair, they’re way to savvy for the flightpath thing, but we did do a post-work river cruise towards Windsor proper and some were “look at the quaint houses by the river” and asked me if they were very old and I had to say I doubted… -
Re: The UK’s still odds-on favourite for Biden’s first international visit – but could he stopover in Du
I'm guessing they are working on the basis of very high and rapid turnover to jab as many people as fast as possible, but when things go wrong (can't find the keys to the door, computers go down, etc) it becomes a big delay. Everyone I know has been in and out in a jiffy except one who waited hours. It is the Ryanair… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Exactly six weeks to go to the day that Britain decides on
Breaking news Breaking News: Brazil’s Rousseff suspended from office as impeachment proceeds 12 May, 2016 | KallanishEnergy Brazil’s President Dilma Rousseff has been suspended from office after 55 senators approved the proceeding of her impeachment process during a 19-hour vote session on Thursday, Kallanish Energy… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Every day that the GE2017 campaign is suspended is a win for t
The EU Referendum campaign was suspended for three full days without the rush for resumption that we are now seeing. The threat level has now been at critical for fewer than 24 hours (it lasted for 3 and 4 days respectively on the last two occasions it was used). The election isn't going anywhere, the debates and… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Betting on will Donald Trump accept the election result
No, when I get fed up with people endlessly banging on about something after the decision has been made I resort to the Jeremy Beadle school of politics and say provocative things to make them jump on the saddle of their high horse so fast that they fall off the other side. After all you are all looking for confirmation… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It appears as though there could be a deal on who’ll fight
DirecTV has established a channel for gavel to gavel, uninterrupted, commentator free, unblinking gaze, unbiased coverage of the RNC and the DNC. I promised myself I'd last until Trump comes out to introduce his wife Melanoma this evening. I doubt I'll make it, as its already been over 2 1/2 long hours. Oh for a talking… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » I’m starting to think that UKIP could surprise us at GE2015
Mr. Putney, I share your loathing of the condescending term. "The BBC has learnt..." just means either someone read a freely available document or have been fed a line by an insider. Incidentally, the Japan early discussion thread is up: http://enormo-haddock.blogspot.co.uk/2013/10/japan-early-discussion.html P1 and P2… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » An interim government would need more than just a PM
@edmundintokyo's idea of starting with the Select Committee chairs has a lot to recommend it. They would know the department, they would have at least some respect from fellow MPs, having been elected by other MPs into the role, and it's an arbitrary way of making the decision that cuts out the need for horse-trading. Then… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Has the ERG won?
And a reminder that politicians are human too: Andrew Gwynne MP Verified account @GwynneMP 17h17 hours ago Before it all hits the fan on social media I want to explain that I won’t be in Parliament tonight to vote. I’m heading to Liverpool as my 7-week old grandson has been transferred from A&E in Manchester to ICU at… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » PB NightHawks is now open
Yes. My Trust has been at level 3 practically since Christmas and many departmental members volunteered for hours extra work at the weekend to get patients discharged or else we'd have declared a major incident by now. But hey, the like of The Watcher think we're all in it just to line our own pockets. If it's anyone… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Marf on Osborne’s plan for the civil service
I am a tad disappointed, White Rabbit. After Grandiose, I expected you would be elevated (by the lift operator at the House of Lords) to at least Landed_Gentry, Earl_Of_March, or possibly even The Honourable Peregrine David Euan Malcolm Hay, later Moncreiffe of that Ilk. WhiteRabbit makes me wonder if you've been reading…