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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Even though Baxter has SNP taking 47 of the 59 Scottish sea
Fair points as always, Frank. With regard to the 90s, there seem to be a lot of Conservatives on here who claim to have voted for Major in 1997. Perhaps but out on the streets canvassing for that election the anti-Conservative mood was more subtle - it wasn't a sense of deep anger more a sense that we'd simply had enough… -
Re: Glad to be back with PB – politicalbetting.com
Both during 2008 and COVID that the state encouraged / shielded companies from going bust or making too many people unemployed e.g. in 2008, there was lots of push for everybody to take a pay cut, reduce hours but keep your job etc. Now unemployment can be a terrible personal experience and too many all at once again can… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » David Cameron’s popularity – the reason why we are having a
Everyone - including Lord Brittan - is innocent until proven guilty. No charges were ever laid and an allegation does not prove anything at all. An allegation of rape was made against him. The allegation related to years and years ago. The police investigated and found no evidence. Allegedly, under pressure from Watson,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonight’s PB cartoon from Helen Cochrane
Just to focus on one area and the impacts for a moment - horse racing has been cancelled until the end of April. That means a 43-day period with no racing in the UK. That means no income for jockeys, valets and on-course bookmakers and hardship for many others in the industry. Off-course bookmakers will also suffer as with… -
Re: The polling gets tighter and tighter in Texas yet on Betfair Biden is still a 27% chance – political
Off Topic I think, as the Sleeping Bard said yesterday the Welsh Conservatives accidentally set an elephant trap that Drakeford fell into. It has certainly given PB Tories something to celebrate. I can understand why it was done, the idea being to stop millions of shoppers browsing the first floor of Asda Bridgend, and… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If TMay and Corbyn are still there at the next election then W
Foxy etc There is a good deal of mythology punted over New Zealand's climate, mostly by New Zealanders who are generally overly promotional about their own country, but also by Brits who have spent a few months there and got lucky. Even the East Coast is darned wet. It boasts more sunshine hours than, say, London, but at… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Polling boost for TMay as she takes a “best PM” lead amongst y
On topic, would be surprised if May really was seen as the best choice by 18-34 but I can see why JC support may have come off. It is one thing to shout "Oh JC" when everyone assumes you are a nice - if misguided - person, another when you have in the back of your mind people might think you are a bigot that hates Jews. I… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The May elections less than 4 weeks away – Why so few Torie
@SimonStClare I'd be irritated too. But how difficult would it have been to pull himself together and say: "The Prime Minister's story is unravelling hour by hour. Most of us would remember pretty quickly whether we had ever had any money in a Panamanian offshore investment and most of us would have no idea why one was… -
Re: The big vaccine divide: The UK’s approach is politician led while the EU’s is run by its officers –
"Boris took a huge gamble in the summer with the agreement to purchase huge amounts of the two leading vaccine prospects well before it was clear that they would work." This is a fundamental misreading of the situation. Relative to the cost of eternal lockdown, splashing out a few billions here and there on a variety of… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ladbrokes make it 2/1 that RLB will finish third behind Starme
Panic buying has stopped in Singapore now but it was pretty tedious for a few weeks. All Amazon prime grocery delivery slots were fully booked out unless you kept clicking on the hour, like you need to for Glastonbury tickets. Not a lot on the shelves in supermarkets also. Even the fancy expat butchers ran out of roasting… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This week’s PB/Polling Matters Podcast puts the focus on UK
Jr doctors hours are set by the employer, they are not optional or voluntary. So if someone is rostered for the weekend, then the only way they can get out of it is a swap with a colleague. Quite a lot of swaps occur, and on most rotas this is how leave is covered. The only way to work extra unsocial hours is to swap into… -
Re: Is Johnson right about the polls just before he resigned last July – politicalbetting.com
When Labour appointed Shami Chakrabarti to lead the anti-Semitism inquiry, then appointed her to the House of Lords a few months later, it stunk to high heaven. This Sue Grey situation is nowhere near so obviously dodgy as that, but might be: e.g. if she had conversations with Labour figures during the inquiry, when… -
Re: YouGov on public reaction to the budget – politicalbetting.com
FPT My father-in-law until a few years ago had a holiday home in Courseulles-sur-Mer (Juno Beach) within a couple of hundred metres of the beach. The first time I went there I looked at an old brick wall of the next door house from the courtyard. The whole wall was covered with pock-marks which I rapidly realised must have… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Lord Ashcroft’s latest round of CON-LAB marginals polling w
Its a bugger. Anyone know if hay fever can be contracted later in life? Herself is out selling books for the local cat charity today, so I have been able to spend the last few hours in the garden watching The Brute pretending to be a tiger. Now my eyes are streaming and I am exploding in all directions. I have never had… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The betting edges a notch away from Trump completing his first
Anybody with an ounce of political nous would know how bad this looks. This should just never, ever have got to this point. She could have come to the House weeks ago, saying she had been made aware of this problem and was acting to get ahead of it before it became a problem. She would have got credit. Instead, she looks… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Not before 2022 now joint favourite with Q2 2019 for when Brex
Mike Gapes Verified account @MikeGapes Follow Follow @MikeGapes More So despite the unanimous support of my @CommonsForeign colleagues I have been purged by a vote of the House 199-134. Government had free vote. Labour were whipped. Thank you to those Labour MPs who defied the whip. This is a sad day for the independence… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » History suggests one of Philip Hammond, Jeremy Hunt, and Sajid
No it is bullshit. They will not be stopped any more than Turkish, Ukrainian or any other nations drivers are. They may be slowed but slow isn't stop. Full membership of the EU may have been sensible but then we had a vote and made our choice. These insane halfway house "solutions" lack the advantages of both membership… -
Re: The widespread notion that LAB can automatically assume 2nd prefs of LDs is not supported by real li
No problem with the first of these. But my anecdotal experience of this (in a public sector organisation!) is that people working unusual hours and responding to emails at any and all times has been happening as a result of no pressure from senior management at all. It is simply because people have nothing else to do when… -
Re: Tories edging out in the C&A betting but still very strong odds-on favourite – politicalbetting.com
GB would have done better to start with reasonable quality stuff just two or three hours a day - which would appear to exhaust such talent as they have available. I am absolutely behind the principle of a decent centre right telly channel but at the moment this is not it. Their daytime filling of airtime has been… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » To show they’re back in the game the LDs need the Brecon & Rad
I used to run expenses policy for one of the country's largest employers, and personally I would have got rid of a whole load of MPs who were making what I would regard as unacceptable claims. A fair few of the house flippers and so on are still in office. The difficulty they had was the lack of clear written rules. I…