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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Remain’s long term problems
Once the primaries are over I expect Trump will try to reinvent himself as something more Presidential and play down his populist blowhard image. Unfortunately he has alienated too many groups to put a winning coalition together and like Boris he is always one step away from saying something stupid. Women are half the US… -
Re: Undefined discussion subject.
I live in Maidenhead, which has previously been a white town with a fairly small Muslim community (one mosque). In the last year I have definitely noticed a few more black families moving in (presumably from London). We have heard a lot of reports about the population of London dropping but less about where people are… -
Re: The money shifts back to Biden on Betfair’s £240m next President market – politicalbetting.com
Very true. Slightly on / off topic, I had a chat with a lawyer friend in DC who is very well plugged into Republican thinking. Apparently what the Republicans are scared off is the Democrats are going to try to do is turn up "undiscovered" bundles of postal votes post-election day that they will claim have been somewhat… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Biden moves up even more in the WH2020 betting with latest pol
I agree with this. Without getting too technical, what the debate today has been missing is the intersection between ethnicity and class (or socio-economic group if you prefer). You can't look at ethnicity in isolation. On all the data (earnings, employment, educational achievement, housing etc.) there are distinct… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corporeal asks: Was this the best possible political result
Just to annoy you. "WOMEN’S Institute members cannot give away a knitted village they spent the best part of a year painstakingly crafting for sick kids – because it is deemed a ‘health and safety’ risk. Their impressive miniature creation – which boasts intircate houses, trees, animals, a church and even a duckpond and a… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Are we reaching a tipping point for Nick Clegg’s leadership
The media in the past has (wrongly) positioned the Lib Dems as Labour Lite. In shorthand, Lib Dems have been (and are) right wing on the economy and left wing on welfare. The media think this is too difficult for their readers to understand so have to describe Lib Dems as either Labour Lite or Conservative Lite. Being in a… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Panelbase SNP Poll
Exciting though I find the Scottish referendum, today my thoughts keep turning back to the impending votes in Washington on strikes in Syria. If the House of Representatives is as opposed to military action as the ABC report suggests, Barack Obama is going to need an extraordinary turn-around to get a positive vote from… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Let this week be a lesson for us all: Don’t get too excited
As someone who did do drugs a bit when younger, and suffered a bit, I sincerely think Peter Hitchens is right when he says there has never been a law on drug use. In my social circle when I was 15-23 I didn't know anyone who didn't do drugs, and the only people I knew that were ever nicked were big time dealers. Posession… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As the Number 10 tries to head off a rebellion on the immig
The normal approach (from 18th century if not earlier) would be to either abstain, or support the amendment - the line would be something like "if the elected Government, with access to all the facts, is not prepared to intervene in support of its own legislative programme, then it must be aware of some defect in its… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Peterborough Chronicle. About that by-election
That raises a further question: why is New York City's population falling, despite a rising overall American population? London suffers many of NYC's problems - housing, crime, etc - yet London is growing alongside the UK. This long, nostalgic, leftwing analysis says that New York City has become boring, unremarkable,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » TMay’s desire to fight the next election makes a challenge thi
You have long been wrong, then. In the recent ICM poll 41% said 10 bn was acceptable, up from 15% in June. That's a massive jump. As was pointed out at the time you can manipulate the answers to these questions quite easily by how you frame the question, and as Jonathan Portes said in last night's very good podcast, he is… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Cameron can do to the Eurosceptic right in the EURef what
I'd agree with the first point. Working as a SpAd is probably very good training for a future minister but does little to prepare an MP for their job in the constituency or in the House. It's also a route which is barely open, if at all, to other than a very small minority. However I'm not sure about your second point. One… -
Re: Vaccine passports – the first major political divide in the fight against COVID? – politicalbetting.
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Re: The polling finds Brits top the world rankings when it comes to willingness to be vaccinated – polit
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Re: Kamala Harris declining sharply in the WH2024 betting – politicalbetting.com
In binning off free movement we have created in some sectors a massive labour shortage - of course wages have risen and sharply in some cases. But as has been pointed out, investment into higher wages is stealing talent not creating it - the shortage in drivers is still there despite Tesco opening the chequebook. Nor will… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The LDs and LAB the gainers in today’s FOUR new voting inte
Yes the yellow stuff is hitting the fan. C4 News are describing this as a crisis show down for Clegg vs Rennard. C4 News has been remarkably well connected into this Lib Dem story all along. This evening Nick Clegg "is of the view that as long as Lord Rennard refuses the very reasonable request from Alistair Webster QC to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Your timetable for this historic day
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Re: Never! The DUP’s tragic journey from Ian Paisley to King Lear – politicalbetting.com
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On PB’s 16th birthday the UK is on the verge of a lockdown?
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ahead of tonight’s GOP debate Ben Carson moves to within 4



