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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Nick Palmer on why we shouldn’t pay too much attention to E
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tory governments age well in the memory. Labour governments tu
Wales wing George North will not play against England and has been replaced by Alex Cuthbert just an hour before kick-off. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The issue that looks set to decide GE2015 – the size of the
It's only 10 AM, and I see Wee Timmy has been ranting for 4 hours. Must be seriously rattled about something. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Survation finds CON to LAB swing of 7.3% with the LDs dropp
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Re: The LDs could be worth a punt in North Shropshire – politicalbetting.com
Just had a party. It was a fireworks party. We used to do it every year, starting in 2014, but couldn't last year. Because I have three youngish children, it was a party at a time of day which only families with youngish children have parties - I.e. 4 - 8 pm. Still, it was great. 16 adults and 17 children in our house.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If Trump fails to win tonight then his bid will effectively
daveweigel @daveweigel 24h24 hours ago Talked to a voter at Rubio rally who disliked Cruz bc he had been a Gang of 8 member then flipped. Had to inform him he mixed up his Cubans. daveweigel @daveweigel 24h24 hours ago So, having just explained to me why he didn't expect Cruz's flip, once it was RUBIO's flip, he… -
Re: Sunak just edging it at the moment in the betting – politicalbetting.com
My position on Penny Mordaunt is this. "Whoever is faithful in small matters will be faithful in large ones; whoever is dishonest in small matters will be dishonest in large ones." It's not just what the lie is about. It's the fact that the default instinct is to lie. That tells you everything you need to know about a… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The danger for Corbyn is that his vulnerability on antisemitis
I disagree, The Duke of Edinburgh visited my father and his colleagues a few years back. An absolute gent they all said, no faffing around him, no temper, put everyone at east straight away, just a lovely old guy that liked to meet new people and learn stuff, very passionate about the deaf. This is a lovely story about the… -
Re: TheTories haven’t yet found a way of dealing with the LDs? – politicalbetting.com
I must agree with the people on here highlighting the danger the US is in when it comes to democratic backsliding. It is easy to look at individual things and think “The electoral college is just a quirk of how the US constitution works” or “Roe vs Wade isn’t the start of Gilead”. But the bigger picture has to be looked… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB leadership latest
I am highly suspicious of the leak about Hs2. We are not getting the full report just some juicy figure, that has obviously been released by those in government/civil service that don't want to build it. I belong to a group that is interested in UK railways and occasionally there is a meet up. It has some old hands from BR… -
Re: Betting YES on a CON MP defecting to LAB might be value – politicalbetting.com
Yes. The AV referendum was confirmation of a piece of legislation agreed by both Houses of Parliament, sent to the People and with no further permissions required. If the People had voted to enact the Act of Parliament, it would have been enacted. The UK leaving the EU, and Scotland leaving the UK, are not simply Bills to… -
Re: New French Presidential poll has Le Pen just 6% behind – politicalbetting.com
It depends how quickly the whole sort of mood in favour of doing it can change I think is heart of your question? I think he is probably mor vulnerable now than at start of year when it was also so quiet and he looked in no immediate danger, simply because so much of his credibility has been eroded away. Thinking back to… -
Re: On Betfair punters make it a 73% chance that not enough Republican Senators will back the impeachmen
Sure. Also, if Obama hadn't tweaked Trump's tail at the White House Correspondent's Dinner. But if almost anyone other than Clinton, H had been the Democratic nominee, then we would never have had Trump as President. (Indeed, it would probably be Paul Ryan taking over from Joe Biden right now.) -
Re: Local matters – politicalbetting.com
Yep. Unfortunately here in Scotland the "Green" brand has been hijacked by a weird group who in previous years would have spent their waking hours selling copies of Socialist Worker in the nearest shopping centre. With the benefit of PR and the aforementioned several of them are pulling in £70k occupying seats in the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It’s looking like a no-deal brexit or else an Article 50 exten
Here In summary: The Sovereign could refuse a request from the Prime Minister to dissolve Parliament if three conditions were met: - if the existing Parliament was still "vital, viable, and capable of doing its job", - if a general election would be "detrimental to the national economy", and - if the Sovereign could "rely… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Marf on Theresa May’s new anti-terrorist measures
Yes - in fact you'll find they will do it during the election too, since only correspondence relating to the specific constituency counts against spending limits (apart from the high national limit). It's a loophole. Cameron can write to you ever day between now and May 7 and so long as he's writing to other people too, it… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The hurdles Hillary has to surmount are getting higher
Moderate, undoubtedly. But competent? Medicare, Whitewater, Lewinsky, 2008, Libya, emails, Syria, Iran... I have to admit I am struggling to think of one major success she has pulled off in a long career at the top (since 1972). Admittedly, I'm not an expert. Further, failures get reported more than successes. But in a… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Nothing up my sleeve
Yet another possibility is a vote of no confidence (VONC) in the government under the Fixed-term Parliaments Act. This would trigger a 14-day countdown to a general election unless a contrary resolution that “this House has no confidence in Her Majesty’s government” were passed. Of course, there is no guarantee that… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ladbrokes Buzzword Bingo on tomorrow’s Labour leadership de
1,000/1 shots: - "It is time for Labour to disband" - "We have been wrong about everything for ever" - "We deserved this, because we are cocks" - "Owen Jones is a total cockwomble" - "We are morally incompetent" - "We let children get raped because it was Asians doing it" - "We brought back filthy Dickensian workhouses" -… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Ashcroft phone poll, like Populus this morning, has CON
I don't remember who said it but my objection to the prediction of a recession next year was because the reasoning given was that 'they happen on average every 7 years so we're due one soon', which is an epic logical failure. Recessions happen for all sorts of reasons but clockwork timing isn't one (there is, as has long…
