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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Given Dave’s more popular than CON his announcement should
Low interest rates and QE have not had the inflationary effects that were suggested or expected. Being realistic the effects have not been inflationary on house prices either. Furthermore we have zero official inflation at the same time as jobs growth falling unemployment and a growing economy. All at a time when banks… -
Re: No Sh*t, Sherlock! – politicalbetting.com
After all the family share trading stuff and now FTX, you would think we might see a sort of MP expenses scandal blow up where the media really focuses on all the dodgy financial shit that has been going on....but instead we have the likes of the NYT doing soft soap pieces on SBF. I thought Dave Chappelles bit on SNL the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This makes me glad I’m laying Boris in the race to be next Tor
The "Pegida-style momentum" in UKIP spearheaded by Anne Marie Waters is interesting. The background is the general election and the Tory failure. Aspects of that failure were three main Tory assumptions: 1) votes that had flowed from Labour to UKIP would flow on to the Tories; 2) demonisation of Jeremy Corbyn would work;… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » For only the second time ever Survation has CON ahead
Cameron being Cameron would have done what he needed to do in terms of arbitration to keep the ship on the road. Had Cameron got a Tory majority of, say, 30, he would have needed to tone down his social policy (gay marriage might have been shelved, or put on the backburner, for instance) and some of the immigration rules… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » What LAB needs is a Burnley fan running the leader’s PR
King Cole, it's snowing here. Has been for at least an hour. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Is Clegg set to announce his departure today?
God, this has been an exciting hour or so for pb addicts. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It’s now 1/6 that the Kavanagh nomination will go through
Easy: none of the ladder would fit in the shed. Because if you stopped in the shed, there wouldn't be a shed to fit into. A 5m ladder weighing maybe 7-10kg, plus a person, weighing a nominal 70 kg, travelling at a velocity of 1/3rd c (1 times ten to the 8 metres per second) would have a kinetic energy of gamma… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » From a betting perspective the dangers of “fighting the last w
OK Quincel, I am going to continue my discussion with you from last night on the back of what is a very well written piece :) I agree Trump won by the skin of his teeth on the votes last time but there are a number of arguments against the logic. First, take a look at those charts. There was a lot more volatility in… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The worry for LAB is that last night’s PLP could be a foret
Afternoon all :) Back on topic, I would certainly vote against this ludicrous piece of legislation. It's a throwback to an idea Newt Gingrich had in the mid 90s which was to force profligate US Governments (Democratic) to run a surplus. He of course had no idea the huge deficits the George W Bush administration (backed by… -
Re: LAB no longer odds on to win a majority – politicalbetting.com
FPT I would suggest you are perhaps conflating two separate things. The ownership of property does not automatically mean the accumulation of wealth to be redistributed. That has only really been the case during the house price boom of the last 50 years or so. Indeed at times prior to the explosion in property prices it… -
Re: Where do we even start? – politicalbetting.com
That section of the legislation applies to MPs. Johnson is not an MP. I can’t see how any action now can apply to Johnson at some future point in time should he be re-elected, which appeared to me to be the suggestion being made. The legislation does not talk about non-MPs who might get elected at some future time. Were… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast. Looking back at the locals (
There are currently no direct scheduled flights between London and Baku in the week of the final. If you want to fly to the game on the day then a lengthy wait in somewhere like Istanbul or Kiev would be needed. The quickest journey by air on the day of the final takes six hours 55 minutes, with the majority lasting more… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The betting markets now make it a 61% chance that Brexit won’t
The solution to all this has to be a government of national unity, with a sensible moderate for PM, with a grown up deputy PM from HMO. People respected by the house who have strong experience of government. Step forward Ken Clarke and Hilary Benn....the country needs you -
Re: Can you spot the trend? – politicalbetting.com
Haven't been in Rotherham for a while, but I have good friends in Doncaster and Barnsley who I speak to regularly. What is the "lot has gone on", exactly? Because the patchy coverage we manage to get shows it's not really happening elsewhere. For example, in Rochdale, a similar town an hour away, grooming is… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Get ready for another CON by-election defence if the Heathrow
Yesterday While flicking through several of the last threads I came accross one 'from a Bernie supporter...'. It was billed as 'an expose on Clinton's emails'. ALL ONE HOUR TWENTY MINUTES OF IT! Foolishly I started listening...'Banks have to show more responsibility. They have to engage with the general public. They have… -
Re: Not making the promised June 21 lockdown end is going to be controversial – politicalbetting.com
The radar footage was leaked yesterday to social media influencers who specialise in UFOs. Within a few hours, this: "Gadi Schwartz @GadiNBC Just in from Pentagon spokesperson: “I can confirm that the video you sent was taken by Navy personnel, and that the UAPTF included it in their ongoing examinations. I have no further… -
Re: October’s polling sees very little change in the big picture – politicalbetting.com
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » How the Evening Standard is reporting the July 2014 Ipsos-M
Surely this is up there with boss of Iceland Frozen Foods who, when asked if they'd tested for horse in the lasagne (or whatever) that had been made for them, said, no and they hadn't tested for hedgehog either which brought the wrath of the po-faced down on him. He had no reason to think any of his suppliers were lying to… -
Re: Why I am now betting on LAB not getting a majority – politicalbetting.com
Bashing Disney is popular among Conservatives in the States. “Big Mouse” is a huge political donor, the vast majority of which goes to Democrats and organisations pushing cultural stuff (think the American version of Stonewall, and BLM). Their parks are covered in Pride flags and staff wear pronoun badges, their movies are… -
Re: Well done Gavin Williamson – politicalbetting.com
