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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As CON MPs vote in 1st round the latest live Betfair bettin
I think we have been here before, Mr. Charles, and my position has not changed. There are more important considerations in deciding national infrastructure than what time you have to get up in the morning. Besides in your recent house move you could have chosen to move to South London Rather than North London. You could… -
Re: AOC-2024? Yes, the Democrats really could go from their oldest nominee to their youngest – political
The left's trouble getting the nomination in 2024 is that their whole argument in 2020 is the Democrats would get nowhere with a cautious moderate and needed to respond in kind - a radical Democrat to take on a Trump GOP. But they were wrong. Biden won the Presidency, and tended to outperform radical congressional… -
Re: Cricket 2023 – politicalbetting.com
Clarence Thomas is either a liar, or doesn't understand simple ethics. Either way he's not fit to be a judge, let alone on the Supreme Court. https://www.propublica.org/article/clarence-thomas-response-trips-legal-experts-harlan-crow ...But seven legal ethics experts consulted by ProPublica, including former ethics lawyers… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The sure guide to knowing if you live in a marginal – how m
The EU has been sticking its fingers into its ears, shouting "La la. We can't hear you" for a decade or more. Only when the flames are licking at their ankles will they notice that the house is on fire. Greece exiting the euro could be a black swan event. So could some ghastly atrocity on the streets of Rome or London.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The hold that Putin holds over Trump could be revealing that t
Seems unlikely, given the interview they just ran with her stressing that she is a remainer. She makes the quite strong point that a House of Commons arranged on party lines is ill equipped to deal with an issue that splits both main parties, and which is quite unlikely to vote for the May 'compromise'.= which is… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast. Looking at the US Midterms w
Land and house prices in South Gwent have been rising, but from a low base. Locals so far ( I work there) see it as more of a boon than a problem ( that has its limits, sure). Industrial land values are well up (struggling to see the issue there), but unless the Welsh Govt actually build the M4 relief road any benefit will… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Punters make it a 54% chance that TMay will go next year with
I think it highly unlikely that Mrs May will lose a VNOC from her own MPs for the reasons that have been well rehearsed on here. But I think it is increasingly likely that the Government will lose a VNOC from all the MPs if the DUP and some of ERG desert them. This could happen in the near future before a deal is agreed… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » YouGov finds 7 out 10 voters, and 4 out 10 Tories don’t Mrs Ma
When I was last in Burma she was still under house arrest, and it was a military police state. It was about the only time that I have travelled solo in a police state, and a rather unnerving experience, with spies and informers everywhere. You cannot divorce a country from its history, and the last century in Burma has… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Some Brexit betting specials
Brexit is the quick and easy fix that those on the right have been gulled into blindly supporting. We have seen its supporters call judges the enemies of the people and call for them to be sacked, attack the governor of the Bank of England and the Chancellor of the Exchequer for expressing inconvenient views about the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Cameron versus Corbyn – the first Ipsos MORI comparison sin
@Apocalypse Why do you concentrate on Osborne as being the next Conservative leader? Have a look at the alternatives - forget Boris and May they are the past - look at some of the youngsters coming through the pack. My money remains on the contest being between Liz Truss and Sajid Javid (assuming neither of them blow up in… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Labour’s TINA* nightmare.
And Trump will say he is going to campaign positively, to MAGA, while Crooked Hillary has nothing positive to say about what she will do for millions of disadvantaged Americans, only what she can do for her millionaire supporters. Or words to that effect. Trump is doing a good job of biting his tongue, we all know he can… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Latest Lord Ashcroft marginals polling finds it’s not going
Lots of nota voted lib dem in 2010 I don't know that thurrock has many affluent areas... Maybe a couple of big houses in the countryside, but not many. I literally live next door to it, my dad was manager of tilbury town fc, and I used to work in lakeside! The affluent people would vote tory Id have thought...believeme,… -
Re: How opinion has shifted since GE2019 – politicalbetting.com
Significant, and I mean genuinely significant, increase in the number of black people you see out and about in Knottingley, in Yvette Cooper’s ward, 68% leave IIRC. We’re where the A1 and M62 cross. Lots of warehousing and industry, 24 hour shift patterns. When I lived in the Midlands 20 years ago and did similar work we… -
Re: Brits remain pessimistic about the where things are heading – politicalbetting.com
Its purpose is only noble if you believe in it and believe it will make things better for the people of Europe. Given I and many others - including many Remainers who only voted against Brexit out of fear of the alternative - believe none of those things, it is hardly an argument in its favour. And it was certainly not in… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Revised analysis of YouGov’s LAB selectorate poll has Corby
Mr Mason was nominated for the Bad Sex Award. Our fellow PBer @SeanT won it. He's in illustrious company. I honestly don't think it's possible to parody this. http://www.theguardian.com/media/mediamonkeyblog/2012/jan/23/newsnight-paul-masonOther TV types have been disappointingly slow to respond to the gauntlet thrown down… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Bercow needs to take inspiration from Arsene Wenger’s exit fro
Brexit in name only The waiting is over. Theresa May has finally chosen a side on Brexit, nearly two years after the referendum. It has not — yet — been set out explicitly. Indeed Mrs May’s language at this week’s prime minister’s questions stressed compromise and balance on the subject. However her choice is increasingly… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Is John Rentoul right – Was Boris’ speech a disaster and Th
Whatever the merits of Johnson's speech (I haven't read it) I cannot for the life of me believe that Tories seriously think Theresa May is leadership material. Forget all the 'nasty party' background noise or that she has the charisma of one of the vultures from the Disney Jungle Book cartoon this is a minister who has a)… -
Re: BoJo says is won’t happen Punters make it a 72% further restrictions will come in this year – politi
The article is exaggerated. The Speccie deals in decent writing, simple presentation of biggish and very general ideas, looking as if it thinks for itself, and in recent years happens to have have been the house journal of a lot of people in or close to power. This is bound to be the case for at least one major UK… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A 7-sided TV debate as proposed by Cameron could go ahead:
The last 24 hours on here has been hysterical watching the PB Tories eulogising the "mastery" and "great game" of David Cameron only for it to all fall apart and leave Cameron with nowhere to turn that does not end up making him look particularly foolish and a huge loser. Stand firm and be embarrassed as an empty chair.… -
Re: And for tonight “50 Ways to Leave the White House” – politicalbetting.com
Firstly, one of the points made in the video is that there's no reason Biden himself couldn't be nominated as Speaker of the House rather than Pelosi (needn't be an elected Congressman)... and in this incredibly far-fetched case, that may well be the outcome. Secondly, it seems to me blocking the election of Biden (with a…