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Re: Braving a New World – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Time to bet that Trump will take the controversial step of pardoning himself? – politicalbetting.com
As a point of order it isn't my theory thats being quoted. There are a lot of reports of officials asking why the National Guard hadn't been deployed and being told authorisation had been refused. Seemingly it took Mike Pence stepping in to remove the logjam. Trump fires the DoD team and replaces them with lackeys. The DoD… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonight’s Brexit related news
Simple my friend: 1. By commiting to an ill-thought out referendum with no clear definition of what Leave might mean (from staying in the single market /customs union through to hard brexit); 2. By not having any sensible majority criteria (I agree 52%-48% is a majority but if it had been the other way round would Leave… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » David Herdson on what Carswell’s defection could mean for 2
Thank you. On this point - "Should holding and expressing an opinion, in itself, be grounds for punishment or discrimination" I would say this. No-one (outside the EU) has a right to come and live here. So there is no punishment involved in not letting people in who can only come here by our invitation. So if we think that… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A look at the betting options if Theresa May falls
All roads lead to Rome. All post Brexit wrangling leads to no one thinking the referendum would be lost. The Referendum Act is a Dangerous Dogs Breakfast Act in constitutional terms. It beggars belief these issues weren't clarified in the Act it's self. Getting Supreme Court rulings on basic issues 7 months after the vote… -
Re: Labour’s poll leads continue – politicalbetting.com
‘Revealed: Furious Boris Johnson ‘threatens legal action’ over biography’s claims about Carrie’ - Exclusive: The prime minister was distracted for hours by allegations in Lord Ashcroft’s book, sources say Boris Johnson spent hours in a state of fury in No 10 after claims about his wife were published in the serialisation… -
Re: Trump back as WH2024 GOP nominee betting favourite – politicalbetting.com
A bit of trivia from the 1960 presidential election: It is unclear who won the popular vote nationally, because of the strange situation in Alabama: "The 1960 United States presidential election in Alabama was held on November 8, 1960 as part of that year's national presidential election. Eleven Democratic electors were… -
Re: Give us unity – but not just yet – politicalbetting.com
Surprisingly good article from Alan. Below-the-line he’s a typical mediocre PB know-it-all and contrarian, but this is one of the best above-the-line PB posts in months (the general standard is staggeringly poor). Leaving aside the dodgy linguistic map and conclusion, his basic points are sound. The Republic must… -
Re: Are we reading June’s Uxbridge by-election wrongly? – politicalbetting.com
It would have been better giving the money to UK chess and get them and their members to organise it. But chess is a good thing, it helped me develop my memory and concentration as a kid, and we have had worse ideas in the last 24 hours, or any 24 hours in the last year to be honest. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Boris comparing Miliband to Stalin does not fit with Camero
A very good reading of the situation. David Miliband probably thought he was behaving honourably in not betraying his leader. At that time, Ed Miliband did not have the position or power to perform a similar manoeuvre. I also wonder if any such manoeuvre on EM's part at that time would just have been seen as a… -
Re: I’m beginning to be concerned about my CON poll lead bet – politicalbetting.com
That's nonsensical. If you hadn't had lockdown/voluntary adherence to public health advice with similar effect then more people would have caught Covid, more people would have required hospital treatment for Covid, and the hospitals would have been full of Covid patients for longer, leading to less other operations or… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Today’s Populus poll should at least calm some nerves in th
@TGOHF "...MacDonald Fraser’s fascinating, unpublished account of how Flashman sprang to life. “I had written what might be called an introductory chapter about this boozy old veteran pouring out his soul on Mafeking Night to some anonymous listener; I think, but I’m not sure, that I called the veteran Flashman, having in… -
Re: Tim Montgomerie is right about this Sunak Tweet – politicalbetting.com
The whole island is burning. Catania has been without electricity and water for 48 hours, apparently, as the cables regulating supply have all melted. It looks horrific. One of Dante's circles of hell. -
Re: How many Prime Ministers until Christmas? – politicalbetting.com
While the question ‘Who on earth should a right-thinking person vote for?’ remains moot, at least one matter has been settled. It seems the era of ‘no debate’, imposed on public life by the trans lobby group Stonewall, is officially over. Politicians need to recognise that that the mantra ‘trans women are women’ is now… -
Re: Apathy in the UK – politicalbetting.com
Ah yes, stayed there too, a couple of years back. There’s a load of old resorts on the road still, alongside a few new ones. Not particularly built up compared to Dubai, still lots of villages around, although Fujairah City has grown quite a bit. The old resorts are getting a little tired though, and have been forced to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Latest French polls not quite as good for Macron as they were
Labour party pledges to outlaw all zero-hours contracts https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/apr/29/election-labour-mcdonnell-corbyn-zero-hours-economy But lots of people actually like them...and it will totally screw so many businesses if they outlaw all ZHC, no ifs, no buts. ZHC is basically just agency work under… -
Re: Why LAB could struggle to get a majority – politicalbetting.com
Well I inherited something from at least one set of grandparents to help with a deposit as did most of my generation I know (others got parental help with deposits too). In the home counties and posher parts of London that is the norm now. You were a high earner, most people aren't. In London and the Home counties you… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » How opinion on the referendum is going in first week after
Teacher at 'Trojan Horse' Birmingham school spared ban "we have the true religion, not like those ignorant Christians and ignorant Jews" http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-birmingham-35666546 Just wondering...if lets for instance say there was a school that had been found to be incredibly racist, with members of teaching… -
Re: Lords a-leaping – politicalbetting.com
o/T but for @JosiasJessop and any other PB cartophiles - a sad story about an Ordnance surveyor https://www.nls.uk/media/ruoc4x1q/cairt40.pdf Near Holborn Head is "is a small monument indicating the position from whence the late Captain Slater is supposed to have fallen. The horse's foot marks, and a riding whip found the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Opinium sees the Tory lead up 10% in a week to 19%. Labour are
Betting question team - I put £5 e/w 1/5th the odds on a horse on the Betfair Exchange odds of Decimal 13. The horse was placed. They paid out £7 profit plus returned my stake. I think they should have paid out £12 profit plus returned my stake. My calcs: 13 = 12/1 12/1 x 1/5th the odds = 2.4 Therefore they should have…
