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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The story of the night on the betting markets
After all the noise, this has been just another bog standard mid-term election. 9 out of the last 10 midterms have seen the opposition party take the House. 8 of the last 10 midterms have seen the opposition party receive over 50% of the house popular vote. The only major exception was 2002, in the year after 9/11, which… -
Re: Sausage Party Conference – politicalbetting.com
As has been discussed on here ad infinitum, renters tend to occupy more of a property than owners. E.g. a young couple buy a house together, having formerly lived in bedrooms in two fully occupied houses of multiple occupancy, buy a two bed flat with a spare bedroom, thus reducing occupancy levels. This diminishes the pool… -
Re: The cabinet are proving to be a seraglio of eunuchs – politicalbetting.com
https://x.com/steven_swinford/status/2052742544123961772 It looks increasingly like nobody is going over the top Andy Burnham is not expected to say anything today or this weekend. Wes Streeting appears to be sticking to what he said before the election - he doesn't think this is the time for a leadership challenge Cabinet… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » After what’s been described as Trump’s worst week yet the bett
Regarding comments on housing. It is really, really tiring hearing the same criticisms of planning rehearsed endlessly, by otherwise educated and intelligent people. Planning has become a whipping boy for thirty plus years of public policy failure It is a myth that you can 'relax planning' and solve everything, but it is a… -
Re: Johnny Mercer has given so much ammunition to critics of Boris Johnson – politicalbetting.com
The position which best balances the interests of UK, E and W and Scotland is for independence always to be a lawful option, for never enough people to really want it, and for parties sympathetic to putting Scotland first/independence to do well in Scotland. It has lots of downsides, including the chance that it will make… -
Re: The Conservatives are the 1/10 favourites to win the next general election – politicalbetting.com
Just like houses, companies and other assets, it can be borrowed against. The lesson of the last 2-3 decades has been soaring asset values based on only a small proportions of the asset being on the market at any one time and asset holders releasing that inflated value by borrowing against it. See housing market. Demand >… -
Re: The 100 days offensive – politicalbetting.com
The other issue that I think is really important is that, for one reason or another, a lot of investment and savings capital has been poured into houses, and essentially the land that the houses sit on, and not enough private capital has gone into productive investment. This should be something the government can influence… -
Re: Streeting fighting man? – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Let us all talk about our first time – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Mayor Corbyn? – politicalbetting.com
THE INTERNET IS abuzz with chat on one topic and one topic only this morning: whether the 47th President of the United States, Donald J Trump, has died. He hasn’t. The speculation seems to be based on three main factors: He hasn’t been out and about in public as normal since Wednesday, he was photographed with a bruise on… -
Re: Trump Overreach? – politicalbetting.com
It's a bit more complicated than that and that can been be seen by the fact that (for example) house prices moved up more quickly before the wave of immigration from eastern Europe began, than afterwards. For example, back in the 1970s people went straight from living at home to married. The moving back of the age of… -
Re: That way madness lies – politicalbetting.com
The UK throughout my life has been defined by making the lives of people older than me better. In my 20s, it was cheap credit and cheap housing that let people in their 40s become BTL millionaires. By the time I hit that age... houses were too expensive and Osborne's reforms mean you get taxed on income, not profit. Also,… -
Re: These YouGov findings are terrible for Truss – politicalbetting.com
It's not that easy to interpret the phrase "the elected Government" at the best of times in our weird constitution and I'm not sure anyone's going to argue these are the best of times. But it I was to have a go, I'd suggest that this Government is only "elected" within the most minimal interpretation of the definition,… -
Re: Cutting taxes can be not putting them up as much says Nigel Farage – politicalbetting.com
Just out…Behr on the money in the Guardian: Waging war with no fixed purpose means victory can be declared at any point. Regime change was the plan, but Trump finds it easier to change plans than regimes. The White House seems not to have anticipated the predictable economic repercussions of war in the Middle East –… -
Re: Proposed changes to Driving Laws: A Quick Reaction – politicalbetting.com
Bizarrely, my little residential cul-de-sac has a 40mph limit, as it is off a 40mph road and someone has removed the 30mph sign. I was going to ask the council to reinstate it, but my sat nav gives the limit as 40 so, equally bizarrely, it seems to be intended. There is another road near me that goes round a housing… -
Re: Could the provinces save Sunak? – politicalbetting.com
First you need to break the Big Lie that house prices matter a damn to anyone apart from speculators, the dead and the multiply behomed. I'm currently house hunting and it's faintly ludicrous that to get a decently sized three or four bed (120-140sqm) you need to have two salaries in the 80th percentile, no children, a… -
Re: So far this year voting intentions barely moved – politicalbetting.com
Increasing problem for me too. I have on several occasions now opened the front door to go out, almost to fall over a box that has been delivered, sat merrily on the doorstep in full view of the street for who knows how many hours. That said, don’t get me started on the number of occasions my house has become a parcel… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Starmer starting to pull away in the Corbyn successor betting
As regards "the next leader to be a woman", what is the point if she is unelectable? You may as well hang on to Corbyn. Labour have tried the symbolism approach and it has been a failure. They need an electable Leader. -
Re: If you want to bet on the 2028 election with Trump & Obama as the candidates then you can now
Do we have previous examples of MPs deliberately committing Contempt of Court? Have any been prosecuted? To me this looks quite "slap him down or it will become normal practice". Missed this one. Lee Anderson ups the stakes - commenting publicly on a case which is sub judice at 3pm yesterday, admitting that he took 24… -
Re: The local elections – the broad trends so far – politicalbetting.com
Mark Oaten watch Unelected for South Gloucestershire Council Severn Vale - results Election Candidate Party Votes % Tony Williams Liberal Democrats 1537 24% Elected Matthew Robert Riddle Conservative Party 1528 24% Elected Mark Oaten Liberal Democrats 1435 23% Not elected Keith John Burchell Conservative Party 1325 21% Not…
