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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A reminder of the great political betting night June 23/24 201
It was also a lot easier for the government to allow the challenge and react to it early in the process, rather than risk a judgement after A50 had been declared which would have been considerably more complicated. The one line bill was an elegant solution, especially when accompanied by some heroic whipping in both houses… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Johnson’s Tories get their best Opinium voting numbers since b
The World Health Organization (WHO) has reported that 7,360 deaths have been recorded worldwide in the last 24 hours, the largest daily increase since last May 10. In addition, it has reported a new daily record of infections, with 259,848 new positives in the past day. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This just possibly could be the moment for Yvette: A Labour
Having been exiled to Norfolk and then tortured with a replacement bus service for the past 48 hours, I've not been able to follow this Miranda story, but is this summary correct, the arms of the state detained someone purely on the basis that they were the partner of a journalist that has written damaging stories about… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Tories are looking to Copeland for endorsement of Mrs. May
Because it has been up longer and trumpeted by every news outlet going for 2 days and been used as another outlet for Remoaner grief. For a pro Trump petition to get almost 100 000 signatures in less than 24 hours with virtually no publicity until now and in the face of relentlessly anti Trump headlines from the UK media… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » We could be just 18 days away from the next LAB leadership con
I've been very wary of making predictions this election because, like Manuel and Jon Snow, I know nothing. But here's one. I think there's a much higher than usual probability of a black swan event, one that will do serious damage to one of the party campaigns. Two reasons for this. First, there is essentially no debate on… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If there were a Newark by-election…
Yet more sunshine. This time to warm the cockles of tim's heart. The more attentive PB readers will have noted that the UK banks are undercapitalised (by £25 bn according to the BoE PRA) and their mortgage books have been preventing them from easily increasing their risk capital and from supplying credit to households and… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » David Herdson says the Migrant crisis has laid bare the EU’
I take it by those remarks you are referring to the migration out of the DDR via Czechoslovakia and Hungary in 1989? Because Communism itself didn't 'fall' in 1989 - the withdrawal from Eastern Europe (including Hungary) was in 1990, and the USSR of course lingered on until 1991. That may have been a harbinger of today's… -
Re: Johnson trails Sunak by a staggering18% as “Better PM” – politicalbetting.com
For sake of accuracy, I think it has been established that Boris was nowhere near those parties, he was away at Chequers. I actually think those ones took him by surprise that his staff had going wild at such a moment. The fact he fostered an culture of people having drinks during times of restrictions and was unaware when… -
Re: If uniform national swing (UNS) applies then the Tories will make it three by-election wins out of t
This Aella girl understands maths as well as porn. She does log scales too. https://twitter.com/aella_girl/status/1335726943249920000 Porn has been an industry turned totally upside down by the pandemic. As studio production got shut down, the known ‘stars’ who worked for the production houses have realised they can earn… -
Re: Now we have the build-up to the Cummings appearance before Commons Health and Science Committee – po
Oh indeed. Western drugs policy has been an unmitigated failure, but there’s now too many vested interests to do anything about it. You either legalise drugs and tax them, or you build a lot more prisons. Some half way house where most recreational use seems to be tolerated by society, but the whole show is run by the… -
Re: The Johnson Premiership – Are we seeing the end days? – politicalbetting.com
Absolutely, apart from Christmas in Dubai, since Dubai is essentially non-U. Middle class inflation has been very bad over the last generation, the lifestyle previously enjoyed by quite middling types* is pretty much out of reach now for most. *Kids in private school. House with grounds in Home Counties. Newish car, and… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Sunak now level-pegging with Johnson on who would make the “be
If you like, because the man sure has been sticking to me for the last four months. After a long period of house arrest that shows no signs of ending, We face a horrible, horrible future of mistrust, discord, poverty, unemployment, ignorance, suffering and deprivation. Why should we keep listening? why should we keep… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Johnson’s big gamble – setting a time table for the lockdown r
Paper on the BLM protests, they looked at mobile phone data and concluded that although participating in the protests probably increases risk to participants, the net effect is to increase social distancing behaviour overall, because everybody else is worried about transport disruption, unable to go to a business that has… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » And not the Thursday PB NightHawks – THE place for late evenin
Here in the Western Vale of Glamorgan, a Coronovirus lockdown side effect has been a peculiar crime wave. The theft of Eglu chicken houses complete with chickens. On a more serious note. Feargal Keane's report on fatalities from Covid-19 on NHS staff, particularly younger BAME Doctors and Nurses was heartbreaking on BBC's… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Latest Electoral Calculus projection has CON 15 seats ahead ev
A country that works for everyone - not just a privileged few land owners and developers? The tax payer backed multi million pound bonuses the directors of the major housing developers have made from help to buy has been an absolute scandal. If only every company could put the price of their goods up by 40 per cent and get… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Today Corbyn’s Labour lead the ABC1s by 12%
Well it may have been hyperbole but the point is unless you earn a very high income you will not be able to buy in central London now, so move further out and commute in. We also have not mentioned part ownership, which has got a work colleague in an average salary on the housing ladder in Outer London without any… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Who to trust?
And the other great party has been found guilty in court only last week of running a racist housing policy, introduced by you-know-who as Home Secretary. Motes and beams! And is widely held to have run a racist election campaign for London's Mayor. Motes and beams. Betting-wise, since this is a betting site, the main… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The road to No Deal: Brexit’s Rubik’s Cube may simply be too d
The correct analogy is Love It Or List It. The hen-pecked husband has been persuaded against his better judgement to list the perfectly adequate house because the stroppy mare of a wife can’t get on with the neighbours. Now she’s looking at properties that require a 400 miles daily commute for him that are half-derelict… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB drops 4 in new YouGov Euros poll putting CON to within
'pouter, you have the tone entirely wrong. This is how a true Tory would recount his life story: "I was fortunate to have had a happy and comfortable childhood. We were taught from an early age not to take money and privilege for granted." "My father was a successful undertaker in the city. Dad's business, for example,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » TIGgers can reshape politics – but not as a collective of lone
He does make a sort of valid point - is politics about personalities or helping people? The word Chuka or Soubry has probably been mentioned far more times this week by the political commentariat than say the words housing, homelessness, education or healthcare. The TIGgers of course probably couldn't agree on a policy to…