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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » After the ComRes Rochester poll UKIP becomes an even firmer
You have to wonder if the primary was worth the resources just to prove a rather minor point if the response was well below 10% turnout If that wasn’t costly enough, all the postage has been first class, not second. The mailings alone must have cost at least £100,000, before any expenditure related to counting the votes.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Revised analysis of YouGov’s LAB selectorate poll has Corby
I think it will be a couple of years before we can pass judgment on the SNP's influence at Westminster. 100 days in the SNP have achieved the following: - They're the catalyst which looks like reshaping British politics. - Pretty much destroyed the LibDems as a political force (other than in the H of L !!) - Provided… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump could take New Hampshire with just 29% because opposi
Zac needs to show is right behind the living wage, and the getting of the lowest paid out of the income tax net. He needs to be making the case that he and his Govt. are helping the poorest in London. And yes, he also needs to be very happy that London is the destination of choice for the Uber-rich. Proud that the top 1%… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » ICM phone poll for Guardian has it at 51% NO to 49% YES – t
Hopefully not. Some of us are really worried. My wife I have to constantly calm down such is her worry. Probably a very small snapshot at why woman are more inclined to no. The worry, in my Wife's case is tough to see as i try tell her either way, as a couple we'll find a way forward. Oh, and before anyone says it's… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » NightHawks is now open
:D - I live in Ystrad Mynach, which is becoming a mini-Cardiff. Lots of you Cardiffians (you are from Cardiff, aren't you?) are emigrating up here, making houses more expensive and doing weird stuff like speaking properly! It must be the easy commute to Queen Street, our own hospital, own college, great rugby side (go… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Keiran Pedley: LAB’s making a big mistake to assume that th
They should start with thisMuch still has to be done before Nicola Sturgeon realises her dream of making Scotland the most enlightened and socially just country on the planet. In normal circumstances, this would be no easy task but it’s rendered more difficult by the fact that Scotland currently possesses a police force… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Remember: Next PB gathering: Friday May 2nd starting at 6.3
Interesting that someone is trying to play dirty tricks on UKIP members rather beyond the normal party bickering. "Hi all A former member has been circulating an anonymous letter trying to frighten UKIP members and candidates into resigning with some blood-curdling tales about impending legal actions and the threat of… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Conservatives win a by-election whilst in government fo
Now that I have calmed down a bit about how lamentably poorly Labour did in the Eden* by-election a minor observation on the Lib Dems. In 2010 the Lib Dems were very notable in not losing a single deposit, anywhere in the country. In 2015 it is likely that they will lose most of the deposits in constituencies where they… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Lib Dem deposit losses at the General Election
I posted at the end of one of the weekend threads that I simply cannot see a route to a Tory win. Just looking at constituency summaries in the NW and WM shows so many seats where Labour will expect to regain ground. There has been a failure to deal effectively with banking and indeed corporate power, a fake localism… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why getting a credible leader is so important to LAB: YouGo
And then lost a vote of No Confidence... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1979_vote_of_no_confidence_in_the_government_of_James_CallaghanA vote of no confidence in the British Labour Government of James Callaghan occurred on 28 March 1979. The vote was brought by Opposition leader Margaret Thatcher and was lost by the Labour… -
Re: This week’s local council by-election bet: Cranleigh East – politicalbetting.com
Brave and the right thing to do is my opinion. And the sooner it happens, the sooner that public sector pay rises will be affordable. If pay in the private sector doesn't rise then public sector pay will need to continue to be deflated too as it has been for a decade. If private sector pay is minimum wage jobs that are… -
Re: An ill fitting union – politicalbetting.com
Probably that, its mountain territory, weather reportedly wasn't great and the Iranians dont have the greatest servicing, not a good combination. Turkiye has sent a recon UAV with useful search tech perhaps indicating that Iran hasnt got the best gear to carry out SAR, particularly where its reported weather conditions are… -
Re: Could his role on January 6th block Trump’s WH2024 campaign? – politicalbetting.com
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/apr/18/king-charles-renting-out-edinburgh-property-given-to-mother-in-role-as-queen Some interesting stuff coming out in the Graun btw. 'Andy Wightman, a Scottish land reform expert and former Scottish Green party MSP, said the house seemed to have been a publicly owned asset used… -
Re: Tim Montgomerie is right about this Sunak Tweet – politicalbetting.com
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Re: From Mike Smithson – a personal note – politicalbetting.com
Yes. It's looking at things in the round. The young have more of a direct stake in pursuing policies that are more growth-friendly - as unlike older people, who may have accrued assets and/or a pension that has been protected while working-age incomes have declined in real terms. Freedom of Movement, or rather the EU or SM… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Johnson’s reported admiration for Trump won’t look smart if Bi
The polls definitely point to that. The actions of the Biden camp suggest they have some concerns. They have started their TV ads in Minnesota a week early. And they are doing more Black voter outreach than normal. That might be because of turnout fears or because they think Trump is picking off a few percentage points. At… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Were we all taken in by the apparent invincibility of Team Cor
The Trump administration on Thursday unveiled significant changes to the nation’s landmark environmental law that would make it easier for federal agencies to approve construction projects without considering climate change. Many of the White House’s proposed changes to the 50-year-old National Environmental Policy Act… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Cyclefree on Experts v Commoners
I'll probably be dismissed as complacent...and it's a dodgy comparison...but here goes :) . German economic performance is legendary. Doubly so, when you consider the state of the country 70 years ago. In 1945, the country was in ruins. 20% of all housing had been destroyed, the male labour force more than decimated. Yet,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Mr. Corbyn is fortunate that LAB’s selectorate doesn’t appe
I wonder if the thought plods will be arresting anyone for Tom Daley tweets this time: ' A teenager has been arrested by police investigating abuse of Team GB diver Tom Daley on Twitter. After coming fourth in the men's synchronised 10m platform diving event on Monday, the 18-year-old from Plymouth received a message… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Cracking New Statesman piece by Matthew Engel on betting &
I think the price of booze on tap compared with booze in supermarkets has been a bigger factor. I'm very sad about the decline of pubs. I spent so much time in pubs and clubs as a kid, making lots of friends and really enjoying myself - a proper rugby boy. Drunk in the night and running it off in the morning. Over…