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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Polling understatement of the Tories is MUCH less likely to ha
No, you obviously can't with an even number of members in terms of the final result of the election as it's eventually reported in the history books. So I hope he's not bet on the exact number! As has been mentioned, you could have MPs not taking their seats. There was also the case the other year of a deferred election… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Boundary conditions. How Brexit might be helping to lay the gr
This is what will destroy the Tories: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-43075099 "The biggest decline in home ownership in the last 20 years has been among middle-income 25 to 34-year-olds, the Institute for Fiscal Studies said. In 1995-96, 65% of this group owned a home, but just 27% do in 2015-16, with the biggest drop… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Where should a concerned LAB supporter direct his anger?
This is also another point which will help Labour a bit, after Corbyn has gone. In the 1980s, Labour councils were still acting up right til the end of the decade, even after Kinnock had started putting the national party's house in order. (In the 1987 election, in London in particular, actions of Labour councils were… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » What makes Jim Murphy so dangerous to the SNP is that for t
Aberdeen has always been a rollercoaster town switching between boom and bust but they are coming over the crest of one of the biggest dips in recent times. The scale of this will impact on the UK where a significant part of the anticipated growth in private sector capital investment was north sea related and now simply… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Round-up of the latest numbers and charts from this excepti
Bolshevik? Don't make me laugh. The BBC is run by wealthy middle class people who want to keep their privileges. The fact it is considered left wing just shows how that concept has lost any meaning. You don't expect the BBC to take a warning from the IMF seriously? The trouble is only the right have been prepared to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Owen: Lay off Jeremy. Challenge Theresa May
The average white working class voter is not going to care less whether Woolfe should have been disqualified for having had a few too many to drink once when driving which disqualified him from an election virtually nobody votes in anyway. Yes, Woolfe may have made a mistake but don't we all? They will catch 5 to 10… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Labour’s local by-election woes continue
"August trashing Donald Trump. The AP reported: Hillary Clinton spent $645,000 more a day than her opponent Donald Trump last month, but even with her $50 million campaign outlay, she has not been able to pull away from him in the race for the White House. It didn’t do any good. Hillary dropped 10 points in the last month… -
Re: Now the speculation is that Biden wants to be a two term president – politicalbetting.com
It's comments like that which drive Trump's support. If you say to people, who oppose the way the Democrats say and do some things, "Ergh! Trumpite!", then you risk annoying them so much that they end up feeling compelled to pick the side you don't want. I've been clear enough on here I couldn't actively support the… -
Re: Undefined discussion subject.
I think at this point it’s self evident. Good that someone on the formal panel is now brave enough to say it. If the virus had originated almost anywhere other than China things might’ve been different, as we’d have had more transparent data to work with. Instead all we had was what they chose to share, plus the leaks of… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If the latest YouGov is on the right lines the Tories are set
Washington DC A rising star of the Democratic party resigned as a congresswoman this week (Brisky note: last week) over claims that she had a three-way relationship with her husband and a female campaign staffer, and an affair with a male aide. Katie Hill, 32, who is openly bisexual, denied the latter claim, which would… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Welcome to the new gerontocracy
Your stereotyping of age groups I find deeply unsettling. Stereotyping has long been seen as a very unhealthy trait and is relation to most demographic factors is socially unacceptable in this day and age if not downright illegal. It is also stupid. We see on this board every day that there is a mix of attitudes amongst… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB 7 points ahead in new Populus online poll
The draft The Court of Appeal (Recording and Broadcasting) Order 2013 has now been laid before Parliament, pursuant to section 32 of the Crime and Courts Act 2013. To come into force, it must be approved by a resolution of both Houses of Parliament, and crucially must have the concurrence of the Lord Chief Justice. Filming… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » For a party with less than one MP UKIP sure knows how to hog t
There are very specific laws on election spending, on printed material, advertising etc. You'd have to convince the judge why his spending shouldn't be added to yours, which unless you've sent him a cease and desist during the campaign isn't going to wash. Especially not if you share a pint with him on Friday night at the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Marf on the dramatic events in Harare
FPT: Bizarrely, living as I do 7000 miles or so away from France, this has been noticed here as well. There is an excellent French bakery about 200 yds from my house, run by an expat French chef who typically, and magnificently, refuses to compromise his standards and still imports his butter from France for the croissant,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Not quite the Thursday newspaper headlines that Team TMay had
I agree that May should go. She's uninspiring, lacking in ambition and just unlucky - I have always been a bit MEH about her. In the modern era you need someone who can project warmth and emotional intelligence and she has neither. David Davies and Boris would both be better chairpeople, fronting the govt. But I disagree… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why the eligibility rules for Labour’s election could help
For Tony Blair's remaining fans: Tony Blair has been receiving an extraordinary pension of up to £80,000 a year since the day he quit Downing Street. .......Currently aged 49, Mr Cameron will have to wait until he turns 65 to get the still-generous income of around £20,000. He will also be entitled to a backbench MPs’… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » What Corbyn’s constituencies tell us about the class of 202
Morning all - been a while. An interesting thread and a broader argument within the party and without which seems to ignore two rather basic points. 1. Many people seem fixated on the narrative of the now - what people (allegedly) think now is all they will ever think and to suggest they thought something different before… -
Re: The only thing we have to Keir is Keir itself – politicalbetting.com
Provo is quite anonymous, it's been developed around the aesthetic and needs of the average well heeled American tourist and so all its character has been erased. To be honest it's the sort of place I hate! Grand Turk felt very remote, with herds of wild horses roaming the island. Much more character but not your typical… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corbyn supporters are a broad church. Labour MPs worried th
'Corbyn won a democratic election and he needs to be given the space to do his job.' So did Cameron. Should he be given a free ride on everything he wants, including things not in his manifesto? 'It seemed self-evident that a Westminster coup that led to Corbyn being re-elected by the membership would make Labour’s hole… -
Re: Nikki Haley moves up 12% in new WH2024 poll – politicalbetting.com
