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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This is more of a Dieppe Raid than a D-Day success for DD
I'm not at all interested in our internal squabbles. Where do I show that I am interested in the party squabbling internally (it is now, of course)? Modern capitalist societies are problematic. They give some people Porsches and others mini-metros (or did). People who live in tiny terraced houses can be found with fuck off… -
Re: Johnson’s mayoral rule changes make a CON London victory more likely – politicalbetting.com
Thanks, Cicero. You evidently know the area quite well. What brings you down this way, apart from the racing, of course? Naturally I can offer some local support for your observations. Cheltenham is a nailed on LD win, which in one respect is a bit of a pity. Alex Chalk is an excellent MP and just the sort the Tories would… -
Re: Beth Mead for SPOTY? – politicalbetting.com
He's right in one way. Grammar schools are not the answer to the myriad of problems facing education. But in another way he illustrates the problem: For the past 12 years, the Conservative party has spearheaded a revolution in education. The brilliant Gove reforms, ably carried forward by his successors, have seen state… -
Re: New betting market – A CON vote lead before Jan 31st? – politicalbetting.com
Hmmm. This is incredibly thin. The so-called "Conservative Peer" - Viscount Gage - has not been a member of the House of Lords for more than 20 years. Far from the work being done "for him, on his estate", afaics it is being done on an access road to an independent museum who made the application. I don't think stooping… -
Re: The papers on Kwarteng’s vast tax cuts gamble – politicalbetting.com
How does that work, when the constant drone for months has been about Truss being an individual who keeps changing her opinions every few minutes? (Morning all) BTW, the Week at Westminster is very good this week. And if you listen to Weekend Woman's Hour, the headline item is about the women's sheep-shearing record… -
Re: Both Trump and Biden stage Georgia rallies on the eve of today’s Georgia runoffs – politicalbetting.
Roger that is complete rubbish. I can only assume you don't have school age children. Our kids' teachers have moved heaven and earth to deliver teaching during this pandemic, whether in person or as now remotely. The virus was ripping through schools - our daughter caught it there before Christmas - and teachers were… -
Re: New Ipsos MORI polling finds nearly half of Brits having favourable view of Biden – politicalbetting
A housebound 84-year-old woman says she has been told she may have to wait up to two months to have her coronavirus vaccine if she cannot get to her GP surgery. Stuart Wilson says his mother Julia, from Sketty in Swansea, is immobile and needs two people with a hoist to get her up. He says her surgery called on Tuesday… -
Re: A problem about enforcement remains Johnson’s failure to do anything about the Cummings lockdown bre
Indeed, left liberals blame the voting system but they all know the Presidency has been decided by the electoral college not the popular vote since the US was created. No point doing a Hillary and fundraising in California when you need to win Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. They then blame too many judges being… -
Re: Undefined discussion subject.
Theresa May would at least have known what her position was. Boris cannot be bothered even to understand his own official pronouncements. His musing that the rule of six really meant sixty at an Animal House party, for instance, is strikingly similar to his early presser where he dutifully recited the lockdown rules but… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Betting opinion moves sharply against TMay’s chances of gettin
Charles Walker is my MP. I can only imagine that "senior tory" is polite journo speak to mean he is a total non entity. He is past "junior" but not yet "veteran". He isnt "talented", "prominent", "outspoken" or "influential" and has never been tipped for any kind of promotion. This is the only time i can ever remember him… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Two CON losses – one to LAB the other to the SNP in latest
There was a bloke (Chatham House?) on the radio the other day who said that in actual fact "moderate" rebels are in short supply and hard to find thus (holds nose) supporting your point. His point being that whichever rebels you bombed the s**t out of it was probably ok, western-liberal-democracy-wise. The Americans need… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Whilst it is understandable national campaigning has been susp
And where's the money going to come from ? Here where: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/nationalaccounts/balanceofpayments/timeseries/hbop/pnbp Over the last five years the UK has had a balance of payments deficit of nearly £400bn. Instead of pissing that money away on imported consumer tat and foreign holidays that money… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The budget spread bets – how many times will key words be ment
My guess is that they are thinking about what might happen if they can't get the Withdrawal agreement through the House. There would by no time for a referendum, but a GE can be called quite quickly, and Labour can hardly object, having been asking for one for months. So a GE, high-risk though it is, might be the only… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It looks as though there could be by-election in an ultra marg
It did. It's just been forgotten about. One of the reasons the Attlee government struggled in 1950 was that it had failed to build enough houses to meet demand, although more recent scholarship has suggested the perception they failed on this was a bit unfair (and certainly they faced an impossible task given the huge… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » What LAB has not factored in is that TMay’s successor will get
Other interesting economic data today are that manufacturing output has increased for the eigth consecutive month. This equals the previous record in 1987 and longer than anything else dating back to 1968 (and probably a lot earlier). As expected overall production output fell because of the North Sea problems - have they… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » At some stage some of the “will Trump survive” bets will be va
Yes but there are alot of levers and methods we could have used such as the below which we simply haven't. Does any other country in europe have our tax credit, housing benefit and NHS systems that do such a great job of encouraging immigration 'below the marginal level' ? What a sorry story it is that Belgium has superior… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Polling analysis: UKIP’s hurting CON even more in the margi
The welfare state was certainly a lot more generous back then that it was under either the last Labour government or the current Coalition. As a student I got a full grant and had my fees paid, I got housing benefit and I got to sign on in the summer. Later when I was unemployed I got my mortgage paid and was never forced… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB could get squeezed in Witney and end up with a single figu
Be interested to know how Gidleigh Park is after Michael Caines has been replaced by Michael Wignall. I ate several times at Gidleigh when Caines himself was in the kitchen. His palate for fish dishes is exquisite and (unusually) I didn't begrudge the sizeable tab. The setting for Gidleigh is delightful - and still manages… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Tories need to move the agenda off the NHS if they’re to h
Now its possible that the labour market is increasingly erratic or that the ONS has produced some dodgy stats but there seems to have been a very big increase in employment and an even bigger change in the demand for workers. From a quarterly reduction of 56,000 in the three months of August to October to a quarterly… -
Re: The pre-CON conference GE betting has “hung parliament” still favourite – politicalbetting.com
True, but more likely the opposite in practice. There was a fairly damning House of Lords report into the use of QE referencing the common perception it has been used over Covid in part to finance the deficit. The Bank of England was not pleased with this and responded by setting out its plans to reduce existing QE stocks…