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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New study finds Brits struggling under the lockdown although 8
This house isn't in his constituency, but it is where is in the area where he has lived since a child, and is where his family reside Friday to Sunday every week and have been there since before the restrictions came into place *. I think his constituents might be a bit disappointed to learn that he doesn't live there, but… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Raab in trouble whilst Labour are on course to increase their
You jest but the conversation has been had in our house. It is too late should Corbyn get over the line at this GE, but should the hard left still be in control in 2024 then there is a pretty good chance that Labour will win. The financial impact for us is so severe as to make it prudent to bring forward retirement plans… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Farage looks set to lose his BBC Election Question Time slot f
Because "freedom of movement" has been maligned as meaning a three bed house with 20 Romanian men living in it, rather than the rights of all of us to make a living, enjoy our retirement or find love right across our continent. I see this response as being a more accurate one because it strips out all the toxic tabloid… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The firsrt Tory to be selected in a full all-postal primary, S
I understand what you are alleging about her. I was hoping, no doubt in vain, that you might have some evidence which might support it. To be clear, I don't particularly like her, and I think she has been flakey on Brexit. I very much disagree with her in that she voted against the deal, and therefore bears some… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » TMay makes most of the front pages this morning as reports con
That isn't true. The ERG have betrayed Brexit but they are not alone. All of those who voted to oppose May's deal betrayed Brexit. And they continue to do so. Unless you are the SNP and (to an extent) the Lib Dems who were elected on different platforms no MP should have voted against May's deal unless they were confident… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Taking the 3/1 on no Brexit deal being reached before the 1st
I am off out shortly, but the fact is that the EZ has been growing for 17 continuous quarters, and several previously sick economies (Spain, Portugal and Ireland) amongst them.The fundamentals of the Northern EZ countries and Scandinavia are much better than our own consumer and housing bubble. I don't think we will rejoin… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonight’s council by elections round up
Usual FT Spin - May has been clear from the start that there would be a settlement - it was the House of Lords that said legally the 'bill' would be zero - but politically we might be wise to contribute something. What I can see as sticking points: - Commitments after we have left - The Euro Turkish refugee fund - when… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Take Care. The implications of the Conservative policy on soci
Until a couple of weeks ago, one bookie was offering odds on who would be the next HoC Speaker. unfortunately this market has since been taken down. My own pick was Margaret Beckett at odds of 20/1, assuming she manages to narrowly sneak in at Derby South, and that it's now Labour's turn to hold this position. Anyone have… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » After the second Democratic Party debate Clinton remains th
You are completely wrong. I favour PR for at least one House of parliament. You might also note that NickP - hardly a Tory - agrees with my reasoning. As was proven in 2010, the Conservatives have little to fear existentially from PR. A party that has survived all the changes since before 1832 need not worry about a change… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Granny storming the barricades
Please don't go. Just make GE 2017/18/19/20 the pro-youth election. You have the power. Some humble proposals: Build houses in ok and even good areas, even if it reduces prices. Fund education, even if your kids / your relatives' kids are already out of the system. Please don't lecture youth on what it means to be British… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Tory Keogh report offensive appears to have had no impa
Plato, I agree that the NHS issue is very much a long game strategy, although I doubt that Cameron and Osborne actually understand that, witness their tactical error on Mid Staffs. When the mid Staffs report was due, Tim Montgomerie was heavily advocating for the Govt to pile into Labour's record, Cameron did not and… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This just possibly could be the moment for Yvette: A Labour
At his conference speech, Ed needs to make the delegates swoon. He should take inspiration from Ozzy's legendary inheritance-tax pledge, which utterly spooked Labour and led to the long slow death of Gordon Brown's career. Seizing the railways back into state ownership has been posited, but I'd go one better - a mass… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Use your political forecasting skills to enter the 2016 PB
Does anyone understand why rates got cut? The fall in the pound should be expected to bring some medium term inflation, so the theory says that the next movement would be up rather than down. But hey, how much conventional economic theory has been thrown out of the window in the past 7 or 8 years? IMHO The rock bottom… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Dicing with the Debt Ceiling could diminish Dollar dominanc
In other US news, Erick Erickson muttering about a third party: http://www.redstate.com/2013/10/10/house-gop-preparing-to-give-up/ It's getting quite easy to see the Republicans splintering from one end or the other, or even both. The combination of the primary system and FPTP has been quite successful at holding back the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Thursday could end up becoming a referendum on Nigel Farage
Employment is at an all-time high. Unemployment at a record low. There has been a small diminution in wages. Whatever else these noble C2DE voters are worried about, it's not jobs. Is it being at the back of the queue for council houses or school lists? But hold on - I thought the reason that those pesky Polish plumbers… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The bigger Corbyn’s victory the greater will be his surviva
You can speculate all you want. We have a previous example of asylum seekers from the broader Middle East settling in a similar country: the Somalis going to the Netherlands. Here, 20,000 - about 40% of the total - moved to the UK once they got EU passports. And the performance of Somalis in the UK has not been the model… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The second YouGov poll in a row has the LAB lead down to ju
It's always and ever been about the economy. Labour ensured that this was the battleground with their opposition to every proposal/cut/etc. If the economy failed to recover then in would march the Eds. If it did recover, then the lack of an alternative proposal and now lack of differentiation would be a nail in their… -
Re: Biden doing 18% better in approval terms than Trump was getting at the start of his presidency – pol
I don’t have that history but like everyone I have had my ups and downs. My wife is currently having a down - her business has been badly affected, and as NZers being cooped up in a house in winter is very unnatural for us. My mate also told me his wife had lost her job this morning, which upsets me. But i can hear… -
Re: Rupert Murdoch’s Fox News refutes Team Trump’s voter fraud assertions – politicalbetting.com
It is, although it's an unusual type of statutory instrument in that it's subject to the "affirmative procedure" whereby it is voted on (but cannot be amended) by Parliament. It's been several decades, I think, since the affirmative procedure has come out with a "no". But there is a vote. The vast majority of SIs are… -
Re: WH2020 – With the counts continuing in several key states Biden is not yet claiming victory – politi
Rubbish. The Dems can’t fire a SC justice. That would require impeachment and they don’t have the Senate votes. The SC is a job for life given the makeup of the Senate these days. In fact an SC Justice has never been removed. The only Justice to be impeached was Associate Justice Samuel Chase in 1805. The House of…