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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The big unknown – the large number of polling respondents s
The decision for independence was made by the Scots and is not a plaything for the political parties. Anyone including the SNP who try and question the result of the referendum is in trouble. This election has been lost by Labour in Scotland not won by the SNP. The big issues here such as how will the financial system work… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LabourList “poll” shows Burnham well ahead with Kendall in
Assad has comparatively little left. There is already major discontent amongst some of his own regime about the fact that he isn't controlling the war effort in his own country, much of it is Iranian proxies. Assad is also beginning to run out of bodies and money. One thing he isn't short of is basic kit. Curiously the… -
Re: How Biden’s making Trump’s cognitive decline an issue – politicalbetting.com
Yes, this may work until and unless Sunak actually has to engage with the public which didn't go well last week. Presumably between hiding in a fridge (been done) or being completely surrounded by loyal Tories (ditto) for the duration of the campaign can and will be his only options. Will a debate with Starmer work to his… -
Re: The Saturday open thread – politicalbetting.com
Excellent post, and I agree with everything. The classic for me is a refusal to see that good services cost money. For all that Teresa Mays attempt to do something about social care was ham fisted, at least it was an attempt. And what happened? Millions reacted in horror at the thought of not being able to pass on some of… -
Re: LAB now odds-on in the betting to win a majority – politicalbetting.com
Just to show that Moaning is NOT confined the Baroness or to Westminster . . . Politico.com - Florida Republican who sponsored ‘Don’t Say Gay’ resigns after federal indictment His trial is set for Jan. 11 in Gainesville federal court TALLAHASSEE, Fla. — Republican state Rep. Joe Harding resigned from office one day after a… -
Re: Happy Eurovision day – politicalbetting.com
I will also put in a word for Sheffield, which is also in my top 5 favourite British cities. It has the following going for it: - The hills. Nowhere else like it in the UK. Every bit of it affords a view of other bits of it. - The entire southwestern quadrant, which includes the most pleasant suburbia in the UK. Dore,… -
Re: Tonight’s polls – politicalbetting.com
That's another bloody thing, isn't it.* The upcoming death bulge as the boomers go into the dark * Bankrupt councils * Nonfunctioning justice system * Nonfunctioning armed forces * Insufficient prison places * Massive government debt * Our children cannot buy houses * We import 500-1,000K people per annum to take up the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Betting on Time’s person of the year
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Re: Liz Truss may have lost but she isn’t forgotten – politicalbetting.com
Got the identity of the Olympic Park bomber wrong, got sued, had to settle. Got the Boston Marathon bomber wrong, got sued, had to settle. Compared Obama to a chimpanzee in a cartoon. And this from Wikipedia is wild ride... In April 2021, the Post published a false front-page story asserting that copies of a book by vice… -
Re: 3 Tory MP climate sceptics get the Greenpeace treatment – politicalbetting.com
I grew up in Wokingham. It is not the town it once was. For the last 10 or more years there has been mass house building making the town much bigger than it ever used to be. As a result there are many new people living there with different political views. In my view Redwood kept his seat at the last election due to fear… -
Re: Can the LDs become the 3rd party once again? – politicalbetting.com
I would start by estimating how many asylum seekers we can properly support each year (with housing, schools, language support, emotional support, etc). That comes down to a budgetary constraint, how much money do we want to spend ? Without knowing those numbers, any discussion of a sensible policy or numbers is not even… -
Re: Let’s not forget how appalling Corbyn’s GE2019 ratings were – politicalbetting.com
My edition (24th) is about 1100 pages, pretty small text, but my understanding is that editions have changed massively over the years in terms of detailing the past situation and what changes there have been, for reasons of space, so you don't get a very clear picture of how it has developed for every part of it. I'd have… -
Re: Is this going to be Truss’s last week as PM? – politicalbetting.com
I’m wondering how I personally feel about this (apart from 'poorer'). I start from the position of being a bit of a small state libertarian. I liked the destination that Liz and Kwazi were trying to get to. But I thought their approach was a) a bit reality-defying (we’re £1 trillion in debt: we can’t just ignore the… -
Re: 2022 for Johnson’s departure looks good value at up to 9/1 – politicalbetting.com
At the moment there is a one sided debate on all of the issues of the day, no dissent on the official line has been allowed to air, only dissent on process. Opening up the conversation to people who have a more sceptical line on this new zero COVID strategy we've adopted changes the dynamic hugely. The government will be… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The virus score card as at 1353GMT
Bearing in mind how partisan the response has been to date I don't think they ever will. Most of the dead will be old whose deaths can be recorded for one of many other reasons. Many very sick people will never be recorded as having the virus because they won't be tested, let alone people with more mild symptoms. Meanwhile… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This week’s PB/Polling Matters Podcast explores what it’s l
No, as TimT has already pointed out general elections have double the turnout of mid-terms and the president is not up for election at mid-term. If we had a US Federal System the last election would have been Cameron v Miliband but Labour may already have won a majority in the House of Commons in 2012 as I already pointed… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » YouGov finds overall backing for nuclear power with UKIP vo
Rubbish. You misunderstand what Keynes meant when he made that statement. Where do you think the money for investment comes from? Where do you think the money for pensions (non-state ones anyway) comes from? Where do you think house deposits come from? etc., etc.,. There has not been enough saving during the fat years… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » ICM’s phone poll for December sees CON get 3 pc closer
Can't leave the funniest finding on the old thread.. ""The poll also asked voters whether they were worried that the emerging recovery was based on an unsustainable new property boom. Overall, voters dismissed this concern – which has been raised by the business secretary, Vince Cable, among others – by 49% to 34%. Even in… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Marf on George Osborne
My recollection of the recession of the early 90s was that I knew things were bad when I saw the estate agents closing down. This time there's been none of that and indeed in London as SeanT has said and I can confirm from East London, the market remains incredibly buoyant with enormous demand nowhere near being met by… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Richard Nabavi on Emmanuel Macron’s Cohabitation Conundrum
Ilford North is undergoing dramatic change in both ethnic mix and housing tenure, both of which contributed to Labour's narrow win in 2015. Both are continuing, although Labour support in London is showing the first signs of succumbing to its national drop in the polls, from which the capital has been relatively insulated.…