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Re: It’s hard to see how Johnson recovers from this – politicalbetting.com
@PippaCrerar “EarHearing from two separate sources that Govt is considering bringing recess forward two days to Tuesday. Only sketchy business has been sent out for next week - House rising could be announced on day. It would avoid another tricky PMQs - plus get plotting Tory MPs out of SW1”… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Alastair Meeks looks ahead to next month’s local elections
Third! Interesting article. London will drive the media response, and there has been a big swing to Labour in London over recent years (its the recent change that drives gains/losses - not "historical" performance), out of line with the national picture. And more demography and housing than changing "coalitions" Personally… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If Thursday’s S Yorkshire PCC by election is close then CON
Off-topic: I don't know if this has already been posted, but here is an interesting article from the Washington Post about another 2015 GE battle: Axelrod vs Messina.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » One of the architects of the worst general election campaign i
Donald Trump Jr's first call after he was allegedly offered information on Hillary Clinton by a Russia-linked lawyer should have been to the FBI, a former White House ethics lawyer has said.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The YouGov poll at this point in the 2010 race got the CON-
Visits are an irritating mystery to people on the ground (you often get someone you've only just heard of, and it gets shifted three times and then cancelled), but are governed by having a coherent route and local factors as well as overall probability. The most senior visit that I've had up to now has been the shadow… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Is Hillary Clinton really the certainty that she now appears –
Very early on I called the primary races and the general election. Trump = President Clinton. Sufficient disaffected GOP voters would propel Trump to the nomination where he would face Clinton whose machine would eventually overwhelm Bernie. Worsening demographics and faced with a poor choice the punters would opt for the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Labour insider, Henry G Manson, on the changed mood within
It looks like the Labour are losing their discipline and proving themselves to be the unruly rabble that has been hinted at so often: At the Labour leader’s eighth ‘relaunch’ speech on Thursday at Senate House, every single question from journalists was greeted by boos, hisses and tuts.… -
Re: Keir and loathing in the Labour party – politicalbetting.com
Yes, the news was very coy about the content If it had been basic racism surely they would have said, and it would be bigger news? Was it internal Labour slanging? I don't know what side she is on, within the party. Or something to do with trans/LGB issues - she has asked questions in the House about "conversion therapy" -… -
Re: LAB gets its best Westminster by-election performance for five years at Airdrie & Shotts – political
I think the provisioning system was built externally as it is quite complicated. I'd be surprised if PHE or the NHS had the technical ability to build it in house. It handles real time logistics and patient matching based on where specific vaccines are all over the country. It's one of the most impressive parts of the… -
Re: With 98% of the votes counted the Dems looks set to gain both Georgia US Senate seats – politicalbet
Yes, and Trump soiled the sheets for them too. It's a wafer-thin majority in the Senate, and not much better in the House, for the Dems. If they try and overreach with a "radical" programme - and I suspect they might be tempted - they'll lose both in 2022. I'm of the view that most (not all) of the Republican Party will… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » And so to next week’s Peterborough by-election
> @DecrepitJohnL said: > > @Scott_P said: > > twitter.com/PCollinsTimes/status/1133319274574045185 > > Balfour lost his own seat as PM. You'd expect the Times to know that (or use Google or phone the in-house librarian). It has come up before on pb. > >… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Suddenly Oprah Winfrey becomes second favourite for next Presi
The arsonist didn't just claim to be ex-SAS, he WAS ex-SAS. It is to be hoped that our special forces are normally more competent than he proved to be. Given that Doncaster council was riddled with corruption re planning permission issues Ken Richardson must have thought he was pushing on an open door in staging the fire.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump’s tantrums won’t cost him the presidency – yet
The header is not right to claim we did not already know the White House was dysfunctional. There have been many leaks and several books: Bob Woodward; Omarosa; Rick Wilson (as recommended by RCS); all following from Michael Wolff. And it is well-known there are record numbers of senior places unfilled, and record turnover… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Even with Scotland will LAB still be able to win more seat
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New Ipsos-MORI poll finds 68pc ready to welcome migrants fr
I know that Peter Eckersley who was captain of Lancashire in the inter war years later became a Conservative MP in Manchester but I don't think he became a minister. I suspect some of the Gentleman players of the 18th and 19th centuries went into Parliament but I can't pin any down at the moment. On a related issue I see… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Learning from history
That's one point. The U.K. was still much better off in 1973 than in 1945. For all the policy errors, the 1945-1973 period was an economic boom. We enjoyed another genuine economic boom for about 20 years after 1982. After 2002, growth was largely driven by debt and rising house prices. Then it turned to bust in 2008,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Jeremy Corbyn is an unconventional politician, the normal rule
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-43275611 "Nimby councils" in England that fail to build enough new homes could be stripped of planning powers, Housing Secretary Sajid Javid has warned. Mr Javid told the Sunday Times he would be "breathing down" the necks of local authorities to ensure targets are met. I do hope Mr Javid… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » TMay ends the week extending her satisfaction margin over Corb
I have changed - yesterday infuriated both my wife and myself and we both agreed that we want out. Actually this has been mirrored in my whatts ap family and friends group. I still want TM to do a deal but if not out we go And by the way I never referred to house price falls, they do not concern me as I own my home and do… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Keeping Benn as shadow Foreign Sec could make Corbyn look
The worst examples were not 'houses' as such but 'flats' both high rise and deck access. The problems in all the regeneration work lay with the planners not really the builders. I suppose you could blame architects as well - there were some severe problems with system built properties - but strictly I think it was the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » All you need is Gove, Gove, Gove is all you need Mrs May
ANECDOTE ALERT - Haven't figured out how this new-fangled nested-commenting apparatus works yet, but to @FrancisUrquhart below on the Garden Tax - that has also been my experience. A swing voting mate (voted Labour in 2015) on an average income but in a family house he bought with the legacy of his parents is terrified by…
