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Re: Why Labour’s chances of winning a majority are more than 50% – politicalbetting.com
Also a load of shit. Biden had to borrow money from Obama to pay for his son's cancer treatment, rather than sell his house. Since being VP, he has earned a not unusual amount of money for the books and speeches. The allegations of financial corruption are utterly baseless. The GOP have been investigating him for five… -
Re: The UK Government says opinion polls are more important than actual votes – politicalbetting.com
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/aug/29/food-beer-toys-medical-kit-why-is-britain-running-out-of-everything 'Adrian Jones, a national officer for Unite, which represents workers throughout vital supply chains, from warehouse staff to lorry drivers. “This has come after decades of drivers being undervalued. Ten… -
Re: The Trump case – latest YouGov US polling – politicalbetting.com
What I find inexplicable is Europe's complete failure to prepare for the possibility of a GOP president after the 2024 election. It looks to me to be an extraordinary abdication of responsibility - and one that will become unforgivable should it happen. If Putin can hold on in Ukraine until a Republican gets into the White… -
Re: The voters say I can’t get no satisfaction with the Tories – politicalbetting.com
I struggle with your justification for your position. Consider the following. My sister in law and husband are not high earners but bought a flat many decades ago in SW London to live in, upgraded to a terraced house and since now down sized to a flat again and will soon move out of SW London. The capital gains they have… -
Re: More than 80 days into the job and Biden’s approval ratings stay very strong – politicalbetting.com
Ski resorts again... Whistler, in British Columbia, has nearly 200 of 877 confirmed cases in the province but officials have only a murky idea of how widely variant has spread https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/apr/11/canada-ski-resort-p1-covid-variant-whistler Places to avoid re COVID, hospitals, meat packing… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Is this proof that the DUP won’t be supporting the government
FPT I’m sticking with my observation that these votes will be the most important votes the Commons has seen since the Norway debate. TSE Disagree. The Customs Union vote is important but unless it leads fairly directly to Corbyn becoming PM, it will just define one detail of Brexit, even if an important one. I'd argue that… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Good Friday open thread
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I know only what I have seen on documentaries about education in China/Korea. In both, the school day is 9-5, and since their 18+ exam is life chances-determining, almost all students attend 'crammer schools' in the evening, typically for 4 hrs/day. [I assume therefore, that the schools set no formal homework!] In… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Are manufactured public spats in both coalition partners’ i
But that isn't what coalition has done. The Tories have not moved closer to LD principles in the slightest. It has been a case of horse-trading. It has worked at times and not worked at others. Having spent 5 years saying 'We need to do this to clear up the mess Labour left' and then jumping ship to joining Labour - it… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Is this going to backfire for Dave as the one and only deba
Well certainly the view here is that The Game's Up for the debates; http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/coffeehouse/2015/03/david-cameron-has-just-chickened-out-of-tv-debates-while-pretending-not-to/ Apparently whoever is excluded from the "sevensome" will launch legal action and the "hour glass" is about to run out of sand...… -
Re: Punters make it a 64% chance that Truss won’t survive 2022 – politicalbetting.com
Rejoin is generslly ahead by single figures of late. There have been 2 large rejoin leads over 10% both by Omnisis, nobody else seems to have polled the question since to see if its an in house effect or the actual position generally. Stay out has led as recently as April. I suspect rejoin may not look as sexy a prospect… -
Re: Starmer edging up in the next PM betting – politicalbetting.com
It’s no more tawdry, than being massively in favour of expanding public transport systems, except in Amersham where they’re massively against it. It’s no more tawdry, than being in favour of almost unlimited immigration, but no new house building in the areas where the immigrants wish to settle. Tawdry is the Lib Dem modus… -
Re: The front pages sum up the worries about Christmas – politicalbetting.com
In about 4 seconds of googling you can can see it for yourself. They’ve been driving the prototypes around for ages and Pepsi’s CEO has said they’re expecting their first delivery in the next month. As I wrote above, the constraint is supply of batteries. As Tesla spools up in-house produced 4680 cells then the semi truck… -
Re: Just how long can she survive? – politicalbetting.com
Seminal moment in our household(ish) - my dad cancelled his subscription to the Telegraph, his words this morning - "it's just complete nonsense and they're asking me to pay £300 per year for the pleasure of reading it". The Telegraph has been a fixture at my parents house for ca. 30 years. The Tory party is losing its… -
Re: The Saturday afternoon open thread – politicalbetting.com
When it comes to education policy the Conservatives are so malign anyone would be better. HY, who has many qualities that I admire, demonstrates personally how awful and anti-meritocratic Conservative educational thinking has become. Firstly, the focus is on elite education for the elite. Be that private schools for the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » How Bernie Sanders complicates the betting on November’s US Se
Ironically this is a policy for Southern England. There is no shortage of homes in the North East. not only can you buy old terraced houses for less than 80k in some parts of Newcastle and Sunderland, there has been tens of thousands of new homes built in the last 10 years alone. I myself am living in one. There is nothing… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On the day Johnson wants for the general election the UK sunse
Labour moderates look to be tactically astute at each point of the process but there's no appetite for risk there. Strategically the trek down People's Vote lane has been a poor one for Labour - better to have advocated a Norwegian Brexit I reckon (Sort of thing Loach hinted at last night) and hence shift the focus to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB’s strategy in Heywood and Middleton is blindingly obvio
To put it another way, they could levy it on square footage, so that someone in a huge house in the north pays more than someone in a small one in the south that happens to have inflated to a higher value. As has been pointed out, the "stonkingly valuable property" may have a 110% mortgage on it in which case there is no… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It could be that telling the pollster that you’ll vote GRE
I don't disagree. It's a long-standing problem. But like affordable housing and transport congestion, it's a long-standing problem that has been hugely exacerbated by immigration. We are doing two things wrong: firstly, allowing such unskilled immigration to continue and, secondly, encouraging multicultural nonsense like… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ruth Davidson’s Scottish successes saved TMay’s bacon on June
There has long been net internal migration away from London as people get older, and either acquire family houses in commuterland, or sell up and retire to country or coast. If you look at population movements at younger ages, there is net flow of graduates to London, for example. I see this as a fairly healthy part of the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » David Herdson calls for an Easter resurrection of Pontius P
Who was the first emperor to be succeeded by his brother ? I have been thinking that the answer to this might involve some knowledge of the obscurer members of the House of Constantine, but it has suddenly come to me that the answer is Titus. One thing that we do now know is that in any potential British empire of the…