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Re: Starmer could be the greatest of all time – politicalbetting.com
And Covid, the economic costs of getting through are now having to be paid for and then Ukraine. I like Starmer. He's a bit too earnest in his public face, a bit too Mr Angry about how bad it all is, but I get the feeling his heart is in the right place. Despite Curry(non)gate I think he would have overseen a more cautious… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The PB GE15 competition: Results from the April round
Ah, the cigars have arrived...Manchester MP Lucy Powell - one of Ed Miliband’s most trusted allies and campaign chiefs - has promised to shoulder her share of responsibility for Labour’s dismal General Election performance. “In terms of the election campaign, lots of colleagues have said I had a positive impact.… -
Re: Is this going to be Truss’s last week as PM? – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Sunak’s decision looks even more courageous – politicalbetting.com
Sunak actually did something today that made most people in the country happy. It’s something we should always celebrate: a government following the conventions of democracy and calling a general election which we know will be, a few minor quibbles like voter ID aside, free and fair, and which it expects to lose. After… -
Re: A Tribute Act – politicalbetting.com
On a positive note, the thread header appears to be spelled correctly. On a less positive side, I would like Cyclefree to stretch herself next time, and not do a 'things are terrible and awful and shit, and everyone is stupid, and here's 7 bullet points about why and how.' thread header. A lot of people seem to use PB as… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Two of the last four phone polls have REMAIN leading amongs
The problem for the Tory "Outers" is that they still do not control the centre of gravity of the party. They are the weaker third of their party, not the majority. Comedy acts such as Jacob Rees Mogg or Bernard Jenkin are too eccentric to be clubbable, IDS is past it (and anyway electoral toxic waste). Even BoJo is an… -
Re: Liz Truss now odds-on favourite in the CON leadership betting – politicalbetting.com
I mean. I’m trying to be objective here and say - well, what if she’s a lucky general. Ukraine gets sorted. Cost of living crisis is resolved. Economy performs well. … and that all gives her the chance to go into a GE campaign saying (probably disingenuously) “I fixed things, I righted the ship, trust me with another 5… -
Re: Scottish subsample watch – politicalbetting.com
It looks like we agree on things again Lucky. The Lib Dem’s should never have brought in the 2 child benefit cap, it’s a tax to prevent British babies and import migrants instead. Lib Dem’s can take a hit in the polls for bringing it in. But main reasons Conservatives will be rising in the polls ahead of the next General… -
Re: Sunak’s strategy is working – politicalbetting.com
No idea if this is going to post ok as my logging in seems totally random (which is why I started lurking, as a few years ago I just couldn’t get logged in, so I gave up and lurked). Anyhoo, presupposing I’ve surfaced, ( for the little it’s worth), where are we now in relation to the past five years and going forward? Just… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Emily Thornberry lures Sir Michael Fallon into possibly the gr
The Sunday Times: "The British researcher who helped to limit the effects of the global cyber-attack that paralysed parts of the NHS has warned that a second wave of strikes could arrive on Monday. In England, 48 NHS trusts fell victim to the hack, which caused major disruption to routine procedures and emergency services,… -
Re: The slavish devotion of Republicans to one person is damaging to the country – politicalbetting.com
In general I agree, US democracy is badly designed and has worked more from luck than design as far as I can see. On the specifics, the stop the count was a specific tactic by Republicans to mandate the counting of Republican skewed votes first and then Democratic skewed votes last, with new rules introduced for the 2020… -
Re: Truss isn’t working – politicalbetting.com
Undoubtedly the 'budget' was a catalyst for a disastrous week, but I think the seeds of government unpopularity have been festering for a while. In my humble opinion, with all the high-flying and generally prosperous intellectuals on here, there's a tendency to over-complicate stuff. Most people haven't a clue what 'gilts'… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The polling week opens with LAB and CON level-pegging with
Good luck and enjoy the time. A word of advice about the care of 7 month old babies. There is a thing called an electoral cycle. The run up to a general election sees a proliferation of a sub species of human, 'the evil baby eating tories' Please be wary and on your guard between now and 8th of May for sneaky attacks from… -
Re: Could Liz Truss be replaced before the election? – politicalbetting.com
Parris is right of course. Truss is a ridiculous choice for PM. Through a combination of graft, discipline, political judgement and the most enormous dollops of luck - this being the latest - Keir Starmer is now in my judgment heading for Downing St. Labour minority government has moved from stretch target to central… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This week’s local By-Election: The detailed results
He's bang on the money. And trust me there is a lot of money to be made in this industry. There is an insane amount of growth potential and he should catch the tail end of this current console generation. I had a discussion by PM last year with another member and the advice was the same. He should work on his own projects… -
Re: They Gush over Truss: Betting on the next Tory Leader – politicalbetting.com
Did you actually read the article before rushing to post your thoughts? If you had done so you would have learned that Liz Truss is enormously popular with the membership. Had you have clicked the link you would have seen that she's out in front, beating even Rishi Sunak.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tory backbenchers warn “Cameron may have to break up the co
Nigel Farage is dissembling. Scholarships to public schools are generally offered on merit alone and usually provide parents with remission of between 10% to 25% of annual fees. More important are means-tested bursaries which are not only won on examination results and which can provide up to 100% of fees to qualifying… -
Re: Why I am amongst those sceptical about Tory chances in Hartlepool – politicalbetting.com
Some counter-arguments. 1,2&3. No argument here: Johnson got Brexit done. At the price of f*cking up NI of course, but that was always the triangle of Brexit - one of freedom of movement, no border between NI & Ireland no border inside the UK. Johnson’s government chose the wall inside the UK between NI & the rest. It… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Remember the 2009 Euro elections when ICM was the pollster
Plato, excess mortality rates can't just be translated into "more deaths" vs the average. The 13,300 number is how many fewer deaths would have occured if these trusts had performed *exactly in line with the average*. Of course that is an artificial benchmark generated by statistics. What mortality rates should be used for… -
Re: Undefined discussion subject.
> @dixiedean said: > > @DavidL said: > > > @dixiedean said: > > > > @williamglenn said: > > > > Does Liz Truss think there’s no life outside London? > > > > > > > > https://twitter.com/asabenn/status/1130538095928139776?s=21 > > > > > > Interesting insight into priorities from James Cleverly "We need houses in the South…
