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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Sadiq Khan, Henry G’s 33-1 tip for next London Mayor, is no
This is interesting, Keith Vaz off-message (and the Home Affairs Committee doing its job): The European Arrest Warrant is "flawed" and needs to be reformed, the Home Affairs Committee of MPs has said. ... Committee chairman Keith Vaz said: "The European Arrest Warrant, in its existing form, is fundamentally flawed and has… -
Re: MIND THE GAP: HOW LONG WILL BORIS JOHNSON SERVE AS PRIME MINISTER? – politicalbetting.com
He chose to humiliate himself. A good few years back, there was a "sting" by IIRC a CH4 team. They tried offering a very shady deal to various members of the House of Lords. A number fell over in the rush to self themselves for a mess of pottage.... One Lord (DUP I think), was filmed listening to their proposal. He… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It’s time we moved back to MPs choosing the party leader inste
OT, this has been a hobby horse of mine for a while. The claim that Mr. Thicky has a mandate because he managed to convince the Labour membership is a classic example of people claiming something is "democratic", when the real mandate is with MPs who have had "real" people vote for them has much greater democratic… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Lincoln Project’s response to Trump’s pardon of convicted
The Lincoln Project is made up of former Tea Partiers Is that true? The leaders of the tea party - according to a 2010 Washington Post survey - were Sarah Palin, Glenn Beck, Jim DeMint, Ron Paul, and Michele Bachmann. The first two of those became big Trump boosters, the third worked in the Trump White House. The fourth… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » At what stage is lockdown going to crumble?
"A source close to the cabinet minister admitted that he had made the journey during lockdown conditions, but defended the trip by saying he dropped off food and medication, and did not enter the house... The Guardian understands that the local community has been supporting Jenrick’s parents by delivering groceries in… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Times reporting that the Tories are “deeply worried” about
You really want to read up about the FISA court, it hardly ever rejects a warrant application, and the US intelligence community has become expert at writing warrants to get what it wants. The shitty stuff the NSA has been doing the last decade or so is compliant with the law, and approved by the court. The idea that the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The money continues to go on Brexit NOT happening by March 29t
Whilst Watson is in place, anything that Labour says or does about the media is suspect. He has smeared politicians from rival parties with the most heinous accusations, and is part of the same set-up as McBride et al (yet knew nothing about that hideous scheme). And he is near the heart of Labour (perhaps a rather… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Murdoch predicts LAB victory at GE2015
Meanwhile the Telegraph reports economic problems in Brazil: " Brazil has come down to earth with a thud after the glory days of the commodity boom, when the economy seemed near take-off as the top supplier of iron ore and grains for China. It became a textbook case of the “Dutch disease”, suffering from an overvalued… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Getting ready for the expected Corbyn victory – leading par
Syrians previous standard of living was a GDP per capita of just over $2,000 a year. Maybe this is 'decent' but it is certainly a long way from European standards of living. If we want people who are business creators and hard workers, then we should have an immigration system that targets that. Certainly the record of… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Which election will we have in 2015? Election 1979 or Elect
"Another worrying sign for Umunna has been the failure of a single Labour MP to come forward with public support for him this week. That speaks to a lack of genuine popularity at Westminster which has its roots in his appointment as Ed Miliband’s Parliamentary Private Secretary shortly after being elected in 2010. ‘Chuka… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » As expected Hillary announces that she’s running for Presid
I've been away in France for the last week (rather longer than expected, thanks to the French air-traffic controllers), but keeping an eye on things. Not much has changed, as far as I can see. The Conservative IHT policy announcement is a disappointment. In fact, it looks pretty bonkers to me. If I understand it correctly,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Re-formatting the EURef polling table so it strips out the
FWIW my experience after another doorstep session in South London yesterday is that there is a higher number of don't knows than the polling reflects. Locally we find Remain ahead by a considerable margin but more don't knows than Leaves. I do not have precise figures but I'd say it's roughly; 60% remain, 25% DK and 15%… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Liberals had held Montgomeryshire for more than a centu
Labour in Scotland don't have a choice. They've backed themselves into a corner but their position in England makes any meaningful extension of Devolution utterly impossible. It is obvious to everyone that the only solution to the Scottish Question is Full Fiscal Autonomy. But FFA by default requires EVEL at least or… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » With Dave outclassing Ed in the ratings and the economy’s g
The psychology of Labour supporters' post-2010 wish to attack business is quite interesting. I think it comes from the fact that they've reluctantly half-accepted that the wheeze of grabbing unlimited amounts of dosh from current and future taxpayers has no future, so they are casting around for some other load of dosh… -
Re: An Exodus of sitting Tory MPs on the way? – politicalbetting.com
Instead of dropping the age at which someone could become an MP from 21 to 18 a few years ago, I think it should have been raised to 25. Mhairi Black was 20 when first elected and that's too young in my opinion. Nothing to do with her personally, it's just an example. The House of Representatives in the USA has an age… -
Re: What is John Swinney’s secret? – politicalbetting.com
The first thing I thought of when reading of Swinney's frankly absurd statement was how much it reminded me of the 1720 South Sea Bubble prospectus which lured investors into putting money into “an undertaking of great advantage, but nobody to know what it is.” The fact is that the SNP have never been straight about the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why it could be politically challenging prioritising the econo
The Tour of Britain has been cancelled for 2020 because of the ongoing coronavirus pandemic. https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/cycling/52662769 Given it appears that high levels of testerone appear to provide a good defence against catching this, I would have thought they would all be safe as houses. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A message from Mike Smithson
Its racist innit.. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/apr/20/coronavirus-racial-inequality-uk-housing-employment-health-bame-covid-19 Except it has been shown when you control for location / age, there isn't really any obvious dis-proportionality. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » PB 2018 betting review – Next CON leader
There's a hole outside my house where this happens regularly. I think the pothole has been 'repaired' three times in the past four years. There's another patch further down the road where repairs break up within a very few weeks. Edited for silly mistake! -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonight’s PB/Polling Matters TV Show: WH2016, the impact of
The government has been heavily defeated in the House of Lords over trade union reforms Labour fears will cost it millions of pounds in funding. Ministers want to require Labour-affiliated union members to "opt in" to paying a levy to the party. http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-35828335