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Re: In terms of dates the ComRes LAB 6% lead poll is still the latest – politicalbetting.com
Depends how you define 'reformation'. AIUI (superfically :smile: ) Luther was objecting to the *abuse* of magic - charging of money for quick entry to heaven, and so on, and the system attempted to crack down. So ultimately it split. It's quite a good trick, being a rentier controlling salvation. Plus all the theological… -
Re: A Johnson exit in 2022 moving up in the betting – politicalbetting.com
This is because the Judge decided the law was to complicated to understand -
Re: Sleazy does it – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Grilled Sturgeon – politicalbetting.com
John of Gaunt, John of Bedford, Humphrey of Gloucester, William de Longchamp and Margaret Beaufort weren't called Oliver or Richard. -
Re: Geoffrey Cox won’t resign, and Boris Johnson won’t make him – politicalbetting.com
When they need to they sequester the jury, instead of the British system where they sequester the entire country. -
Re: Number 10 must be hoping that this is an outlier – politicalbetting.com
It would be nice if there was a disconnect here, with Boris and his cohort simply thinking about how it might blow over (and accordingly don't actually give a shit), being surprised by the 2019 intake and others not just saying they want something done, but actually wanting stuff done. That's the thing about shift leaders… -
Re: How the Tories will get a 20 seat bonus from the new boundaries – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Honourable Members? – politicalbetting.com
Putin's polling quite low at the moment. The Crimean war did his polling a whole load of good. https://www.statista.com/statistics/896181/putin-approval-rating-russia/ Also, if you like numbers, the Georgian war was in 2008. Six years later, in 2014, he invaded the Crimea. 2020 was taken up with Covid. Will Russia go to… -
Re: Now Redfield & Wilton has LAB ahead – politicalbetting.com
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Re: The Greens are favourite in tonight’s local election bet – politicalbetting.com
Err… I think you need to be introduced by someone who will vouch for your upstanding character? -
Re: The Mail continues with it attacks on Cox – politicalbetting.com
Ireland to advise Working From Home, again https://www.irishtimes.com/news/health/nphet-to-advise-government-people-should-work-from-home-wherever-possible-1.4726117 -
Re: The last successful Tory by-election defence was in 2016 – politicalbetting.com
I can't see how the Tories lose Old Bexley and North Shropshire in any circumstances now TBH. The former might have been vulnerable to a UKIP/Brexit/Reform outfit around the time of the Clacton and Rochester and Strood by elections but not now. Even if the Lib Dems make a big effort in the latter, Labour are still likely… -
Re: The Lib-Lab pact that isn’t but could still hurt the Tories – politicalbetting.com
Yes, the averages are a big problem. This is why the only way is to look at your consumption directly as much as possible - how many litres of diesel burnt, how many kWh of electricity used, etc*. The other main discrepancy is in terms of imported CO2 emissions. Per capita CO2 emissions for the UK will be a lot lower than… -
Re: The Tory Sleaze narrative is not going away – politicalbetting.com
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Re: The focus moves to ex-Tory leader and former A-G – politicalbetting.com
The problem stems from Brexit in the first place. Brexit changes the constitutional position of Northern Ireland and it does so despite being overwhelmingly rejected by the voters of Northern Ireland. That's the first breach of the consent principle of the Good Friday Agreement right there. The Northern Ireland Protocol… -
Re: Neither Johnson nor his deputy Raab come out of this well – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Only the Telegraph seems to be staying loyal to Johnson – politicalbetting.com
I famously did exactly that on the Brexit referendum night, when pissed and emotional on scotch. I managed to lay most - but by no means all - of my mistake off. Take care out there. -
Re: While CON maintains Opinium lead other findings are terrible – politicalbetting.com
The Conservative MP Steve Brine, who works as a paid adviser to a pharmaceutical wholesaler, took part in a video conference with the company and Nadhim Zahawi before the business won a £100,000 government contract https://twitter.com/thetimes/status/1457992981181566977?s=21 -
Re: The MPs in danger if the election went as today’s Ipsos poll – politicalbetting.com
Well, everyone complied with the rules last night, so I don't know whether enforced is the right word. Not sure what would have happened if I'd tried not to. -
Re: Johnson slumps to worst ever Ipsos rating while LAB take lead – politicalbetting.com
As terrible as the outlook is for the Conservatives I think that this time next year they will look back and be shocked how quckly they got into "little local difficulties". As Adam Affriye well knows, bankruptcy comes in two phases: quite slowly and then irreparably quickly. The steady drip stage may be coming to an end…